US Dollar Loses Ground after Cooler-than-Forecast Inflation Data
Australian Dollar (AUD) Fluctuates following US Inflation
The Australian Dollar (AUD) was initially muted yesterday as markets were quiet ahead of the US inflation rate reading.
A souring market mood eventually pushed the risk-sensitive ‘Aussie’ lower before the US consumer price index triggered some volatility, seeing AUD spike and then drop back down.
A forecast drop in May’s consumer confidence index could see #AUD stumble today. Additionally, cooler Chinese inflation figures may also push the ‘Aussie’ lower amid disinflation fears.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Lifted by Weaker US Dollar
The New Zealand Dollar (#NZD) benefitted from its negative correlation to the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday.
A downbeat mood in the commodity markets stymied NZD’s advances, though.
Turning to today, a return to growth for New Zealand’s manufacturing sector could push NZD higher if April’s PMI rises as forecast.
Pound (GBP) Treads Water as Markets Await BoE Decision
The Pound (GBP) was muted on Wednesday as traders held off on significant bets ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest rate decision.
However, Sterling was underpinned by bets on the May meeting. Markets continued to forecast a 25bps rate hike from the BoE alongside speculation of additional hikes over the coming months.
Tonight #GBP could jump following the BoE’s interest rate decision if the central bank hints at further policy tightening.
Euro (EUR) Firms after Hawkish Lagarde Comments
A mixed market mood saw the Euro (#EUR) edge higher on Wednesday. Hawkish comments from European Central Bank (#ECB) President Christine Lagarde also lent support to EUR.
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On the other hand, confirmation of easing German inflation in April dampened both ECB bets and enthusiasm for the single currency.
Amid a sparse data calendar, the Euro could firm if the market mood continues to deteriorate today.
US Dollar (USD) Pulled Lower by Softer Inflation Data
Cooler-than-forecast #inflation figures hobbled the US Dollar yesterday. April’s headline inflation fell to 4.9%, whilst core inflation softened to 5.5%.
The data added to bets on an imminent pause in policy tightening from the Federal Reserve, thereby prompting USD’s downturn. A risk-off mood helped limit losses for the safe-haven ‘Greenback’.
Canadian Dollar (CAD) Slips as Oil Prices Weaken
The Canadian Dollar (#CAD) edged lower on Wednesday. CAD suffered amid fresh weakness in the US #Dollar. A downturn in oil prices also weighed on the commodity-linked ‘Loonie’.
CAD could fall again today if oil prices remain in decline.
May 11th 11:30 AUD??????Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (May)???????82.1
May 11th 21:00 GBP??????BoE Interest Rate Decision??????????4.5%
May 11th 22:30 USD??????PPI (Apr)?????????????0.3%
May 11th 22:30 USD??????Initial Jobless Claims (6/May)?????245,000
May 12th 00:45 USD??????Fed Waller Speech