Will Zelensky Face a Coup?
Armstrong Economics
Covering The Intersection Of Geopolitics, Global Markets, And Economic Confidence
COMMENT: You, sir, are the only one to tell the truth about this war with Russia. There are many Ukrainians with mixed families, and this war has not benefited Ukraine as one-third of the country has fled. Discontent against our politicians is rising here, as you have forecast. It would not be a surprise if there was a coup to change our leadership.
Anonymous
REPLY:?You are correct. Our model has been projecting discontent with governments on a global scale. The EU elections turned to the right in a shock. Then, we saw upheaval in France—Britain overthrew the Conservatives. We see the same trend emerging in Canada and the USA. This does not appear to be a left vs right surge. It appears to be more along the lines of just throwing the bums out – regardless of what their political affiliation might be. This trend is also rising in Ukraine. I have been getting this same sentiment from other Ukrainians.
The most curious thing is that there was an internal coup to assassinate Zelensky on May 7th, the turn on the ECM. He then fired his chief of bodyguards . While he tried to claim it was a Ukrainian plot orchestrated by Putin, the talk is that most of his bodyguards are now American because he does not trust Ukrainians. There is a risk of political upheaval in Ukraine starting next week and going into October.
Presidential elections were scheduled in Ukraine in March or April 2024. However, since Zelenskyy seized power and moved for martial law, which the Ukrainian parliament approved on February 24th, 2022, no elections have been held because Ukrainian law does not allow presidential elections to be held when martial law is in effect. It does not appear that Zelensky can retain power beyond June 13th, 2026, under any claim.
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Yes, there is a rumor that a coup may take place in Ukraine,?especially if they do not allow elections soon. Even an opposition Ukrainian member of parliament, Verkhovna Rada, has been said to express such discontent.
Zelensky’s presidential powers officially expired after May 20. The irony here is those who believe the propaganda claiming Putin is a dictator refusing to accept the Russian elections do not even want to discuss that Zelensky is a dictator suspending all elections as long as he maintains Martial Law.
Many in Ukraine think this is a senseless war, and the Donbas have been where Russians have lived for centuries. Is this merely a territorial grab worth destroying all of Ukraine? This is why some question the legitimacy of power in the absence of parliamentary and presidential elections. The concern is that Zelensky has ignored the Ukrainian Constitutional Court’s May 2014 ruling that the presidential term cannot be extended. Many are not satisfied because they feel that not only has Zelensky’s presidential term expired together with its legitimacy, but they also have no democratic process to vote on continuing the war. This is what has made many regard Zelensky as a dictator.
Plotting the ECM frequency from the start of this war, it interestingly projected April 2024, which was the ideal target when Zelensky would have had to stand for election. Now look at the next turning point – May 15th, 2025. Let’s turn to Socrates’ cyclical forecast, and here, too, we see a major culmination of this trend. We have a major Panic Cycle in November; some believe that implies a Trump election, with a Directional Change in December. But I question if Zelensky will survive beyond the next turning point of May 15th, 2025.
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