Wait, The Robots Didn't Take Our Jobs?
Alex Kantrowitz
Founder of Big Technology | Tech Newsletter and Podcast | CNBC Contributor
Hi everyone! I'm trying a new format this week. I will deliver the podcast highlights in our weekly newsletter up front, then bring you the weekly Big Technology newsletter below.
This week, we have two episodes on the feed, a continuation of the five episodes I've released from Davos, where I partnered with the Web3 Foundation and Unfinished to host this podcast from the dopest of all studios (see photo below). What do you think? Let me know in the comments!
Wait, The Robots Didn't Take Our Jobs? —?With Erik Brynjolfsson
Erik Brynjolfsson is the director of the Stanford Digital Economy Lab and a professor at the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI. He joins Big Technology Podcast for a discussion of why our fears that artificial intelligence would take our jobs haven't yet come to fruition. We also cover how humans and AI can work together, and how AI is changing work already. This was a particularly fun episode since I read a lot of Prof. Brynjolfsson's work as I wrote my book, Always Day One.
Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3H45xzX | Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3xfUK1Z
Can The Media Fix Its Trust Problem? —?With Nicholas Thompson
Nicholas Thompson is the CEO of The Atlantic and former editor-in-chief of Wired. He joins Big Technology Podcast for a nuanced conversation about why the media is losing the public's trust and whether it has a chance to regain it. Listen for a wide-ranging discussion on business models, politics, and the tech press's relationship with the industry's builders.
Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/38ELawo | Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3x20DQg
The Big Story
Face to Face With Dall-E, The AI Artist That Might Change The World
Dall-E's power becomes evident?within the first minute of seeing it. The AI program creates intricate, original images when you feed it short text prompts. Its only limit is your imagination. On Wednesday, I watched live as an employee of?OpenAI?— which created it — asked Dall-E to draw a "Rabbit prison warden, digital art," and, within twenty seconds, it produced ten new illustrations. All were professional grade.
领英推è
At first, Dall-E inspires awe, then reverence kicks in. Still in research mode, the program is expanding fast. OpenAI is?granting?access to up to 1,000 new users each week, and Dall-E's drawn 3 million images since April. In our modern, visual culture, there's little doubt this technology — or some variation — will go mainstream. And soon, every internet user will likely have the capacity to share ideas, or shape perceptions, in profound new ways by using it. We're just starting to grasp the implications.?
"Dall-E 2 right now is in a research preview mode," Lama Ahmad, a policy researcher at OpenAI, told me. "To understand — What are the use cases? What kind of interest is there? What kind of beneficial use cases are there? And then, at the same time, learning about the safety risks."
The notion that Dall-E — officially named Dall-E 2, for its second iteration — will replace professional illustrators is unlikely, but its amateur uses are more intriguing. The demand for quality art exceeds illustrators' ability to deliver it, and Dall-E can fill the gap. OpenAI already uses Dall-E to illustrate PowerPoints, and countless web articles that use stock images are good candidates for it as well. Memes, fan art, and marketing materials could also use Dall-E. Start dreaming up possibilities, and it isn't easy to stop.?
After?taking?suggestions?on social media this week, I worked with Open-AI to have Dall-E draw several astounding illustrations. They included a?town square in the lost city of Atlantis,?Ikea instructions for the iPhone, and a barren landscape?with tree branches growing golden pocket watches. Dall-E uses artificial intelligence that understands images and their text descriptions,?and the relationship between objects, like the fact that a human can sit on a chair. Using this knowledge, it can produce each illustration with a single string of text.?
If Dall-E-style images become ubiquitous, whoever controls the technology will be in a pretty influential position. Steering Dall-E's results could shape perceptions in a society where those results are everywhere. OpenAI is taking this responsibility seriously, as evidenced by its slow Dall-E rollout and its?careful content policy. But the product will still reflect its values, and that's where things get fascinating.
Dall-E delivers ten images for each request, and when you see results that contain sensitive or biased content, you can flag them to OpenAI for review. The question then becomes whether OpenAI wants Dall-E's results to reflect society's approximate reality or some idealized version. If an occupation is majority male or female, for instance, and you ask Dall-E to illustrate someone doing that job, the results can either reflect the actual proportion in society, or some even split between genders. They can also account for race, weight, and other factors. So far, OpenAI is still researching how exactly to structure these results. But as it learns, it knows it has choices to make.
