Week of June 24, 2024 Newsletter

??THIS WEEK: Supply Chains, Artificial Intelligence, Healthcare, Climate Action, Sustainability, Trade

Get the inside scoop on the latest global updates, including critical economic insights and climate strategy updates. Arm yourself with our executive brief today!

This week’s free Executive Brief is on:? U.S. Federal Supply Chain (Freight Plan) Regulation Overhaul

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HAPPENING THIS WEEK

Monday, 24 June

• International: Commemorative event for International Day of Women in Diplomacy 2024 (New York).
• South Korea: 2024 United Nations Public Service Forum and Awards Ceremony from 24 to 26 June (Incheon).
• International: World Health Organization (WHO) launches a milestone 5-year progress report on transfat elimination.

Tuesday, 25 June

• Belgium: European Sustainable Industry Summit 2024 (Brussels).
• India: New session of parliament after the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) secured a third term in power.
• China: World Economic Forum's "Summer Davos" conference opens (Dalian).
• China: National People's Congress Standing Committee session (Beijing).
• Japan: Sony Group annual shareholders meeting (Tokyo).
• China: Chang'e 6 lunar probe due to return to Earth with samples from the far side of the moon.
• EU: Constitutive meetings of S&D and The Left political groups (Brussels).
• Spain: Empowering Cities - Climate-Neutral and Smart Cities conference 2024 from 25 to 26 June (Valencia).
• USA: House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations: "Examining Anti-Doping Measures in Advance of the 2024 Olympics" (Washington, D.C.).

Wednesday, 26 June

• USA: Fourth United Nations Chiefs of Police Summit (UNCOPS 2024) from 26 to 27 June (New York).
• USA: House Committee on Homeland Security: "Finding 500,000: Addressing America’s Cyber Workforce Gap" (Washington, D.C.).
• USA: House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology: "Overview of the Budget Proposal for the Department of Energy for Fiscal Year 2025" (Washington, D.C.).
• USA: House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Innovation, Data, and Commerce: "The Fiscal Year 2025 Department of Commerce Budget" (Washington, D.C.).
• USA: Committee on House Administration: "The U.S. Copyright Office: Customers, Communities, and Modernization Efforts" (Washington, D.C.).
• USA: House Judiciary Subcommittee on Courts, Intellectual Property, and the Internet: "Radio, Music, and Copyrights: 100 Years of Inequity for Recording Artists" (Washington, D.C.).
• USA: House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe: "Analyzing the Fiscal Year 25 State and Foreign Operations Budget Request for Europe" (Washington, D.C.).
• USA: House Ways and Means Subcommittee on Health: "Improving Value-Based Care for Patients and Providers" (Washington, D.C.).
• EU: Constitutive meetings of Renew and ECR political groups (Brussels).
• Italy: OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024-2033 launch.

Thursday, 27 June

• International: Micro-, Small and Medium-sized Enterprises Day.
• EU: ICPD30 Global Dialogue on Technology hosted by the Governments of the Bahamas, Iceland, Luxembourg, and United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) (New York).
• USA: House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure: "Oversight of the Department of Transportation's Policies and Programs and Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Request" (Washington, D.C.).
• USA: Homeland Security Subcommittee on Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Protection: "Ensuring Critical Infrastructure Resilience" (Washington, D.C.).
• USA: House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets: "Chair Gensler’s Equity Market Structure Reforms" (Washington, D.C.).
• Belgium: European Space Forum: "Key Industry Leaders, Policymakers, and Experts Debate" from 24 to 25 June (Brussels).
• Luxembourg: Council of the EU: "Agriculture and Fisheries Council" (Luxembourg).
• Luxembourg: Council of the EU: "Foreign Affairs Council" (Luxembourg).
• Luxembourg: Council of the EU: "General Affairs Council" (Luxembourg).
• Belgium: Commission: "Launch of the Science, Research and Innovation Performance of the EU 2024 Report" (Brussels).
• Denmark: European Commission and Danish Ministry of Climate, Energy and Utilities: "10th Energy Infrastructure Forum" from 27 to 28 June (Copenhagen).

Friday, 28 June

• Mongolia: First election under a new system expanding parliament from 76 to 126 seats.

