What Actually Mattered This Week: Top Risks 2023

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WHAT ACTUALLY MATTERED THIS WEEK

Eurasia Group’s Top Risks For 2023

If 2022 made anything clear, it’s that we’re not facing the end of democracy (nor NATO or the West).

But we do remain in the depths of a geopolitical recession, with the risks this year being the most dangerous we’ve encountered in the 25 years since we started Eurasia Group.

Our #1 risk is a rogue and humiliated Russia. Check out the full report to find out why.

Three days. Eleven votes. Still no US House speaker

Republican congressman Kevin McCarthy lost eleven rounds of voting in his effort to become Speaker of the House of Representatives.

A group of 20 fellow Republicans continuously voted against him, depriving him of the simple majority necessary to win.

The path forward is uncertain. This many rounds of speaker voting haven’t occurred in over a century.

If this is a preview of what’s to come, we’ve got a long two years ahead of us.

Photo of Bolsonaro eating KFC in Florida after Brazil election loss inspires memes – and even an oil painting

Defeated Jair Bolsonaro skipped Lula’s inauguration and was spotted in a Florida KFC instead.

What a wise decision…to get advice from America’s longest-serving colonel.

Meta fined over $400 million by top EU regulator for forcing users to accept targeted ads

The European Union continues to lead the fight against big tech.

TRUTHS, DAMNED TRUTHS, AND STATISTICS

% of populations that believe support for Ukraine should continue:

United States: 73%

European Union: 74%?

-Top Risks 2023 Red Herring: Cracks in Support for Ukraine

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THE GZERO WORLD WE’RE JUST LIVING IN

GRAPHIC TRUTH

WORLD IN 60 SECONDS

Why is the GOP, the Republican Party, having difficulty electing a House leader?

Will Erdogan have success playing peacemaker with Zelensky and Putin?

What countermeasures is China threatening in response to COVID travel restrictions?

Find out in this week’s World in 60 Seconds!

PUPPET REGIME

What do Vladimir Putin, MBS, Joe Biden and others want out of 2023? Don’t ask.

?Do you like what you’ve seen??Sign up for GZERO’s daily newsletter to stay informed.

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BECAUSE THE INTERNET

These are getting trickier.

WHAT TO READ THIS WEEK

Spin Dictators: The Changing Face of Tyranny in the 21st Century by Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman

With "Spin Dictators,"?Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman?show us how digital-age autocrats wage effective information warfare on their own people. In some cases, a public appetite for nationalist propaganda makes it easy for them, but the resourcefulness of leaders like Putin, Erdogan, and Orban help shape public opinion within the borders of their countries in ways that continually surprise outsiders.?

DEEP THOUGHTS

Whether you think you can or think you can’t, you’re right. – Henry Ford

Thanks for reading!?Please subscribe to Signal?for daily coverage from GZERO Media and my?Bulletin?for weekly deep dives from yours truly. And make sure to read my new book?The Power of Crisis?for a roadmap of this decade's great crises and how they might help us build a better world.

I am president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media and foreign affairs columnist at TIME. I currently teach at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs and previously was a professor at New York University. You can follow me on?Twitter,?Facebook, and?Instagram.