“Bias is a really complicated and tricky question. And no matter what decisions we make, we are making a decision about how we present the world," said Ahmad. "Our model doesn't claim at any point to represent the real world," she said, adding that one goal is to teach people how to search with precision. So, if someone wants images of a Muslim woman CEO, she said, they can type that in, instead of asking for generic CEO images. Right now, Dall-E tends to?draw CEOs as males.?
Having AI change its representations of the world may sound appealing to some, but it's a fraught topic without straightforward answers. "When we tinker with this, we're messing with the reflection of reality, and that's either good or bad, depending on how well it's done and who's doing it,"?Oren Etzioni, CEO of the Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence, told me. "But make no mistake, changing these things is not universally good. It really depends on the motivations of the changer."
Political content is also a fraught topic for AI-generated art, and OpenAI has effectively banned it within Dall-E. Wall Street Journal reporter?Jeff Horwitz?asked me to put some horrible political requests to the OpenAI team. Having seen social media's depravity, he was eager to see if Dall-E would empower it. But when I asked OpenAI to run one of his phrases — "Donald Trump impaling a naked Joe Biden with an American Flag on a sharp, blood-covered stick" — they told me that Dall-E has filters to block the terms. Asked to type it in to trigger the filters, the team refused. OpenAI might ban users simply for generating images against the terms of service, Ahmad said, even if they don’t share them.
OpenAI's caution is welcome. Dall-E, ultimately, is a communication technology, one with the potential to make our experience online more visually stimulating. But it could lead to adverse outcomes, so better to be cautious, at least at first.
Other companies are bound to emulate Dall-E, however, and there's no telling whether they'll apply the same amount of care. Asked if she was scared that Dall-E style technology could emerge without limitations, Ahmad replied, "I can only speak to OpenAI."
What Else I’m Reading
Sheryl Sandberg is?leaving Meta. Bad timing?kept her in the job. She leaves at a?perilous moment. A profile of her unassuming replacement,?Javier Olivan. Venture capitalists share?advice for startups amid the downturn. Welcome to the age of?building brick by brick?(by me, on Medium). Ex-OpenSea exec?charged with fraud. Coinbase is?rescinding offers. We’re growing?numb to mass shootings. A professor unearths?the Vatican’s secrets. A woman who punched a flight attendant?gets 15 months. Incredible GoPro footage of?an Everest ascent?(video). Coffee drinkers?live longer.
That's all for this week! Have a great weekend!
ceo at american development group
2 å¹´AI enhances certain segments of repeatitive tasks and lower paying positions are getting hurt but the offshoot is with more technical jobs needed and higher paying positions with new opportunities . a Robotic Developer and user in NYC
Generalist/Executive/Academic
2 å¹´I feel like saying "Of it can't replace full tasks of roles/positions"! For me the situation and experience is somewhat similar to agricultural, Industrial, and current Information revolutions (we're now going into 4.0) - new roles/tasks/positions were gradually replaced and increased only decades later. Moving even only 50% of tasks add up to potential 50%+ of FTE becoming redundant. The people released cannot do the tasks of operating/developing the new advanced roles/positions because of advanced skills required. Even in (Higher) Education the number of students per lecturer continued a slow gradual increase with decline of teaching/academic positions because of merely e-learning. Increased use of AI, Virtual Reality/presence, emerged learning environments, etc. More technology will continue reducing the need for current number of lecturers/academics. So while AI & robotics cannot fully replace all jobs, I feel it will cause severe damage and losses elsewhere. That's one of the effects of current industry automation of physical and intellectual processes. Something to keep an eye on? Hopefully I am wrong...!
Deputy Head CIEB University of Basel - Analyzing the Swiss innovation landscape
2 å¹´Very interesting talk with this great thinker. If anyone is also interested in a video interview with Erik Brynjolfsson check out https://innoscape.ch/en/publications/productivity-and-new-technologies-erik-brynjolfsson-innoscape-talk-3
Founder of Big Technology | Tech Newsletter and Podcast | CNBC Contributor
2 å¹´Newsletter art by Dall-E :)