Unexpected Advice for Budget Cuts
Budget cuts arrive like a storm, and the advice that follows is always the same: prioritize ruthlessly, find savings, get creative. But these platitudes miss the deeper truth. Budget cuts don’t just reveal where resources are strained—they reveal how leaders think, plan, and, most importantly, what we reward.
Let’s consider Mal and Alice. Both lead projects, both submit budgets. Alice does the hard work of optimizing her plan, requesting only what’s necessary to meet the deliverable. Mal, on the other hand, pads his budget. He adds a little extra here, inflates estimates there—just in case.
When the cuts hit, something curious happens. Mal calmly announces he can “make it work” with 40% less. He’s praised for his flexibility and team spirit. Alice, who has no fat to trim, pushes back. She’s seen as inflexible, perhaps even a liability. Mal is celebrated as the hero. But stop and think: If Mal can cut 40% and still deliver, why didn’t he plan that way from the start?
What’s being rewarded here? Efficiency? Honesty? Or the ability to game the system?
The Padding Dilemma
The Mal and Alice scenario isn’t just a quirk of budgeting—it’s the natural outcome of how incentives are structured. Padding budgets, whether intentional or subconscious, is a survival tactic in many organizations. If leaders expect everyone to pad, they apply cuts indiscriminately. And when those cuts come, those who inflated their numbers are seen as adaptable, while the honest are left defending themselves. It’s a corporate prisoner’s dilemma:
This cycle doesn’t just waste resources; it corrodes trust and rewards behavior that ultimately undermines the organization.
What to Do When Cuts Hit
Now let’s imagine you’re Alice. You’ve done the work to budget honestly. You didn’t pad; you planned carefully. And now the cuts have arrived. What should you do?
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For Founders, Executives, and VCs: What Are You Rewarding?
The bigger question isn’t what to do when cuts arrive—it’s what to do before they happen. If Mal and Alice are typical players in your organization, ask yourself: What behavior are we encouraging?
Breaking the Cycle
To break the cycle of padding, leaders must model and reward fiscal responsibility:
Final Thought: Clarity Through Cuts
Budget cuts reveal more than just resource constraints. They expose how organizations think about planning, incentives, and trust. Are you rewarding the Mals of the world—the ones who inflate, protect, and pivot with ease—or the Alices, who deliver honestly and consistently?
The companies that thrive in uncertain times are the ones that value cooperation over competition, transparency over gamesmanship, and strategy over survival tactics. When cuts come, it’s not just about prioritizing ruthlessly—it’s about leading wisely.
PhD, Computer Science
2 个月Great article. Reshared on my wall. Thanks a lot for your insight and time.