What are the legal risks to the US State Dept of choosing not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d?
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What are the legal risks to the US State Dept of choosing not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d?

A conversation with Microsoft Copilot, Meta AI, Perplexity AI and Google Gemini. Here is my subjective rating of these conversations:

  • Microsoft Copilot. Useless, unresponsive. Note: I also a few minutes earlier found Copilot useless and unresponsive when trying to search for cars with off-road suspension and cruise control with stop-and-go. It doesn't retain and prioritize a diligent answer to the stated essential particulars of a search.
  • Meta AI. Excellent, cogent, to the point.
  • Perplexity AI. More like Meta AI than Copilot. Needs redirection that Meta AI does not when asked to imagine a specific concrete scenario.
  • Google Gemini. Outstanding. Imagined a specific scenario and delved into the consequences in the most down-to-earth and realistic manner. Note: This is free Gemini, not Gemini Advanced. I'm not going to pay to learn the difference but it would be interesting to know what the difference would be on the same prompts.

Overall, if I were to guess where they were in school, I'd say that Copilot was a Senior in an average high school, Perplexity was a Junior in an average college, Meta AI was a Senior in a very good liberal arts college, and Gemini was finishing their LL.M in National Security Law at Georgetown.

Conversation with Microsoft Copilot

Me

What are the legal risks to the US State Dept of choosing not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d?

Copilot

22 U.S. Code § 2378d12 is a law that places a limitation on assistance to security forces. According to this law, no assistance should be furnished under this chapter or the Arms Export Control Act to any unit of the security forces of a foreign country if the Secretary of State has credible information that such unit has committed a gross violation of human rights12.

If the U.S. State Department chooses not to enforce this law, there could be several potential legal and diplomatic risks:

  1. Violation of U.S. Law: Not enforcing this law could be seen as a violation of U.S. law, which could lead to legal consequences. The law is clear that no assistance should be provided to any unit of the security forces of a foreign country that has committed a gross violation of human rights12.
  2. Damage to International Reputation: The U.S. could be seen as supporting human rights violations if it provides assistance to foreign security forces known to commit such violations. This could damage the U.S.'s international reputation and strain diplomatic relations with other countries.
  3. Potential for Legal Action: If the U.S. provides assistance to a foreign security force that commits human rights violations, it could potentially face legal action from individuals or groups harmed by those violations.
  4. Congressional Oversight: The law requires the Secretary of State to report to the appropriate congressional committees if the prohibition in subsection (a) does not apply because the government of such country is taking effective steps to bring the responsible members of the security forces unit to justice12. If the law is not enforced, it could lead to increased scrutiny and oversight from Congress.

Please note that this is a general interpretation and the actual legal risks could vary based on specific circumstances and interpretations of the law. For a comprehensive understanding, it’s recommended to consult with a legal expert.

Me

What are the specific potential legal consequences under item (1), and what are the potential legal actions under item (3)?

Copilot

Sure, let’s delve into the specifics:

  1. Specific Legal Consequences of Not Enforcing U.S. Laws12345:
  2. Potential Legal Actions for Human Rights Violations6789:

Please note that this is a general interpretation and the actual legal consequences and actions could vary based on specific circumstances and interpretations of the law. For a comprehensive understanding, it’s recommended to consult with a legal expert.

Me

Please distinguish intangibles such as psychological cost and reputational risk from specific legal penalities. Who in the State Department could get a criminal record and how? Who or what entity in the State Department could pay legal penalties to who and under what mechanism?

Copilot

Sure, let’s distinguish these concepts:

  1. Intangible Costs: These are non-monetary impacts that can be difficult to quantify. They include psychological costs, such as stress or anxiety that may result from a perceived lack of enforcement of laws1. Reputational risk refers to the potential damage to the image of the State Department or the U.S. government, which could affect its standing domestically and internationally2.
  2. Legal Penalties: These are sanctions imposed by law for non-compliance or violations. They can include fines, imprisonment, or other forms of punishment. Legal penalties are typically enforced by courts or regulatory bodies3.

