What is Sequencing Risk and What Can You Do About It?
We all know that risk is inherent in investing, with some types of investments being much more risky than others. And of course, a loss within your portfolio can mean a loss of income that you would have derived from those investments. That’s why retirees often feel concerned about their risk factors; no one wants to retire, suffer a loss, and then lack access to the funds needed to cover their standard of living.
But all risks are not the same. “Sequencing risk” refers to the order in which your portfolio returns occur. Suffering a loss early in your retirement can impact your financial capabilities for the rest of your life, leaving you to perpetually play “catch up”. In some cases retirees even end up going back to work, or changing their lifestyles drastically (and feeling dissatisfied with retirement as a result).
On the other hand, losses taken toward the end of your life might or might not carry a similar impact, depending upon when they occur and how significant they are. But generally speaking, if you’re going to suffer a loss, you don’t want to do it in the early years of your retirement.
So, what do we do about sequencing risk? Analyze your portfolio in terms of predictability and safety, and assume that at some point there will indeed be market downturns. For those times, streams of revenue that are more stable can be depended upon to carry you until the market improves again.
At the same time, we know that the riskier investments are sometimes the ones with greater potential for growth. You might not wish to eliminate those entirely, but your desire for growth should be balanced with how much you can stand to lose. Perhaps more importantly, you should consider when you can stand to lose it.
These principles underscore what is always an important point in retirement planning: The planning isn’t finished when you retire! In fact, it’s just as important as ever. Continue meeting with us so that we can continually analyze your risk factors, retirement timing, lifestyle needs, and other factors that contribute to a satisfactory retirement. Then, together we will work to continually adjust your financial plan so that risks are balanced with your need for more stable income.