Is your startup ready for VC funds? How VCs decide if your startup gets the cheque
Taiwo Obasan
Driving Fintech & Startup Growth | Building the Finance OS | Product Strategy & Development | Fundall (Acquired) | Formerly at Cowrywise, EduBridge, Immerse Africa VC
How early-stage investors evaluate your startup to determine its "investability"
Venture capital (VC) funding is a crucial milestone for many early-stage startups, providing the financial boost needed to scale operations and reach new heights. For most first-time founders, raising funds may be the hardest thing they'll have to do aside from running their startups. Many claim that raising funds is a full-time job as it requires a lot of time, networking, and energy. For some, this process takes between a week and sometimes six months, depending on how lucky they are. Lack of funding is the top reason many early-stage startups die within their first three (3) years.
Attracting VC investment requires startups to meticulously align with the criteria investors consider when evaluating the potential for success and return on investment. In the past week, I spoke with some investors in Africa, from analysts to principals, to fully understand the key factors that shape their confidence in early-stage startups, providing insights into what founders need to focus on to make their venture attractive for VC funding. Priorities vary from fund to fund depending on their thesis, sector, investing stage, fund size, local or foreign, and portfolio mix, among others. Here are a few things that are common to all investors when making decisions about your startup:
So remember that gender balance, power play, the share of equity between founders, industry expertise, culture, passion, education & qualifications, the number of founders and advisors, corporate governance structure and policies, and the skill gap within the team are super important criteria used by VCs.
2. Traction & Proof Points: The only way to prove that the world needs your solution and you have struck something worth backing is through the traction and demand you’ve generated organically. This means people are willing to pay for your solution because it solves a pain point.
3. Market Analysis: The total population of a country or market you are in isn’t your total addressable market; demand is backed by the ability to pay, so your TAM is the total number of people that are impacted by the problem you are solving and can pay for your solution to solve that problem. SAM (serviceable available market) is the percentage of the TAM you can reach, whether as a result of your technology, product scope, pricing, etc., while SOM (serviceable obtainable market) is the percentage of the SAM that you can reasonably capture considering your other competitors, existing traditional solutions, the maturity of the market, and the adaptability level. You need to drill down on how big the market is, how many people can afford to pay, what can be captured, what has been captured, and if this market is large enough for your startup to reach its desired valuation, which will equally give VCs their desired exit or growth potential.
4. Scalability and Business Model: Every business must have products, but not every product or idea should be a business. As a founder, you need to ask yourself: if your business is highly scalable, if it is very defensible, what are the gross margins, what are the biggest cost drivers, what is the potential for economies of scale, if the business model is sustainable, if the business is focused enough, or if you have too many products solving too many problems? Too many products/revenue streams and a lack of focus are red flags. For growth potential, how many people currently need the solution, how often do they need the solution, how are they currently solving the problem, and why will they want to jump on the new solution?
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5. Competition vs Defensibility: Since business is a race and a winner is crowned with the most value in the market, investors are often interested in what successful DNA you have built into your business that is enough to defend it and contribute to its winning. These include your patents, competitor analysis, first move advantage, the problem being solved, demand generated and supply/demand gap, niche, moat, USP, and trade secrets, among others.
6. Financial Forecast: The true picture of your business is captured in its financials. Your financials also form the basis for evaluating the potential return and ability to create liquidity for investors. Hence, they check if your business has positive unit economics with (LTV/CAC) lifetime value/customer acquisition cost above 5, CAC payback of fewer than 12 months, a clear path to monetization and good gross margin, low operational costs, low capital costs, cost economies of scale, good pricing, a positive path to EBITDA, a positive path to cash flow, and realistic assumptions in your forecasts.
7. The Deal: “A business may be good, but the deal may not,” says one of the veterans I spoke to. Investors always consider the valuation & equity on offer, how messy the cap table is (this is expected since many founders are often quick to give out equity for small cash during their survival stage—largely pre-seed), overdiluted founders—giving out too many shares at a very early stage, founders or key men holding very small shares, diluting more than 20% in one single round at an early stage. This helps the investors understand the complexities surrounding the business before investing, while deal terms such as standard rights and protections, the amount being raised, and the use of funds vis-à-vis growth help them see how they function within the business post-investment. It is also important to check if the round & the number of runways it covers will be enough to carry the team to the next proof point to avoid premature dilution. To pass this:
8. Exit Strategy: The goal of an investor is not just to find good businesses but ones that can create good liquidity events enough to return their funds or meet their LP goals. The business must have a clear and realistic exit strategy that is linked to its everyday business KPIs, financial projections, and growth goals. Projected ROI with at least a 5x multiple on investment, ability to execute strategy, exit liquidity, & frequency within the market are also metrics considered by investors to evaluate the possible value to be earned on their investment. As the business grows, the metric for its valuation changes as investors start considering its fundamentals; hence, the projection and strategy must align with this. Founders are expected to:
Conclusion
VCs are not in the business of charity or enriching founders, as they have a burden to return 3x of their total funds to LPs and still expect to enjoy good carry on their funds; hence, the investment process is only in favour of founders and startups that can clearly show that they can help VCs achieve their own goal while impacting their immediate world. Successfully navigating the VC landscape requires startups to align with investor expectations across various dimensions. By focusing on building a strong team, showcasing traction and proof points, thoroughly analysing the market, emphasising scalability, and addressing financial forecasts, startups can enhance their appeal to early-stage investors. Remember, while these factors provide a framework, individual investors may prioritise differently, so adapting to specific investor preferences is key. Ultimately, a well-rounded approach that considers all these factors positions a startup for success in attracting VC funds and achieving its growth objectives.