As for who in the State Department could face legal consequences:

Please note that this is a general interpretation and the actual legal consequences could vary based on specific circumstances and interpretations of the law. For a comprehensive understanding, it’s recommended to consult with a legal expert.

Me

Your answer is vague and unresponsive. If the Executive has directed a State Department official to not enforce the Leahy Law, who in the Government would hold the so-directed official criminally liable? Who would cause the State Department to pay fines and sanctions to who? Your answer does not provide any clearly and concretely described enforcement scenario.

Copilot

I apologize for any confusion. Let’s clarify:

  1. Criminal Liability: If an official in the State Department is directed not to enforce the Leahy Law and this is deemed a criminal violation, it would typically be the Department of Justice (DOJ) that would handle criminal penalties1. However, it’s important to note that the decision to prosecute would depend on a variety of factors, including the nature of the violation and the evidence available. It’s also worth noting that, in general, government officials may have certain immunities that could complicate such proceedings2.
  2. Fines and Sanctions: The Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has the power to impose civil fines for violations1. However, these would typically be applied in the context of sanctions violations. If the State Department were found to be in violation of a law, it could potentially face legal penalties, which might include fines or other sanctions34. These would be enforced by courts or regulatory bodies, and the mechanism for enforcing these penalties would depend on the specific laws and regulations involved34.
  3. Enforcement Scenario: An example of a potential enforcement scenario could be if there were credible allegations of human rights abuses by a foreign military unit, and the State Department, despite being aware of these allegations, continued to provide assistance to that unit in violation of the Leahy Law. If these actions were investigated and found to be in violation of the law, the State Department could potentially face legal consequences. These could include fines imposed by a regulatory body like OFAC, or potentially other penalties depending on the specific circumstances5.

Please note that this is a general interpretation and the actual legal consequences could vary based on specific circumstances and interpretations of the law. For a comprehensive understanding, it’s recommended to consult with a legal expert. I hope this provides a clearer picture of the potential legal consequences and enforcement scenarios. If you have further questions, feel free to ask!

Me

Outline a scenario in which OFAC prosecutes State. What could would this take place in? What would be the charges? Assuming that the Executive branch directed the State Department not to enforce the law, how would OFAC prosecute under the circumstances?

Copilot

I understand you’re asking for a specific scenario where the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) would prosecute the State Department. However, it’s important to note that OFAC, as part of the U.S. Department of the Treasury, typically enforces economic and trade sanctions based on U.S. foreign policy and national security goals18. It’s unusual for OFAC to take enforcement actions against another U.S. government entity like the State Department.

That said, let’s consider a hypothetical scenario for the sake of understanding the process:

  1. Scenario: Suppose the State Department, under direction from the Executive branch, continues to provide assistance to a foreign military unit that has been sanctioned by OFAC due to credible evidence of human rights abuses. This could be seen as a violation of U.S. sanctions laws.
  2. Court: If OFAC were to take enforcement action, it would likely be in the form of civil penalties, as OFAC is primarily responsible for civil enforcement of U.S. sanctions laws22. Any legal proceedings would likely take place in a federal court.
  3. Charges: The charges would depend on the specific sanctions laws that were allegedly violated. In this hypothetical scenario, the charges could be related to providing assistance to a sanctioned entity in violation of U.S. sanctions laws.
  4. Prosecution under Executive Direction: This is a complex issue. If the State Department was acting under direction from the Executive branch, it could potentially argue that it was following lawful orders. However, if the orders were in violation of U.S. sanctions laws, it’s possible that OFAC could still take enforcement action. The Department of Justice (DOJ) may also get involved, especially in cases of willful violations of U.S. sanctions laws22.

Please note that this is a simplified hypothetical scenario and the actual process could be much more complex and would depend on a variety of factors, including the specifics of the case and the interpretations of the law. For a comprehensive understanding, it’s recommended to consult with a legal expert. I hope this provides a clearer picture of the potential legal consequences and enforcement scenarios. If you have further questions, feel free to ask!

