The World This Week: Foreign policy in next week's election

The World This Week: Foreign policy in next week's election

By Mike Froman

Conventional wisdom holds that American elections rarely hinge on foreign policy. Neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris has made the issue a centerpiece of the campaign, and indeed, a recent Pew Research Center poll found that 81 percent of registered voters considered the economy by far their top concern.

But foreign policy isn’t absent from voters’ minds either, with 62 percent of respondents calling it “very important” to their vote. Two top-of-mind issues that are typically coded as domestic—the economy and immigration—are in fact deeply linked to developments around the rest of the world. And while there are some similarities between the two candidates’ foreign policies, there are important differences, including the extent to which the U.S. might exercise international leadership and the way it might engage with the rest of the world.

The salience of foreign policy was driven home for me during the series of in-depth, nonpartisan conversations that the Council on Foreign Relations hosted in four pivotal states over the course of October. In Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, it was clear just how connected these states were to the rest of the world. And even though the audiences self-selected for interest in foreign policy, I came away struck by how the issue seemed anything but remote.

Consider Arizona, where I joined our panel discussion at Arizona State University’s Thunderbird School of Global Management, in Phoenix. Arizona is a major trading state, exporting nearly $30 billion in goods annually, and ranks first in the country as a destination for foreign investment. It’s also one of the biggest beneficiaries of the recent shift toward onshoring the production of strategically important goods—namely, semiconductor chips. On the outskirts of Phoenix, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, helped by a grant from the CHIPS and Science Act, is adding two more factories to its existing facility, which is already producing cutting-edge processors for iPhones.

The Arizonans I met were also very much aware of the importance of immigration and agricultural exports to their state’s economy. They had a keen sense of how the U.S.-Mexican and the U.S.-Chinese relationships affected them.

In the other states—Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania—the picture was decidedly more mixed. Each has endured the effects of deindustrialization, and all are experiencing pockets of economic revitalization. To state the obvious, there is significant variability across the U.S. economy, which results in similarly divergent attitudes about the United States’ role in the global economy.

Other global issues clearly matter to voters as well. At Grand Valley State University, in Allendale, Michigan—the state with the highest percentage of Arab Americans—many in the audience wanted to hear about the Israel-Hamas war. At Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster, Pennsylvania—the No. 2 natural-gas-producing state in the country—energy was high on the list.

These conversations only reaffirmed my belief that what happens in the rest of the world bears directly on Americans’ lives, and that those who live in the “Acela corridor” can benefit greatly from hearing the perspectives of those who don’t.

Too little has been done over decades to make an effective case for U.S. leadership, but it is not just a problem of communication. Washington also needs to do more to ensure that the benefits of the global economy are broadly shared. Whatever foreign policies it pursues must be accompanied by domestic policies that equip Americans with the skills they need to survive and thrive in a rapidly changing world, whether the change comes from technology, immigration, or trade.

This effort should rank high on the next president’s agenda—no matter who wins next week’s election.


OTHER ANALYSIS FROM THIS WEEK

Understanding the Threats to U.S. Election Security

Kat Duffy and Jacob Ware

Despite widespread concern that foreign interference and generative AI would pose major threats to the 2024 election, the greatest risks emanate from rising domestic extremists and diminishing domestic trust. Read the brief

CFR on Campuses in Four Pivotal States

CFR visited colleges and universities in four battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania—to hold public forums with top experts on international issues and how they influence the lives of Americans. Watch the reel

What’s at Stake for Foreign Policy in the Elections

Diana Roy

On November 5, U.S. voters will choose new leadership, with ramifications for China, immigration, the Middle East, and many other national security issues. Read the opinions of CFR experts

A Woman in the White House

Linda Robinson

For the United States to have a woman president come January would be consequential, perhaps even transformational. Read more on Foreign Affairs

Confronting the Axis of Autocracies

James M. Lindsay

Increased cooperation among China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia will present the next U.S. president with tough choices. How should the United States respond? Read more on The Water’s Edge

