Weather 20/20's Accurate Predictions
The weather pattern is cycling according to the LRC and with hurricane season winding down, let's take a look at some incredible predictions.
As shown above, on this first chart, Weather 20/20s predictions for the hurricane season made in March have almost had pinpoint accuracy for ACE, # of named storms, # of hurricanes, and # of major hurricanes. And, we had two main targets this season, which ended up being the two major hurricanes, Earl & Ian. Fortunately Earl curved way off the east coast and out to sea. Unfortunately, Major Hurricane disaster Ian blasted Florida in late September, a prediction Weather 20/20 made to target near Tampa six months before there was even a cloud.
The Barcelona Supercomputing Center has been tracking 29 different private, government, and University predictions for the 2022 hurricane season.
ACE stands for Accumulated Cyclone Energy. Weather 20/20 made these predictions on March 23, 2022 and as you can see above, this year's ACE, currently at 84 is right down the middle of the Weather 20/20 prediction.
On the David Bernard Podcast, recorded August 2, 2022, David asks, "ACE really tells the story, and your company, Weather 20/20, your calling the ACE to be near or slightly below normal, which is not anything compare to at least 95% of the companies out there predicting that. Why?". The LRC is the reason why! Thank you to David Bernard & Zack Fradella for the engaging conversation.
In this podcast we also predicted that their region over Louisiana would likely not have any risks of a named tropical storm this season. And, there was not one threat. This is also discussed in the above podcast link, so listen carefully when you get a chance.
If you have read previous posts here, in our substance newsletter, and in the Weather 20/20 blog, then you likely already know that the LRC even helped us predict tornadoes, severe weather outbreaks, winter storms and more.
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Here are more graphics from the Barcelona Supercomputing Center:
Two years ago, we used the LRC to predict the exact amount of snow for Kansas City's 2020-2021 winter season. 15.5" of snow was predicted, and exactly 15.5" fell.
According to the peer reviewed Cycling Pattern Hypothesis, known by many now as the LRC, a unique pattern sets up each fall beginning around the end of the first week of October.
In the published paper, I discuss La Ni?a and El Ni?a to showcase how they are just influences on something much bigger. The cycling pattern, described by the LRC, is being shown to be the centerpiece of the big atmospheric puzzle.
The new pattern is now evolving, the one we are about to experience for the next year, or at least almost a year. We are showing that hurricane season actually begins with the New LRC each fall. It then goes dormant during the winter, only to emerge in late spring and summer. The seeds for next year's hurricane season are being planted now. The seeds for this winter are being planted right now.
The pattern is in massive transition at the moment. I suggest that you don't take any winter prediction that gets made before November. As discussed in the paper, Jerome Namais suggested in the 1940s that there is enough information by November to reasonably make a winter forecast. We aren't at that point yet. Patience! We are learning a lot more about this developing weather pattern in these next few weeks.
Gary Lezak
Husband of 30 years, father of two Eagle Scouts, Paul Harris Fellow Rotarian, real estate investor, and owner of the Best Auction House in KC and MO, as voted on by readers of Pitch Magazine and Missouri Life Magazine.
2 年Well done Gary.
As always, impressive research backed up by the seasonal data. We’re eager awaiting this year’s winter forecast.