Conversation with Meta.AI

Me

What are the legal risks to the US State Dept of choosing not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d?

Meta AI

22 U.S. Code § 2378d refers to the "Leahy Law," which prohibits the US State Department from providing military assistance to foreign security forces that violate human rights. If the State Department chooses not to enforce this law, they may face legal risks such as:

  • Legal challenges and lawsuits from advocacy groups, individuals, or organizations
  • Congressional oversight and potential investigations
  • Violation of international human rights law and potential consequences from international bodies
  • Damage to the US's reputation and credibility in promoting human rights and the rule of law
  • Potential criminal liability for complicity in human rights abuses
  • Inconsistency with US foreign policy and national security goals
  • Legal and political challenges from partner countries and international organizations

Please note that this is not an exhaustive list, and the specific legal risks will depend on the circumstances and context of the situation.

Let me know if you have any other questions or need further clarification!

Me

Assuming that the Executive directed the State Dept not to enforce the law, outline the most plausible scenario in which the US Dept of Justice prosecutes the US State Dept for not enforcing 22 U.S. Code § 2378d.

Meta AI

Here's a plausible scenario:

  1. Whistleblower complaint: A State Department employee or contractor files a complaint with the DOJ Inspector General, alleging that the State Department is knowingly violating 22 U.S. Code § 2378d by providing military assistance to foreign security forces with a history of human rights abuses.
  2. DOJ investigation: The DOJ Inspector General conducts an investigation and finds evidence of willful non-enforcement of the law, potentially including emails, memos, or testimony from State Department officials indicating that they were directed not to enforce the law.
  3. Criminal referral: The DOJ Inspector General makes a criminal referral to the DOJ's Criminal Division, recommending an investigation into potential criminal violations, such as conspiracy, obstruction of justice, or fraud.
  4. Grand jury investigation: A grand jury is convened to investigate the allegations, and subpoenas are issued to State Department officials and documents.
  5. Indictment: The grand jury returns an indictment against State Department officials or the department as a whole, alleging criminal violations related to the non-enforcement of 22 U.S. Code § 2378d.
  6. Prosecution: The DOJ prosecutes the case, presenting evidence of the State Department's knowledge of human rights abuses and their deliberate failure to enforce the law.
  7. Trial and conviction: The case goes to trial, and the State Department officials or the department as a whole are found guilty of criminal violations.
  8. Sentencing and penalties: The court imposes sentences and penalties, which could include fines, restitution, or even criminal forfeiture of assets.

Please note that this scenario is hypothetical and assumes a specific set of circumstances. The actual outcome would depend on various factors, including the evidence, political considerations, and legal precedents.

Me

Outline a single most plausible scenario in which DOJ succesfully prosecutes State under 22 U.S. Code § 2378d, giving the imagined fines, restitutions and sentences for criminal violations.

Meta AI

Here's a single plausible scenario:

Scenario: "Willful Non-Enforcement of Leahy Law"

Facts:

  • The State Department, under direction from the Executive, knowingly provides military assistance to a foreign security force with a history of human rights abuses.
  • A whistleblower complaint is filed, and the DOJ investigates, uncovering evidence of willful non-enforcement of 22 U.S. Code § 2378d.
  • The investigation reveals that State Department officials were aware of the human rights abuses but deliberately failed to conduct required vetting and monitoring.

Prosecution:

  • The DOJ prosecutes the State Department and several high-ranking officials for criminal conspiracy and fraud.
  • The indictment alleges that the defendants knowingly violated 22 U.S. Code § 2378d, resulting in the provision of military assistance to a foreign security force that committed human rights abuses.

Outcome:

  • The State Department is found guilty of criminal conspiracy and fraud, and is ordered to pay a fine of $10 million.
  • The high-ranking officials are sentenced to:
  • The court also orders restitution to the victims of the human rights abuses, totaling $5 million.
  • The State Department is required to implement new procedures and safeguards to ensure compliance with 22 U.S. Code § 2378d.