Israel’s Strike on Iran: What to Know

Steven A. Cook

On October 25, Israel launched a strike against military targets in Iran. Steven Cook highlights four key details of Israel’s strike on Iran. Watch the YouTube short

What to Expect at the COP29 Summit in Baku

Alice C. Hill and Priyanka Mahat

The 2024 summit in Azerbaijan comes amid fresh reports showing that global warming levels are accelerating, bringing more intense climate-related disasters and an increased demand for funding to mitigate and protect communities from the effects of climate change. Read the expert opinion

Guterres Meets With Putin and Lukashenko

Elliott Abrams

United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres raised questions when he went out of his way to travel to Kazan, Russia and meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko.?Read more on Pressure Points

Online Discourse Controls in Southeast and South Asia

Joshua Kurlantzick

While much of the world’s attention has been focused on China’s growing crackdown on online dissent and surveillance of activists in the Chinese exile community, countries in Southeast Asia and South Asia have increasingly stepped up their crackdown on online speech. Read more on Asia Unbound

Japan’s Ruling Coalition Rules No More

Sheila A. Smith

Voters handed the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s coalition an unmistakable defeat. What could a new coalition government mean for the long-heralded stable democracy? Read more on Asia Unbound

Botswana’s Pivotal Elections

Michelle Gavin

The next leadership of Botswana must look beyond political feuds, rebuild trust with its citizens, and deliver on its promises to maintain the country’s democratic and development progress. Read more on Africa in Transition

The Pandemic Agreement Fractures in Negotiations

David P. Fidler

World Health Organization member states continue to disagree on critical issues and might tackle them after adopting a pandemic agreement. Read more on Think Global Health

Podcast: A World Under the Influence

On the newest episode of Why It Matters , Gabrielle Sierra explores how influencers have altered the media landscape. With the rise of social media, influencers around the world have increasingly taken on the role of newscaster without a traditional media organization behind them. Some say it has democratized journalism, but influencers who capture massive audiences online also run the risk of spreading false or harmful information.?

Listen

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

Twenty-Ninth Term Member Conference

Keynote speaker U.S. Ambassador-at-Large for Digital and Cyberspace Policy Nathaniel C. Fick spoke with CFR President Michael Froman conversed with U.S. Ambassador-at-Large Nathaniel C. Fick. Additional sessions included discussions on the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East, the risks of wider escalation, and the role of the United States, and the 2024 U.S. election. Watch the discussions

NICHOLAS OWENS

<G5>< CHIEF OF MISSION (COM)??

1 小时前

?? 22 U.S. CODE § 2382 - COORDINATION WITH FOREIGN POLICY > COORDINATION AMONG REPRESENTATIVES OF UNITED STATES : The President shall prescribe appropriate procedures to assure coordination among representatives of the United States Government in each country, under the leadership of the CHIEF OF THE UNITED STATES DIPLOMATIC MISSION. (Keywords: under the leadership of the CHIEF OF THE UNITED STATES DIPLOMATIC MISSION)

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Edward Moore

Moore Enterprises, Inc.

2 天前

“Reclaiming Faith: How America’s Return to Judaic-Christian Values Can Undermine Russia’s ‘Holy War’ Narrative” The cultural shift in the U.S. under leaders like Donald Trump, emphasizing a return to Judaic-Christian values, can serve as a counterargument to the Russian Orthodox Church’s narrative that the U.S.-led West is “Satanic.”, and the US is the Anti-Christ.. Publicizing these policies and cultural movements undermines the Russian narrative that the West is morally corrupt and devoid of spiritual foundations. This approach could involve public diplomacy efforts, such as interviews with U.S. religious leaders or media campaigns showcasing shared moral values between the U.S. and Russian people. Highlighting the West’s alignment with Christian values can empower dissenting voices within Russia who already question the moral legitimacy of the war. Russian citizens who see commonality between Western and Orthodox values may be more inclined to resist the war or call for peaceful resolutions. https://www.dhirubhai.net/posts/edward-moore-915658b3_reclaiming-faith-how-americas-return-to-activity-7265356796544827392-z3G6?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios

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