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Compliance decision makers brace for increase in financial crime in 2024
A recent survey conducted by Comply Advantage highlighted some key insights from compliance decision makers from the US, Canada, UK, France, Germany, Netherlands, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Australia.
Given the bleak economic outlook, compliance professionals are preparing for heightened fraud and criminal activity. According to Comply Advantage, 59% of these professionals are prepared for an increase in financial crime. The global economic downturn in 2023 is disrupting the financial crime and compliance landscape. Surprisingly, despite predictions of a "roaring twenties" as economies reopened and the "Great Resignation" reshaped workplaces, 99% of organizations globally are re-evaluating their risk appetite due to the economic environment. A significant portion (57%) is doing so "to a great extent." This conservative approach and the heightened customer due diligence it requires will add pressure to the expectation of smooth and frictionless access to financial services. Meeting this demand while managing stricter risk appetites will necessitate investments in technology.
Furthermore, underlying industry caution stems from the expectation that, as in previous economic downturns, financial crime levels will increase. This increase may not solely come from seasoned criminals; economic pressures are likely to push previously legitimate actors into riskier behavior, some of which may cross into financial crimes. The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has also warned that rising living costs will lead to criminals exploiting people through loan fee fraud and authorized push payment scams. Notably, firms reported more suspicious activity reports (SARs) in 2022 compared to 2021, with 83% reporting an increase. This suggests that the volume and variety of financial crimes being reported to law enforcement are already on the rise, even before the full impact of the economic downturn is felt.
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