UKRAINE, status update, 2022-11-16; 8:00

(ENGLISH VERSION - scroll below)

Durni? laivas

Durneliai. Kitaip rus? pavadinti negalime, i? ?alies kuri tiek supuvusi, kiek ir jos vald?ia. Orkai ir orkiukai d?iaugiasi vakaryk??iais smūgiais ? civilinius objektus. Tuo, kad putleris vykdo karo nusikaltimus taikydamasis ? civilin? infrastruktūr? ir tuo giriasi. Paleistas didelis kiekis ilgojo nuotolio raket? (90 - 100 vnt.) ir apie 10 iranieti?k? dron?. Tik ma?oji dalis raket? pasiek? tiksl?, ta?iau ir tai l?m? didelius energetikos infrastruktūros nuostolius.

Ork? vadai yra ma?? ma?iausiai durni. Kod?l? Taikosi ? civilinius objektus, o ukrainie?i? visuomen? po toki? smūgi? tik dar labiau susivienija ir yra pasiruo?? iki paskutinio kraujo la?o kovoti. Rusai tokiais veiksmais tik pakelia ukrainie?i? moral?, jos jie tikrai nepalau?.

Taip ?vaistydami itin brangius resursus rusai eilin? kart? nepasiekia joki? karini? tiksl?, ypa? atsi?velgiant ? tai, kad toki? raket? svarba ir efektas gali būti labai reik?mingi mū?io lauke.

Tad kitaip, kaip durneliais, ork? pavadinti negalime.

Tuo tarpu ukrainie?iai ir toliau s?kmingai kariauja ant ?em?s tiek ties Svatove gynybos linija, tiek ir kitose kryptyse.

Rusai nema?ina spaudimo Donecko kryptyje, ta?iau naudos i? to nelabai yra. Analogi?ka situacija ir Zapori??s regione.

Ukrainie?iai ir toliau gadina reikalus okupantams kairiajame Dnipro krante. Rusai bando i?silaikyti ir ten, kur ukrainie?iams pasisek?, juos i?stumti. Tuo pa?iu Ukrainos kariuomen?s atstov? pateik? informacij?, kad orkai atsitraukin?ja nuo Dnipro per 15 - 20 kilometr?. Mums tai skamba labai nenatūraliai. Takti?kai n?ra jokio loginio paai?kinimo, kod?l agresoriui reik?t? atsitraukti ?ioje karo stadijoje.

Kad ir kaip nor?t?si tik?ti jog ukrainie?iai sugeb?s ?sitvirtinti kairiajame up?s krante, kol kas toki? perspektyv? vertiname pakankamai rezervuotai. Mūs? vertinimu, tai titani?ka u?duotis, juo labiau ?inant, kad logistiniai keliai bus itin sud?tingi. Tokie veiksmai gali būti d?mesio nukreipimas nuo planuojam? veiksm? kitose kryptyse.

Vakar nutiko ir ypatingos svarbos sulauksiantis ?vykis. Kol kas vertinama, kad rus? paleistos kelios raketos nukrito Lenkijos teritorijoje - ?uvo 2 ?mon?s. Kol kas laukiama patvirtinimo, kad tai buvo ork? raketos, o ne ukrainie?i? prie?l?ktuvin?s gynybos. Situacija rimta, bet turime apsi?arvoti kantrybe ir sulaukti tyrimo i?vad?.

Kaip tikri bailiai rusai i? karto atsi?egnojo nuo to, kad tai j? kalt?. Jie dr?sūs tik prie? silpnesnius. O su stipresniais my?a ? kelnes. Galime neabejoti tuo, kad atsakas rusus pasieks ir jis nebus simbolinis. Lenkai tuo tikrai pasirūpins su NATO ?ali? pagalba. Koks jis bus ?iuo metu sunku pasakyti, nes atsakom?j? veiksm? palet? gali būti labai ?vairi. Kaip sako ukrainie?i? liaudies i?mintis – ?Москаль тод? правду скаже, як чорт молитися стане” – maskolis tada ties? pasakys, kai velnias melstis prad?s.