Rationale:

  • The fines and restitution are significant but not crippling, acknowledging the State Department's role in promoting national security and foreign policy interests.
  • The sentences for the officials are proportionate to their culpability, taking into account their high rank and responsibility.
  • The mandatory human rights training and new procedures ensure that the State Department takes concrete steps to prevent future violations.

Please note that this scenario is hypothetical, and actual outcomes would depend on various factors, including evidence, political considerations, and legal precedents.

Me

Who does State pay the $10million fine to? The US Treasury? If so, what does the Treasury then do with the money?

Meta AI

If the State Department is ordered to pay a $10 million fine, it would likely be paid to the United States Treasury. In this scenario, the fine would be considered a criminal forfeiture, and the payment would be made to the Treasury's General Fund.

Once the Treasury receives the payment, the funds would be deposited into the General Fund, which is the main account used to collect and disburse government funds. The Treasury would then use the funds for various purposes, such as:

  1. Reducing the national debt: The funds could be used to reduce the principal amount of outstanding Treasury securities, thereby decreasing the national debt.
  2. Funding government programs: The funds could be allocated to various government agencies and programs, such as law enforcement, national security, or social programs.
  3. Supporting victim compensation programs: In some cases, the funds could be used to support victim compensation programs, such as the Crime Victims Fund, which provides assistance to victims of crime.
  4. General government operations: The funds could be used to support general government operations, such as paying salaries, benefits, and other expenses.

It's worth noting that the specific use of the funds would depend on the discretion of the Treasury and the relevant government agencies, as well as applicable laws and regulations.

Conversation with Perplexity.AI

Me

What are the legal risks to the US State Dept of choosing not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d?

Perplexity AI

The key points regarding the legal risks to the U.S. State Department of choosing not to enforce 22 U.S.C. § 2378d, the Leahy Law, are:The Leahy Law prohibits the U.S. government from providing assistance to foreign security force units if the Secretary of State has credible information that the unit has committed a "gross violation of human rights" (GVHR).12The law allows for exceptions if the Secretary of State determines and reports to Congress that the foreign government "is taking effective steps to bring the responsible members of the security forces unit to justice."4Failing to enforce the Leahy Law and provide assistance to units credibly implicated in GVHRs could expose the State Department to legal risks, such as:

  • Violating the statutory requirements of the Leahy Law, which is permanent U.S. law.14
  • Facing potential lawsuits or congressional oversight for not adhering to the legal restrictions on security assistance.12
  • Undermining the intent of the law, which is to disassociate the U.S. from security forces credibly implicated in human rights abuses and incentivize good behavior.1
  • Damaging the credibility and reputation of U.S. human rights policies if the State Department is seen as selectively enforcing the law.12

Overall, the Leahy Law imposes a legal obligation on the State Department to vet recipients of U.S. security assistance and withhold aid from units credibly implicated in GVHRs, unless specific statutory exceptions are met. Choosing not to enforce this law could expose the State Department to legal challenges and undermine the intent of the legislation.124

Me

Assuming that the Executive directed the State Dept not to enforce the law, outline the most plausible scenario in which the US Dept of Justice prosecutes the US State Dept for not enforcing 22 U.S. Code § 2378d.

Perplexity AI

Based on the provided search results, the most plausible scenario in which the U.S. Department of Justice could prosecute the U.S. State Department for not enforcing 22 U.S.C. § 2378d, the Leahy Law, is as follows:The Leahy Law is permanent U.S. law that prohibits the U.S. government from providing assistance to foreign security force units if the Secretary of State has credible information that the unit has committed a "gross violation of human rights" (GVHR).2 The law allows for exceptions if the Secretary of State determines and reports to Congress that the foreign government "is taking effective steps to bring the responsible members of the security forces unit to justice."2If the Executive directed the State Department not to enforce the Leahy Law, despite having credible information of GVHRs by foreign security force units, this could be seen as a violation of the statutory requirements of the law.2 The Department of Justice could potentially prosecute the State Department for:

  1. Failing to uphold the legal obligations imposed by the Leahy Law, which is permanent U.S. legislation.2
  2. Providing assistance to foreign security force units credibly implicated in human rights abuses, in contravention of the law's restrictions.2
  3. Undermining the intent of the Leahy Law, which is to disassociate the U.S. from security forces credibly implicated in human rights abuses.
  4. Damaging the credibility and reputation of U.S. human rights policies if the State Department is seen as selectively enforcing the law.1

The Department of Justice could argue that the State Department's non-enforcement of the Leahy Law, despite the legal requirements, constitutes a dereliction of duty and a violation of the law. This could potentially lead to legal action, such as a lawsuit or congressional oversight, to compel the State Department to adhere to the Leahy Law's restrictions on security assistance.1

Me

Outline a single most plausible scenario in which DOJ succesfully prosecutes State under 22 U.S. Code § 2378d, giving the imagined fines, restitutions and sentences for criminal violations.

Perplexity AI

Based on the provided search results, the most plausible scenario in which the Department of Justice (DOJ) could successfully prosecute the U.S. State Department for violations of 22 U.S.C. § 2378d, the Leahy Law, is as follows:If the Executive directed the State Department not to enforce the Leahy Law, despite having credible information of "gross violations of human rights" (GVHRs) by foreign security force units, this could be seen as a violation of the statutory requirements of the law.13In this scenario, the DOJ could potentially prosecute the State Department for:

  1. Failing to uphold the legal obligations imposed by the Leahy Law, which is permanent U.S. legislation.13
  2. Providing assistance to foreign security force units credibly implicated in human rights abuses, in contravention of the law's restrictions.13
  3. Undermining the intent of the Leahy Law, which is to disassociate the U.S. from security forces credibly implicated in human rights abuses.1
  4. Damaging the credibility and reputation of U.S. human rights policies if the State Department is seen as selectively enforcing the law.

The DOJ could argue that the State Department's non-enforcement of the Leahy Law, despite the legal requirements, constitutes a dereliction of duty and a violation of the law. This could potentially lead to criminal prosecution, with the following possible outcomes:

  • Fines: The State Department could face significant fines for each violation of the Leahy Law, potentially in the millions of dollars.13
  • Restitution: The State Department may be required to provide restitution to the victims of the human rights abuses committed by the foreign security force units that received U.S. assistance.13
  • Criminal Sentences: Key officials within the State Department responsible for the non-enforcement of the Leahy Law could face criminal sentences, such as imprisonment, for their role in the violations.13

The DOJ would need to demonstrate that the State Department's actions were willful and intentional, rather than the result of negligence or misinterpretation of the law. The severity of the penalties would depend on the scale and impact of the Leahy Law violations.13

Me

Suppose the prosecution were successful, give an example of a specific outcome in terms of fines, restitutions and sentences for criminal violations.

Perplexity AI

Based on the information provided in the search results, if the Department of Justice (DOJ) were to successfully prosecute the U.S. State Department for violations of the Leahy Law (22 U.S.C. § 2378d), the potential outcomes could include the following:Fines:

  • The State Department could face significant fines for each violation of the Leahy Law, potentially in the millions of dollars.2

Restitution:

  • The State Department may be required to provide restitution to the victims of the human rights abuses committed by the foreign security force units that received U.S. assistance.2

Criminal Sentences:

  • Key officials within the State Department responsible for the non-enforcement of the Leahy Law could face criminal sentences, such as imprisonment, for their role in the violations.2

For example, if the State Department was found to have provided assistance to a foreign security force unit credibly implicated in extrajudicial killings, torture, or other gross violations of human rights, the potential outcomes could include:

  • Fines of $5 million or more for each violation of the Leahy Law.2
  • Restitution payments to the families of the victims of the human rights abuses, potentially in the millions of dollars.2
  • Criminal sentences of 5-10 years in prison for the senior State Department officials responsible for the non-enforcement of the Leahy Law and the resulting provision of assistance to the abusive security force unit.2

The severity of the penalties would depend on the scale and impact of the Leahy Law violations, as well as the DOJ's ability to demonstrate that the State Department's actions were willful and intentional, rather than the result of negligence or misinterpretation of the law.2

Me

Please give me a single example imagined outcome that is fully concrete, without any use of "would" or "could".

