What We Do Not Do
Picture taken close to the Danube by the author on May 18, 2023.

What We Do Not Do

Gutmann does not buy thousands of stocks from the global investment universe. We deliberately do not even select more bonds. Now and then we are asked why. Talking about what we consider sensible and what we want to avoid is good, but if we are asked for concrete reasons why we do not invest in a particular security, it triggers a mental block in me, as we will never be able to discuss in depth about the things we don't do. And we don't want to spend time on it either.

It is better to talk about the 50 stocks in our Gutmann core equity strategy and the 6 themes that stand above them. This is what all of us at Gutmann - above all, of course, the equities team - have been working on intensively. The colleagues follow their business models, quarterly reports, company presentations and management decisions, curious about any new information that might reveal a facet that we have not yet considered.

It becomes problematic when topics and titles emerge from the sea of investment options and business models and move into the consciousness of the general public. One day it's a cryptocurrency, then a lithium producer and another day a certificate on electricity. It's best to take it as a good occasion to talk about sensible, long-term investing and not speculation fueled by a short-term imbalance in supply and demand. Usually, the situation clears up unexpectedly fast and prices fall as fast as they rose before.

Investing versus speculating

It is not always easy to answer the “why not” question. It comes across as friendly and innocent on the surface, but the real aspect lies deeper. This one is: “Why am I not profiting?”

And maybe: “My neighbor is getting rich!” Because often there is a person in one's own environment who brags about high profits in a marginal investment theme or a single stock. However, one rarely hears about the losses that follow shortly after. Among thousands of investment opportunities, there is always something that has soared over the last 12 months. Sometimes it's something so fringy that no one really expects to have it in their portfolio. But sometimes the issue is much broader and on everyone's mind. Just think about the electricity prices after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. “How can I profit from this?” This is a fair and permissible question. However, it quickly becomes apparent that a direct investment in the price of electricity is not easy to implement. In addition, it would not have been an investment, but a speculation, which could have led to high losses.

If we at Gutmann were constantly asked why we don't do this and that, that would be an indication. Namely, that the other person doesn't know what we do and what we stand for. I am grateful that we rarely hear this question. That said, we always focus on being clear about our values in investing. We, and especially I, as Chief Investment Officer. Now you know one of my projects for 2023.

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Disclaimer: This is a marketing communication. Investments in financial instruments are exposed to market risks. Past performance does not predict future returns. Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Tax treatment depends on each client's personal circumstances and may change in the future. Bank Gutmann AG hereby explicitly points out that this document is intended solely for personal use and for information only. Publishing, copying or transfer shall not be permitted without the consent of Bank Gutmann AG. The contents of this document have not been designed to meet the specific requirements of individual investors (desired return, tax situation, risk tolerance, etc.) but are of a general nature and reflect the current knowledge of the persons responsible for compiling the materials at the copy deadline. This document does not constitute an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities.?

The required data for disclosure in accordance with Section 25 Media Act is available on the following website:?https://www.gutmann.at/en/imprint

Harald Berlinicke, CFA ??

Partner – Manager Selection | Multi-Asset Investor | CFA Institute Volunteer & Consultant | Decoding investment complexity into practical wisdom with my daily posts

1 年

Looking forward to getting a glimpse of your very focused universe of 50 stocks…definitely deserves a separate post! ??

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