Using AI for prediction of polls

As per google white paper (https://dl.icdst.org/pdfs/files1/350427db54ce5dcf1e46ad7f00d2e2cf.pdf) the data on google trends can be used to explore the interest of people over a period of time.

Let's learn how to use it by integrating with AI to understand people interest in political parties (INDIA)

Step 1: Open Google trends (https://trends.google.com/trends/)

Step 2: Search Narendra modi, BJP, Rahul Gandi, Congress

Step 3: Take a Screenshot of the chart generated

Step 4: Place the chart in GPT4o with promt : Analyse the pic attached

Results:

The attached image appears to be a snippet from Google Trends, showing a comparative analysis of web search interest for four entities in India over the past day. Here's a detailed analysis:

Entities Analyzed:

1. Narendra Modi (Prime Minister of India)Color: Blue
2. Rahul Gandhi (Member of the Lok Sabha)Color: Red
3. Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) (Political Party)Color: Yellow
4. Indian National Congress (INC) (Political Party)Color: Green

Filters Applied:

• Location: India
• Time Frame: Past day
• Categories: All categories
• Type of Search: Web Search

Analysis:

This setup allows for a comparative analysis of the search interest in Narendra Modi, Rahul Gandhi, BJP, and INC over the past day.

Observations:

1. Narendra Modi (Blue): As the Prime Minister of India, it's expected that his search interest would be significant, possibly higher than the others.
2. Rahul Gandhi (Red): Being a prominent political figure and a member of the Lok Sabha, his search interest would be noteworthy, though typically less than that of the sitting Prime Minister.
3. Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) (Yellow): As the ruling political party, BJP’s search interest might be high, reflecting its ongoing activities and policies.
4. Indian National Congress (INC) (Green): As the main opposition party, INC's search interest would also be significant, reflecting its political activities and stance on various issues.

Interpretation:

• Political Interest: The comparative analysis is useful for understanding public interest and engagement with these political figures and parties.
• Trends and Insights: Changes in search trends could indicate shifts in public opinion, responses to recent events, or media coverage.

Potential Uses:

• Political Strategy: Political analysts and strategists could use this data to gauge the effectiveness of campaigns or public sentiment.
• Public Engagement: Understanding which topics are gaining more interest can help in tailoring communication and engagement strategies.
• Media Focus: Media outlets can identify which political figures or parties are trending to focus their coverage accordingly.

This snapshot provides a high-level overview of the web search interest in key political figures and parties in India over the past day, offering insights into public engagement and interest levels.