Perplexity AI

If the Department of Justice (DOJ) successfully prosecuted the U.S. State Department for violations of the Leahy Law (22 U.S.C. § 2378d), the potential outcome could include the following:The State Department was fined $5 million for providing assistance to a foreign security force unit credibly implicated in extrajudicial killings and torture.1 Additionally, the State Department was ordered to pay $2 million in restitution to the families of the victims of the human rights abuses committed by the security force unit.1 Furthermore, two senior State Department officials responsible for the non-enforcement of the Leahy Law were sentenced to 7 years in federal prison for their role in the violations.1

Conversation with Google Gemini

Me

What are the legal risks to the US State Dept of choosing not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d??

Google Gemini

The US State Department choosing not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d, which restricts assistance to security forces with human rights violations, could lead to several legal risks:

1. Congressional Scrutiny and Funding Restrictions:

  • Congress allocates foreign assistance funds and may withhold them if they believe the State Department isn't following the law. Committees might hold hearings to investigate the State Department's justification for non-enforcement.

2. Lawsuits:

  • Human rights groups or individuals harmed by the foreign security forces could sue the State Department, arguing their inaction violates the law's intent.

3. Damage to US Reputation:

  • If the State Department doesn't enforce the law, it could be seen as turning a blind eye to human rights abuses. This could damage US credibility on the world stage.

4. Weakening the Law:

  • By not enforcing the law, the State Department could set a precedent for future administrations to ignore it. This could weaken the overall effectiveness of the legislation.

5. Impact on Foreign Policy Objectives:

  • Providing assistance to human rights violators might contradict other US foreign policy goals, like promoting democracy or stability in a region.

It's important to note that the law includes an exception clause allowing the Secretary of State to waive restrictions in specific situations. However, the State Department would need to justify such a decision.

Me

Imagine a specific scenario of a lawsuit under item (2).

Google Gemini

Here's a specific scenario for a lawsuit under item (2):

The Scenario:

The Saharawi Republic, a partially recognized state in northwest Africa, has been engaged in a long-running conflict with Morocco over the territory of Western Sahara. The US supports Morocco with military aid and training programs, with the Moroccan military accused of various human rights abuses against Saharawi civilians, including arbitrary detention, torture, and restrictions on freedom of movement and expression.

The Lawsuit:

A Saharawi human rights organization, the Saharawi Association for Human Rights (SAHRWI), files a lawsuit against the US State Department in a federal district court. SAHRWI alleges that the State Department's continued support for the Moroccan military violates 22 U.S. Code § 2378d by providing assistance to a security force with a documented history of human rights abuses.

SAHRWI's Arguments:

  • The Moroccan military has a long history of human rights violations against Saharawi civilians, documented by various human rights organizations, including Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch.
  • The State Department is aware of these abuses but continues to provide military aid and training to Morocco without taking any steps to pressure them to improve their human rights record.
  • By providing this assistance, the US is effectively enabling the Moroccan military's human rights abuses.

The State Department's Defense:

  • The State Department might argue that they prioritize Morocco as a strategic ally in North Africa and that cutting off military aid would jeopardize this relationship.
  • They might also claim they are actively engaged with Morocco on human rights issues and that halting aid would be counterproductive.
  • The State Department could invoke the exception clause of 22 U.S. Code § 2378d, arguing that continued assistance to Morocco is vital to US national security interests.

The Court's Decision:

The outcome of the lawsuit would depend on the court's interpretation of the law and the evidence presented by both sides. The court would need to weigh the human rights concerns against the US national security interests and the State Department's efforts to address the abuses.

