Will We See a Repeat of 2008? The Housing Market Today and the Lessons of the Past.
https://www.lombardodier.com/contents/corporate-news/investment-insights/2022/november/2008-versus-2022-are-we-set-for-.html

Will We See a Repeat of 2008? The Housing Market Today and the Lessons of the Past.

The housing market has been on a tear in recent years, with home prices rising sharply in many parts of the country. This has led to concerns that the market is overheated and that we could be headed for another housing crash like the one in 2008.

According to a recent report by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the median home price in the United States was $428,700 in February 2023, up 15.7% from a year ago. This is the highest median home price ever recorded.

The NAR report also found that homes are selling quickly in many parts of the country. The average time it took to sell a home in February 2023 was just 17 days, down from 22 days a year ago.

These factors have led some experts to worry that the housing market is overheated and that we could be headed for another housing crash. However, there are also some reasons to be optimistic about the housing market.

For one thing, lending standards are much stricter today than they were in 2008. Lenders are requiring borrowers to have higher credit scores and lower debt-to-income ratios. This means that borrowers are less likely to default on their mortgages today than they were in 2008.

Another reason to be optimistic about the housing market is that the economy is much stronger today than it was in 2008. Unemployment is low, and wages are rising. This means that borrowers are more likely to be able to afford their mortgages today than they were in 2008.

So, what does the future hold for the housing market? It's impossible to say for sure. However, it seems less likely that we will see a repeat of 2008. That said, there is always the risk of a housing bubble. If home prices continue to rise rapidly, and if lending standards start to loosen, then we could see a bubble form. If the bubble bursts, then home prices could fall sharply, and we could see a wave of foreclosures.

It's important to be aware of the risks involved in the housing market. If you are considering buying a home, make sure you do your research and understand the risks involved. And if you are a borrower, make sure you can afford your mortgage payments even if interest rates rise or home prices fall.

For any questions or assistance with your home financing needs, don't hesitate to reach out to me at?[email protected]?or call me at 443-607-2332 Together, let's turn your homeownership dreams into a reality.


Sources:

  • National Association of Realtors: https://www.nar.realtor/
  • Mortgage Bankers Association: https://www.mba.org/
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York: https://www.newyorkfed.org/
  • Harvard University: https://www.hks.harvard.edu/

Vinu Shanmugam

Architect | Technologist | Founder of 134° F

1 年

I am skeptical about a massive crash similar to 2008. Its too early to say. We are observing nation-wide price cuts but there is persistent demand. Here is a link that highlights July 2023 market conditions across U.S. https://www.dhirubhai.net/posts/134-f_national-housing-market-highlights-july-2023-activity-7096942428514881537-m9y2?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

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