Saturday, 29 June

• Vietnam: Gross Domestic Product data release for Q2 and first half of 2024.

Sunday, 30 June

• China: Purchasing Managers' Index data release for June.

GLOBAL ECONOMIC PULSE

USA

Inflation indicators, including the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, will be crucial as investors anticipate these releases. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, core PCE, will be evaluated to check progress toward the 2% target. Despite hopes for rate cuts following a lower-than-expected May Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Fed has scaled back expected cuts for 2024. June's flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data suggest continued downward pressure on inflation, with price levels for goods and services dropping significantly. Notably, the US saw robust growth in business activity in June, marking the fastest economic expansion in 26 months, contrasting with slowdowns in Europe and Japan.

Europe

Several European economies, including France, Spain, and Italy, will release their flash CPI data. These will be scrutinized for signs that the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent decision to reduce interest rates was justified. The United Kingdom's final estimate of first-quarter GDP is also expected. Previous estimates indicated a 0.6% increase, but recent monthly data have shown no growth, potentially influencing the Bank of England's policy. Political uncertainties in the UK and France have contributed to subdued survey data, affecting eurozone services and overall economic performance.

Asia

Japan's Tokyo CPI for June will be closely watched as it provides an early indication of nationwide trends. Inflation is expected to accelerate from 2.2% to 2.5% year-on-year due to higher pipeline prices. Japan also publishes industrial production and labor reports, which are expected to show positive impacts from normalized auto production and strong tourism. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will release a summary of opinions from its June meeting, which, along with other economic indicators, will influence its policy stance. South Korea's industrial production is expected to rise, driven by a rebound in semiconductor output and increased foreign tourism. However, auto production is expected to decline. In China, PMI figures will provide insights into business conditions, while industrial profits are expected to remain flat.

Latin America

In Latin America, monetary policy committee meetings are anticipated in Turkey, the Czech Republic, Mexico, and Colombia, with varying expectations on rate changes. Brazil will report consumer prices for June, which will be closely monitored for inflation trends. Mexico is expected to hold its rate at 11%, and Colombia might reduce its rate by 50 basis points to 11.25%.

Africa

South Africa will release its Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data for May. This will be a significant indicator of inflationary trends in the country.

Overall, inflation data and central bank actions remain pivotal across these regions, with significant economic indicators and policy decisions expected to influence market expectations and economic performance globally.

WEEKLY EXECUTIVE BRIEF

U.S. Federal Supply Chain (Freight Plan) Regulation Overhaul

The U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) outlines a vision for a robust freight transportation system to enhance economic competitiveness through safe and reliable supply chains. The National Freight Strategic Plan aligns with DOT's goals of safety, infrastructure modernization, and innovation. Key initiatives include regulatory modernization, cross-sector collaboration, and targeted federal investments. The Office of Multimodal Freight Infrastructure and Policy (OST-F) plays a critical role in overseeing multimodal freight grants, promoting public-private information sharing, and supporting research for enhanced mobility. The National Multimodal Freight Network (NMFN) and the National Highway Freight Network (NHFN), established under the FAST Act and amended by the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), aim to improve freight system performance and connectivity. DOT seeks public input on goals, criteria, and data sources for NMFN designation to ensure an effective national strategy.

Learn About

1.????? U.S. National Freight Policy Strategic Goals: the brief describes the clarified goals that will impact every business and how the forthcoming regulations are designed to enhance safety, modernize infrastructure (funding will be dispensed according to new criteria), and foster innovation for more efficient and resilient supply chains.

2.????? Lead U.S. Agency on Supply Chain Policy: ?Facilitate multimodal collaboration and innovation, leading to improved U.S. freight mobility and resource allocation for businesses.

3.????? Public Input on NMFN: Influences U.S. federal strategic investments and planning, ensuring that states and business interests are represented in national freight policy decisions.

Download it here free (no sign up required, though if you like we are happy to send you notice of our publications on a purely voluntary basis):? DOWNLOAD

Recommendation: State’s will have to update their freight plans according to new rules to be published by end of the year.? See informational video on Minnesota’s Freight Plan LINK .

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