UK Supreme Court Ruling - a Tale of 3 Triggers?
David Shiels
Board member, business acquisition, technology scouting, investment, innovation concepts
The decision of the UK Supreme Court that the UK government cannot trigger the Article 50 process of Britain's exit from the EU without a vote in Parliament may have wider reaching implications.
A new prime minister without an electoral mandate herself may well feel inclined to trigger a General Election where two main issues would be decided:
1. The electorate should return members of parliament who reflect the people's views in any vote by parliament on triggering Article 50 to leave the EU. This would effectively be a re-run of the referendum, except that MPs would act like an electoral college, feeling much more pressure to reach a decision which would more accurately reflect the mood of the voters.
2. Teresa May would be able to seek her own mandate - a request for a vote of confidence.
3. Faced with a year when there would be so many national elections within the EU, Brussels may wish to test the overall mood which could ultimately trigger long awaited EU reform, bring the UK and the EU much closer together in negotiations.
Interesting times ahead of a White House summit later this week. A year might be a very long time in politics.