The Numbers

Snow White?will most likely hold on to top spot on the box office chart this weekend, but no less than five (and potentially as many as seven) new films should land in the top 10, with?Jason Statham?action movie?A Working Man?leading the way.

Theater counts: Snow White repels an onslaught of newcomers to remain widest release https://lnkd.in/g8b5PwYu #theatercounts #SnowWhite #AWorkingMan #DeathofaUnicorn #TheWomanintheYard

Weekend final numbers: 1. Disney’s Snow White - $42.21M (new) 2. Black Bag - $4.26M for $14.74M 3. Captain America: Brave New World - $4.02M for $192.04M #BoxOffice #SnowWhite #BlackBag #CaptainAmerica

Snow White?will perform somewhat better than our dire Friday-morning prediction, but is limping towards a $43-million opening, according to?Disney’s Sunday-morning projection. The film is showing good legs, based on our model’s analysis, and the studio can point towards it having the?second-best weekend of 2025 so far, but that’s slim pickings for a movie that could easily have earned double this amount.

Theater Counts: Snow White enchants 4,200 theaters in its opening weekend. #SnowWhite #theatercounts #novocaine #thealtoknights #Ash #lockedmovie #MagazineDreams

Weekend final numbers: 1. Novocaine - $8.81M (new) 2. Black Bag - $7.61M (new) 3. Mickey 17 - $7.44m for $33.21M #BoxOffice #Novocaine #BlackBag #Mickey17

Novocaine?goes into the weekend favorite to come out on top at the box office, according to our prediction model, but it has an unusual amount of competition, with?Mickey 17?coming out of a chart-topping performance last weekend, and?Black Bag?also likely to have some cross-over appeal.?Novocaine’s “Thursday” preview number ($1.75 million) is encouraging, but we don’t know how much came from previews last weekend, and it will be relying on solid momentum through the weekend and a lot of people choosing it over the other two films.

Theater counts: Mickey 17 fends off a swarm of newcomers to remain widest release. #TheaterCounts #Mickey17 #BoxOffice #Novocaine #BlackBag #DisneysSnowWhite #TheAltoKnights

North American ticket prices rose in line with inflation in 2024, hitting a new high of $11.31 for the year, up 3% from 2023’s average of $10.94. That follows gains of 4% in 2023 and 2022. The average price in Q4—typically the most expensive time of year to go see movies—hit a record high of $11.64. New data from our partners, along with SEC filings from the major theater chains, have also allowed us to revise and tighten our estimates for ticket prices since the beginning of 2022.

Weekend final numbers: 1. Mickey 17 - $19M (new) 2. Captain America: Brave New World $8.38M for $176.47M 3. Last Breath - $4.1M for $14.55M #BoxOffice #Mickey17 #CaptainAmerica #LastBreathMovie