Dar ?domiau tai, kad masinis raket? smūgis Ukrainos teritorijoje surengtas dien? prie? susitikim? Ram?tein baz?je, kuriame, be jokios abejon?s, Ukrainai bus pa?ad?ta gerokai didesn? karin? pagalba nei planuota. JAV jau papra?? Kongreso patvirtinti papildomus 37 milijardus doleri? karinei, finansinei ir humanitarinei pagalbai.

Ir pabaigai saldainis – putlerio s?bras Lavrovas i?vyko i? G20 susitikimo nepasibaigus pirmai dienai. Orkistanas tampa atmata kuri niekam nereikalinga ?iame pasaulyje, su kuria niekas nesiskaitys. Gal?s d?iaugtis vogtais klozetais, skalbimo ma?inomis ir mokamomis reparacijomis pralaim?jus kar?.

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ENGLISH VERSION

Ship of Fools

Fools. We cannot call the military commanders anything else, from a country that is as rotten as its government. The Russians are rejoicing over yesterday's strikes on civilian targets. The fact that Putin is committing war crimes by targeting civilian infrastructure and boasting about it. A large number of long-range missiles (90 to 100) and about 10 Iranian drones have been launched. Only a small fraction of the missiles reached their target, but even this resulted in significant damage to energy infrastructure.?

The Russian commanders are at the very least stupid. Why? They target civilian targets, while the Ukrainian public is only more united after such strikes and is ready to fight to the last drop of blood. The Russians are only boosting the morale of the Ukrainians by such actions, and they are certainly not breaking it.?

By wasting precious resources in this way, the Russians are once again failing to achieve any military objectives, especially given that the weight and effect of such missiles can be very significant on the battlefield.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainians continue to fight successfully on the ground, both along the Svatov defense line and in other directions.?

The Russians are keeping up the pressure in the direction of Donetsk, but it is not doing much good. The situation is similar in the Zaporizhzhya region.?

The Ukrainians continue to spoil things for the occupiers on the left bank of the Dnipro. The Russians are trying to hold on and, where the Ukrainians have succeeded, to push them out. At the same time, the Ukrainian army has reported that the Russians are retreating 15 to 20 kilometers from Dnipro. This sounds very unnatural to us. Tactically, there is no logical explanation why the aggressor should retreat at this stage of the war.

As much as we would like to believe that the Ukrainians will be able to gain a foothold on the left bank of the river, we are currently quite reserved about this prospect. In our estimation, this is a titanic task, especially given that the logistical routes will be extremely difficult. Such an action could be a distraction from planned actions in other directions.?

Yesterday, there was also an event of particular importance. So far, it is estimated that several missiles fired by the Russians landed on Polish territory, killing 2 people. Confirmation is awaited that these were Russian missiles and not Ukrainian air defense missiles. The situation is serious, but we must be patient and await the conclusions of the investigation.

Like true cowards, the Russians immediately disavowed the fact that it was their fault. They are only brave against the weak. We can be sure that the Russians will respond, and it will not be symbolic. The Poles will certainly take care of it, with the help of NATO countries. It is difficult to say what it will be at the moment, because the palette of responses could be very diverse. As Ukrainian folk wisdom has it, 'Москаль тод? правду скаже, як чорт молитися стане' – ‘Moscovite will tell the truth when the devil starts praying'.

What is even more interesting is that the massive missile strike on Ukrainian territory took place the day before the meeting at the Ramstein base, which will undoubtedly promise Ukraine far more military aid than planned. The US has already asked Congress to approve an additional USD 37 billion in military, financial and humanitarian aid.?

And finally, the sweetener – Putin’s minion Lavrov left the G20 before the end of the first day. Russia is becoming a backwater that nobody wants to deal with. Russians will be able to ‘enjoy’ stolen toilets, washing machines and paid reparations to Ukraine after the war.

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