What VC's Don't Understand ....
This downturn is different. We're in a transition period between the old rotting era, and the new era where we'll play according to completely different rules. Throughout human history we've always witnessed this decay of the current system to make way for the one. These are the natural development processes in nature, which are based on the laws of nature. Decay and birth are laws of nature. Between one system and another, there is always a transition period. The world advances according to the laws of development.
So I was fascinated to watch the ALL-In Podcast with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner on markets, downturns & investment cycles, who describe themselves as, "industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya & Jason Calacanis cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker." Very cool, wicked smart, and entertaining to watch. These are the guys everyone looks to for answers at a time like this. It's especially interesting to hear how they "ideate" about things on their own to come up with solutions. If there is any greater symbol of the end of the previous era it's this notion that we can solve things on our own. And again, I'm not blaming these top industry experts for our problems. We're all to blame. The old system was working to a certain extent for certain groups of people. But now it's no longer working, and has become unsustainable. According to these experts, the last two administrations printed $10 Trillion of cash and pumped it into the economy. That along with all the problems Covid caused, and some other stuff is the reason for the current crisis. So in a nutshell, they believe we'll get through this downturn the way we always do and things will go back to normal in a couple of years.
Now I'm not worried about these guys. They won't run out of food to feed their kids, and won't have a problem keeping their home, or being able to pay for basic things. My concern is with the folks who don't have the luxury of being as chilled as these guys as this crisis approaches at an alarming pace. But I do have to say that for such smart and sophisticated people, the people who are the very foundation of the economy, it's quite shocking to see how primitive and outdated their thinking is. They love to focus on their charts, which is all about following the money of course. They love to focus on technical and logical facts they can analyze, which probably gives them some sense of having a handle on things. But the new era will work very differently, and I realized while watching them, that they may be the last to acknowledge this.
So what's the point they're missing? To reap all the benefits of the new era we're going to have to change our attitude to other humans. Not necessarily to specific people, but to people in general. Meaning any kind of person anywhere in the world, who may be very different than us. We're going to have to shift our attitude to the rest of humanity, and that will take some getting used to. These shifts started with Covid, continued with the invasion of Ukraine, and now we have this downturn. We're not going to change out of the blue and suddenly really care for all the other people in the world. That's not going to happen. We're going to change out of necessity - because we'll gradually understand that we have to.
The Transition To Integral Thinking (Getting Smarter Together)
Starting from the premise that man is the most advanced level of development on Earth, we are potentially supposed to control our destiny, rather than have nature force it on us in all sorts of ways. If this is the highest form then it is clear to everyone that at the moment we are very far from this situation. Our society is quite fragmented, we have no solid foundation or values in place, and the economic model is not clear.
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By applying the integral method you can know exactly the right thing to do to be aligned properly for the new era.
In contrast to the current lack of control over our affairs, the integral method says look at the natural laws of the world, learn them and apply them. The method is based on the laws of nature, which are about the forms of connection between human beings. These laws connect us. They are the power base that impacts all areas of our life.
To succeed in the new era you have to build such a system based on the integral method, which is based on the laws of nature. There are very few professionals with this expertise. You have to work with them for at least a few months and start building a new enterprise. Every business unit is a life enterprise of people. The people in your business have to adapt themselves to the method. They'll eventually understand that thriving in the new era is not a product or pricing issue. Once we reach a certain balance between us we'll regain control of our future. This is achieved through a controlled and logical process based on having a structured discussion of how to truly benefit from life, instead of relying on all these speculations. The key word here is structured because there are rules to this discussion, which are also based on the laws of nature.
How long can we continue fooling around with the current method that's no longer working?
All business owners need to do is acquire this new business template, and arrange their company around it. Everything will remain exactly the way it is. What will have changed? Our attitude to other people in the company. So once you have this new template, you can continue working but according to the new format. According to the new innovation, which is all about how we connect with others. It will eventually happen one way or another. But instead of waiting and wondering what will happen next. Instead of assuming that this downturn will be like the others. By applying the integral method you can know exactly the right thing to do to be aligned properly for the new era.
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2 年I trust you are well. Thanks for sharing!