Wilson Center | Mexico Institute

?? | EXPERT ANALYSIS: “Mexico and Central America in Trump's Second Term” by Carlos Heredia! “The US has always been a heavyweight player in the region, and its actions impact migration, trade, politics, and even the rise or fall of presidents. In the Mexico-Central America region, Trump prioritizes as hot topics for 2025-2029: ???? ???? 1?? China: limiting trade, investment, and diplomacy from Beijing in the region while imposing tariffs on Mexican products if Mexico goes as far as assembling and exporting Chinese electric vehicles to the US. 2?? Migration: containment of migrants and asylum seekers through military, technological, and legal deployment to stop the flow of people who have the purpose of entering US territory. 3?? Fentanyl: destroying laboratories and designating the cartels that bring it into the US as terrorist organizations, subject to unilateral attacks by Washington on Mexican territory." ???? https://lnkd.in/eS9gU85D #IncomingAdministration #USMexico #CentralAmerica #Geopolitics

?? | EXPERT ANALYSIS: Our #ConstitutionalReformsGuide features new content: “Mexico’s Organic Simplification Constitutional Reform: Implications for the Digital Ecosystem” by Geusseppe González Cárdenas!? ? “Considering the new scenario, it is essential for all stakeholders affected by the suppression of the authorities to have guarantees over competition rules and the level of intervention the government will partake in. In addition, more clarity is expected regarding the timeliness of the power transition, the accountability of functions, control mechanisms, transparency, and certainty over potential disputes. ? ? The changes pursued by the Mexican government could potentially dispute Mexico’s obligations under USMCA regarding the independence of regulatory bodies. Dismantling the IFT and Cofece might undermine Mexico’s competitiveness, creating uncertainty over investment.” ?????? ?? ?? https://lnkd.in/eWKGqAi4 ?

?? | EXPERT ANALYSIS: Our #ConstitutionalReformsGuide features new content: “Dissolving the IFT: self-inflicted wounds to digital sector growth” by Ryan Berg, PhD. ? “Eliminating the IFT’s independence would harm Mexico’s ability to expand the fruits of broadband throughout the country and continue attracting investment from the private sector. The private sector, especially Western investors, favors regulatory institutions where decisions are taken independently, and evidence-based policy is the norm—not the whims of political parties. By folding independent and autonomous agencies into the executive branch, Morena risks politicizing regulatory decisions that would likely be off-putting for investors and prejudicial to garnering greater private investment in the sector.” ????? ?? ??? https://lnkd.in/eP6wTB9Y ? #ConstitutionalReforms #AutonomousAgencies #IFT #Telecom #DigitalPolicy #USMCA

?? | EVENT RECAP | The Wilson Center's Mexico Institute, in partnership with the Consulate of Mexico en Nogales and the Arizona-Mexico Commission, hosted the First Border High-Level Forum for the Arizona-Sonora Mega Region. This event brought together leaders, policymakers, and experts for critical discussions on how key issues shape the regional economy, community well-being, and cross-border cooperation. ?????????? Key topics included: 1. Trade & Investment ?? 2. Security for Development ?? 3. Economic Impact of Migrants on Border Communities ?????? 4. Water Management Across Borders ?? A special thanks to: ● Marcos Moreno Báez, Consul General of Mexico in Nogales ● Michelle N. Ward, General Consul of the U.S. in Nogales ● Marisol Flores-Aguirre, MBA, MA, Director of Southern Arizona Office, Office of Governor Hobbs ● Gerardo Valenzuela-Buelna, International Liaison Executive Coordinator of Sonora ● María Calderón, Program Associate, Wilson Center Mexico Institute ● Santa Cruz County, Board of Supervisors Representative The forum highlighted the importance of cross-border collaboration in tackling shared regional challenges. ?? Stay tuned for more updates! ?? #BorderRoundtables #USMexicoRelations #ArizonaSonora #TwoNogales #MegaRegion #StrongerTogether

