The World, the US, and Massachusetts all post positive COVID-19 stats.

The World, the US, and Massachusetts all post positive COVID-19 stats.

Forget about flattening the curve, Massachusetts has collapse the curve; at the peak, 3,965 people were hospitalized with COVID-19, now 2,237 are hospitalized and that number is quickly falling. Since the peak, 55 more people a day left the hospital than entered, over that two weeks that number is over 70. All hospitalizations are down by 43.6% of the peak, with ICU cases matching that decline at 44% below the peak. Massachusetts is also in its longest period below the active case peak, we're currently at "peak +4." The 5-day average growth rate for total cases is at just 1%, despite testing over that period being higher than 10,000 per day.

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On Friday, the US saw active cases DECLINE by 2.4% or 27,853 cases. While I don't expect it to stick, the US is technically two days into the recovery period. Not seeing a surge in cases after states began reopening, was positive, but a decline in active cases was certainly unforeseen. We'll be talking about the US surpassing the 500,000 recoveries mark by this time next week. Today, only one US state saw triple-digit deaths, New York at 102, all 49 other states stayed below 100.

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On Friday, the Wolrd finally had a major break from its stagnant growth rate period, and to a surprise it was a decline in active cases. The World did see active cases increase today but like Massachusetts and the US the World is in a post-peak period. Rapid mobilization by developed nations into the developing nations of the Southern Hemisphere is going to dictate how long the recovery is going to take, though it appears the early intervention is paying off.

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Stay safe

Bob Johnson

Retired Reliability Engineer

4 年

Thanks Eric! Great news and a significant milestone. I’ve been following several states on the Johns Hopkins site since this started and the way it spreads it a puzzlement to me. At first predictably it favored population density with large public transportation infrastructure. Given that I fully expected a second wave in the major cities triggered by the protests 3 weeks ago. That clearly didn’t happen. Those cities all seem to have continued their collapse in cases.

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