What ACLED data show about the run-up to Nigeria’s latest violence

Here's some data context to the triple suicide bombings in #Nigeria's #Borno state that reportedly killed at least 18 people on Saturday.?

We hope this guided tour will show why the data calculators on ACLED’s website should be a first stop for any reporter, researcher or policy decision-maker needing information on a crisis!

According to the ACLED Trendfinder, violent events in Borno had actually been tailing off since the last increase in January.

The ACLED Trendfinder further indicates that the so far unclaimed Borno attacks come after a year of rising political violence events in Nigeria.

A look at ACLED CAST, our forecasting tool, shows that violence is likely to continue at an elevated level in Nigeria for the next six months.

Of the 9,373 reported fatalities in Nigeria over the past year, 2,383 were in Borno state, according to ACLED Explorer.

Borno's trauma goes deep, according to the ACLED Conflict Exposure Calculator.?

Our best estimate is that 2.2 million people in the troubled Nigerian region – nearly half of the state population – were exposed to violence there over the past year.?












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