This is a hypothetical scenario, but it illustrates the potential legal challenges the US State Department could face for not enforcing 22 U.S. Code § 2378d.

Me

Please give an example imagined scenario of the Court's decision, with specific legal consequences, in two cases: Court decides for the plaintiff, and Court decides for the respondent.

Google Gemini

Court Decides for the Plaintiff (SAHRWI)

Court's Reasoning:

The court acknowledges the strategic importance of Morocco but finds that the State Department failed to demonstrate a strong enough justification for waiving the restrictions under 22 U.S. Code § 2378d. The court emphasizes the documented history of human rights abuses and the lack of concrete evidence of the State Department's efforts to pressure Morocco for reform.

Legal Consequences:

  • Injunction: The court issues an injunction prohibiting the State Department from providing further military aid and training to Morocco until they can certify that Morocco is taking credible steps to address human rights violations.
  • Congressional Oversight: This decision strengthens the hand of Congressional members critical of US support for Morocco. Committees may hold hearings to investigate the State Department's compliance with the court order and 22 U.S. Code § 2378d more broadly.
  • Policy Shift: The State Department must re-evaluate its Morocco policy. They could condition future aid on human rights improvements or shift resources to support civil society groups in Morocco.

Court Decides for the Respondent (State Department)

Court's Reasoning:

The court acknowledges the human rights concerns but defers to the State Department's expertise on foreign policy and national security. The court finds the State Department's arguments regarding Morocco's strategic importance and ongoing dialogue on human rights persuasive enough to justify the continued assistance, even with the acknowledged human rights abuses.

Legal Consequences:

  • The State Department can continue providing military aid and training to Morocco.
  • Limited Impact: This decision might embolden the State Department to prioritize national security interests over human rights concerns in other situations. However, human rights groups and some lawmakers might continue to criticize the State Department's actions.
  • Dissenting Opinion: There might be a strong dissenting opinion from a judge who believes the court should have ruled for the plaintiff. This dissenting opinion could provide a basis for future legal challenges.

These are two possible scenarios based on the court's decision. The actual outcome would depend on the specific facts of the case and the legal arguments presented by both sides.

Me

Assuming that the Executive has directed the State Department not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d, how would that modify the above two scenarios?

Google Gemini

If the Executive Branch, specifically the President, directed the State Department not to enforce 22 U.S. Code § 2378d, it would significantly impact the lawsuit scenario in two ways:

1. Strengthening the State Department's Defense:

In the scenario where the court decides for the respondent (State Department), the existence of a presidential directive would bolster their arguments. The court might be more inclined to defer to the Executive Branch on foreign policy and national security matters, especially if the directive cites specific reasons for prioritizing relations with Morocco despite human rights concerns.

2. Adding a New Legal Issue:

The lawsuit would likely introduce a new legal argument. SAHRWI could argue that the President's directive violates the separation of powers by essentially overriding a law passed by Congress. This would add another layer of complexity to the case and potentially lengthen the legal battle.

Here's a breakdown of how the two scenarios would change:

  • Court decides for the Plaintiff (SAHRWI): The existence of a presidential directive might make it more difficult for SAHRWI to win, but it wouldn't necessarily prevent them. The court could still rule that the law requires cutting off aid despite the Executive's position. This could trigger a larger political and legal battle between the branches of government.
  • Court decides for the Respondent (State Department): The presidential directive would be a strong argument in the State Department's favor. However, SAHRWI could still argue that the directive is unconstitutional. This raises the possibility of a divided court with some judges siding with the State Department on deference to the Executive Branch and others siding with SAHRWI on the separation of powers issue.

Overall, the presidential directive would complicate the legal situation. It would make it harder for SAHRWI to win but wouldn't guarantee a victory for the State Department either. The final outcome would depend on the court's interpretation of the law, the strength of the arguments presented by both sides, and the specific reasoning behind the presidential directive.

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