US Presidential election Forecast

I have been bullish about Hillary Clinton and recent polls do not diminish my bullishness. I expect Hillary Clinton to register an easy win in the election tomorrow thereby becoming the first female President of the United States. While most recent polls around the world have been wrong (due to Social media effect), I have a feeling that polls are under-representing Hillary's support. Most demographic groups are widely ranged against Trump with only white men standing as the only group in favor of Trump. In that sense, her lead should be larger than it appears to be in the polls (about 2-3%). Still, polls could be wrong about Trump and well, that is how it is sometimes in life

Here are the forecasts (State by State)


In 24 hours we should have a precise picture. In the meanwhile please read through my past articles

Myth of a Trump Comeback

The importance of Florida

The Clinton revival in early October

The problem with US Opinion Polls





Subrata Bhattacharya

Market Research Consultant

8 年

Same like last couple polls in India.

回复

Third major and very public miss from pollsters this year

Siddartha Ramakanth Keshavadasu (Siddu)

Elsevier Author | Energy Transition | Green ESG | Clean Mobility | Net-Zero | Climate Change | CBAM

8 年

But proved to be completed opposite.

要查看或添加评论,请登录

社区洞察

其他会员也浏览了