On Uncertainty and Opportunities
Picture: ChatGPT

On Uncertainty and Opportunities

The year has barely begun, and the world is already full of uncertainties. Does that sound familiar? That feeling of uncertainty that seems to surface at the start of every year? Sometimes, it's political debates or the inauguration of new president. Other times, a technological breakthrough - such as recent advancements in artificial intelligence in China - causes market turbulence.

You might think it's never been more difficult to predict the future and position your portfolio accordingly. I would argue: It has never been any different.

Crises have always existed. Anyone reading about the 1950s, 1960s, or 1970s will come across the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the Kennedy assassination, and much more. True tests of nerves for investors - yet they had to endure these challenges in the markets time and again.

Market Drop and Relief

How should we react to Trump? To Europe's weakening economy? To the disruptive forces of artificial intelligence? The provocative answer: "Not at all!" And that wouldn’t be entirely wrong. But it wouldn’t be entirely right either.

Of course, we closely monitor developments. AI, in particular, has the potential to revolutionize entire industries - some companies will soar, others will experience painful declines. This week, we witnessed strong market movements in individual stocks following a technological breakthrough in China (keyword: DeepSeek).

And it’s precisely in these moments that our clients glance nervously at their portfolios - only to breathe a sigh of relief. Our balanced strategy has cushioned the volatility. While some tech stocks came under pressure, companies in the fields of "Demographic Change" and "Evolution of the Consumer" made strong gains. Suddenly, solid dividend stocks were no longer considered boring but rather a stabilizing force in the portfolio.

Preparation is Everything

A well-thought-out investment strategy and consistent discipline are far more important than trying to predict an unpredictable future. In the end, it is not fear that moves us forward, but action. With that in mind, let’s remain well-prepared together - and look to the future with confidence.?


Disclaimer: Dies ist eine Marketingmitteilung. Die Anlage in Finanzinstrumenten ist Marktrisiken unterworfen. Die frühere Wertentwicklung l?sst nicht auf zukünftige Renditen schlie?en. Prognosen sind keine verl?sslichen Indikatoren für zukünftige Ergebnisse. Die steuerliche Behandlung h?ngt von den pers?nlichen Verh?ltnissen des jeweiligen Kunden ab und kann künftigen ?nderungen unterworfen sein. Bank Gutmann AG weist ausdrücklich darauf hin, dass diese Unterlage ausschlie?lich für den pers?nlichen Gebrauch und nur zur Information dienen soll. Eine Ver?ffentlichung, Vervielf?ltigung oder Weitergabe ist ohne die Zustimmung der Bank Gutmann AG untersagt. Der Inhalt dieser Unterlage stellt nicht auf die individuellen Bedürfnisse einzelner Anleger ab (gewünschter Ertrag, steuerliche Situation, Risikobereitschaft etc.), sondern ist genereller Natur und basiert auf dem neuesten Wissensstand der mit der Erstellung betrauten Personen zu Redaktionsschluss. Diese Unterlage ist weder ein Angebot noch eine Einladung zur Angebotsstellung zum Kauf oder Verkauf von Wertpapieren.?Die erforderlichen Angaben zur Offenlegungspflicht gem?? § 25 Mediengesetz sind unter folgender Web-Adresse zu finden: https://www.gutmann.at/impressum

Donovan F.

International Bond Specialist | Bond Placement Expert | Fixed Income Solutions-Global Sales Leader | Investment Portfolio Specialist | Team Builder | Cherry Rain

4 周

Fascinating! The DeepSeek breakthrough is certainly making waves. I'm curious, do you think this tech will revolutionize industries or just give us more accurate facial recognition for cat videos? Seriously though, would love to dive deeper (pun intended) into the implications. Thanks for sharing!

Anh HOANG

$200M+ Market Value Created | Board Member (Multiple Public Companies) | IPO & Fund-Raising | ESG Financing | Best-Selling Author | Global Value Investor

1 个月

Great thanks for the article Robert Karas, CFA We just wrote a short article about deepseek and china ai ecosystem ?? AI just got 45x cheaper—DeepSeek built a GPT-4-level model for $5.6M, and if this scales, Nvidia’s AI monopoly might not last. ??

Dr. Nils Barmase, MS, PhD

CEO & Founder at FIX Index Global

1 个月

That's a great list and gist of the contemporary state of affairs in the financial world. Thanks Robert Karas, CFA

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