U.S. economy, shrinking for second straight quarter, may already be in recession. Plus: a slew of insider-trading cases, plunging home sales, and more
Welcome to?This Week in Finance , your weekly roundup of the top news, conversations, and voices trending among financial professionals on LinkedIn. Click 'Subscribe' to be notified of each edition. This week:
U.S. economy contracts into 'technical recession'
The economy shrank for a second straight quarter , placing the U.S. in what is commonly but unofficially considered a recession. Gross domestic product fell at an annualized rate of 0.9% in the three months ended in June, the Commerce Department said, following a 1.6% contraction during the first quarter. While the labor market is the strongest it has been in about 70 years, with an unemployment rate of 3.6%, other areas of the economy are slowing in the face of high inflation and rising interest rates.
Fed: Third jumbo rate hike possible
After raising interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point for the second time in as many months, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said he wouldn't rule out another “unusually large” rate increase at the central bank’s next meeting in September. The Fed, fighting the fastest inflation in more than 40 years, lifted its key lending rate to a target range of 2.25% to 2.5% as part of the most aggressive tightening since the 1980s. Still, the economy has contracted for two consecutive quarters and policy makers are striving to rein in consumer-price increases of 9.1% without tipping the U.S. into recession.
Ex-Goldman VP faces federal charges
A former banker with Goldman Sachs is facing insider trading charges, U.S. prosecutors announced. Brijesh Goel, a Goldman vice president who left the investment bank in 2021, is accused of giving a longtime friend and squash partner stock tips using coded language about the sport, Bloomberg reports . Goel also faces obstruction of justice charges related to the alleged scheme. Goldman Sachs says it is cooperating with authorities, calling the allegations "egregious and illegal." Goel has been placed on leave from his current position at investment firm Apollo Global Management.
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Pending home sales in U.S. plunge
Signed deals to buy a home dropped 20% in June compared to a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors . The skid in pending home sales coincided with a spike in mortgage rates, CNBC notes , and NAR's data was released ahead of the Fed's latest rate hike aimed at taming inflation. The drop in contract signings was nationwide, though the South and West saw the biggest tumbles. The National Association of Realtors now expects total sales to fall 13% this year, before rebounding next year. ?? Here's what people are saying.
The latest from earnings season:
Can London's stock market fight back?
The London Stock Exchange has been having a rough time of late. The UK share of European IPO activity has been shrinking since the Brexit vote in 2016, and many of the most innovative companies continue to look to New York when they go public. Mark Austin, a partner at law firm Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer, has been tasked with shaking things up on the 220-year-old market, while LSE CEO Julia Hoggett is optimistic that Cambridge chip designer Arm will list some of its shares on the exchange in its upcoming IPO . ?? Here's what people are saying.
No slowdown for African VC activity
Startups in Africa raised more in the first half of the year than in the same period last year, according to new collated data, making the continent the only part of the world where such investment is still growing. The Economist reports that in 2021, more than 600 African startups raised a total of $5.2 billion, with five of Africa’s seven unicorns notching their billion-dollar valuations in that period. The nascent VC industry in Africa must still generate returns to tempt a wider pool of investors. ?? Here's what people are saying.
Gen Z saving for retirement at impressive rate
Gen Z just entered the workforce, and they're already making saving for retirement a priority. In fact, young people are saving more than older generations. People in the U.S. aged 18 to 25 are putting aside an average of 14% of their income for retirement, according to BlackRock , compared with 12% saved by millennials, Gen Xers, and baby boomers. Younger people may be more money-conscious after growing up hearing that they can’t rely on Social Security and watching their parents get through recessions, CNBC reports . ?? Here's what people are saying.
With Cate Chapman , McKenna Moore ,?Harriet Sinclair ,?Saundra Latham , Jake Perez , Jessy Bains ,?Theunis Bates , Sam Shead , Winifred Okocha , and Ruiqi Chen .
What's your take on the week's news and other developments impacting you or your business? Join the conversation in the comments below.
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Real Estate agent(Texas)
2 年It's all in your mind. Think positive...I just built a fence in 100+° weather.Not bragging nor complaining. I'm 78. Don't have too many regrets; Don't hold a grudge too long; Pay debts.;Need a clean conscience. Be right with your God.A smile adds years to your life. Dance Tejano.ha.
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2 年It would be nice if people asked "why do I care ? What do I care about ?". As a short term symptom of the response to inflation, I couldn't care less. Whether this meets the NBER definition is irrelevant for me. What it implies for the country in the medium-long term is another matter. We've had this asymmetric down turn throughout the pandemic and it's failed to impact me at all. What I need to know is not recession, yes or no, I need to know how it will affect my plans for the next 2-5 years for job hunting, retirement, house buying and travel. I haven't found my basic quality of life impacted by inflation and I doubt "recession" will be a great deal worse. So. For me, I have a general idea what matters, and it certainly isn't just a single word. I'm sure you all have your own different priorities and concerns. But I bet they don't come down to a single word either.
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2 年Its time to hit the reset button