?? | EXPLAINER: “United States Awaits USMCA Dispute Panel Report on Mexico’s Genetically Modified Corn Decree” by Samantha Capaldo! Our latest publication comprehensively explains the current legal dispute between Mexico and the US regarding the ban on genetically engineered corn based on the provisions of the USMCA. If the USMCA dispute panel determines that Mexico violated the USMCA, the US and Mexico will have forty-five days to agree to a resolution. If the parties cannot agree on a resolution, the USMCA would allow the US to suspend benefits to Mexico “of equivalent effect to the non-conformity or the nullification or impairment until the disputing parties agree on a resolution to the dispute.” ???? ?? ???? ?? https://lnkd.in/eET9Hhpz #USMCA #Corn #Agriculture #GMO #Dispute

?? | EXPERT ANALYSIS: President Claudia Sheinbaum at the G20: Mexico's Role on the Global Stage by Pablo Guillén and Emilio Dorantes Galeana! The 2024 G20 Rio de Janeiro summit is the nineteenth meeting of the Group of Twenty (G20), a heads-of-state and Government meeting in Rio de Janeiro in November 2024. This is President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo first international appearance since taking office in October. Her participation in the G20 summit represents Mexico’s re-engagement with major international forums after years of withdrawal under former Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Sheinbaum criticized the rise in global military spending and advocated increased investment in reforestation programs. She argued that allocating just 1% of global military expenditures to reforestation programs could significantly impact poverty, migration, and climate change mitigation. ???? ?? https://lnkd.in/gvN_YTEy #G20 #ClaudiaSheinbaum #InternationalEngangement #Reforestation

?? | EXPERT ANALYSIS: Our #ConstitutionalReformsGuide features new content: “Mexico’s Sheinbaum Walks a Fine Line on its Antitrust Reform” by Alejandra Palacios! “If the Sheinbaum administration is committed to improving Mexico’s competition landscape, it could instead consider reforming the Competition Act to strengthen COFECE’s enforcement and fining powers while respecting its current status as a constitutionally independent body separate from the Executive or, at the very least, grant it grades of independence within the Executive. If the constitutional reform passes, the Sheinbaum administration will need to make a significant effort to draft a robust secondary law that aims to create an institutional arrangement genuinely focused on austerity and organizational simplification while ensuring the antitrust regulator’s independence and effectiveness.” ? ?? https://lnkd.in/eaGV5m5t #ConstitutionalReforms #AutonomousAgencies #COFECE #Antitrust #USMCA

?? | LIVE NOW!

?? | EXPLAINER: Check out our updated #ConstitutionalReformsGuide! Now featuring: “Constitutional Reform on Strategic Sectors and State-Owned Companies: New Rules for Energy, Lithium, and Internet Services” by María Calderón. This #OnePager highlights the key elements of the recently approved constitutional reform, outlining new regulations for the energy sector, public strategic sectors, state-owned companies, and state-provided internet services. ?????????? Whether you’re a legal professional, policymaker, business leader, or interested in Mexico’s water and mining landscape, this one-pager offers clear, concise insights! ?? https://lnkd.in/e2C5Asra

?? | WEBINAR: “USMCA After the Election: Opportunities, Challenges, and the Path Forward” Join our upcoming webinar, where a panel of experts will examine the upcoming 2026 review of the USMCA in light of recent US elections, offering insights on the perspectives and priorities shaping the future of North American trade. The discussion will also cover critical developments across Mexico, Canada, and the United States, including “cuarto de junto” meetings, public consultations, and evolving congressional dynamics. Experts will further explore the potential impacts of recent electoral outcomes on the review process. ??? Friday, November 15, 2024 ?? 9:00 a.m. to 10:15 a.m. EST / 8:00 a.m. to 9:15 a.m. CDMX ?? Online ?? Earl Anthony (Tony) Wayne, Karen N. Antebi , Carlo Dade, Ana Bertha Gutiérrez, Diego Marroquin y Lila Abed. RSVP: https://lnkd.in/eX_xRYJT