The Tyranny of Over Optimization: How Perfection Is Crippling the Mining Industry

The Tyranny of Over Optimization: How Perfection Is Crippling the Mining Industry

The mining industry is caught in a dangerous cycle—a silent assassin lurking behind boardroom doors and project charters.

It’s called optimization paralysis.

And it’s quietly killing projects, eroding margins, and suffocating innovation.

Here’s the unvarnished truth: our obsession with perfection is the Achilles' heel of modern mining.


A Brutal Reality Check

In 2024, over 55% of mining projects failed to meet cost or production targets. Why? Endless tweaking and minor refinements diverted attention from real priorities. (Source: PwC Mine 2024 Report)

67% of teams spent excessive time on marginal process gains that added less than 1% ROI. (Source: KPMG Global Mining Outlook 2024)

Meanwhile, timelines slipped—16% of projects faced overruns, with losses running into millions. (Source: EY Mining Risks Report)

Here’s the harsh reality: while some teams agonized over efficiency tweaks, others seized market dominance by embracing bold innovation. Incrementalism doesn’t just waste time; it creates a competitive vacuum where disruption thrives.


The Hidden Costs of Perfection

This isn’t just inefficiency—it’s a full-scale crisis. Let’s call it what it is: the tyranny of never-ending optimization.

This obsession comes at a staggering cost:

  • Wasted Time: Teams refine processes that are already at 95% efficiency while neglecting strategic pivots that could unlock exponential value. The opportunity cost is immense—imagine the millions left unrealized while leaders polish minutiae.
  • Missed Opportunities: Fractional gains distract from transformative strategies like AI-driven operations, blockchain-enabled mineral traceability, or full-scale decarbonization.
  • Burnout: Over 43% of employees report exhaustion in a culture chasing unattainable goals. (Source: McKinsey Mining Surveys) The result? Demoralized teams, higher turnover, and fractured trust between leadership and the workforce.
  • Lost Momentum: Energy that could drive industry-leading initiatives gets consumed by endless refinement. When your team perfects a plan, competitors are already redefining the landscape.

This isn’t just poor management—it’s a systemic issue deeply ingrained in how mining projects are conceived and executed.


The Root Cause: The Optimization Trap

Why are we stuck? Here’s the brutal truth:

  1. Fear of Failure: Leaders mistake cautious refinement for risk management. But inaction is the riskiest move of all. By clinging to incrementalism, they lose sight of the big picture.
  2. Misguided Metrics: Teams track meaningless KPIs—like line items closed or time spent refining processes—that reward busyness over impact.
  3. Cultural Inertia: Decades of “perfection-first” mindsets prevent organizations from embracing bold decisions. Without cultural shifts, even the most ambitious strategies stall.


The Audacious Shift We Need

It’s time to break free. This isn’t about abandoning improvement but knowing when to stop. Focus on big wins, not trivial tweaks. Here’s how:

1. Escape the Optimization Trap

Ask one brutal, unflinching question before making a change: Does this move the needle, or are we just busy for the sake of it?

Leaders must ruthlessly prioritize actions that drive measurable impact. Anything else is noise. The courage to say no is just as vital as the vision to say yes.

2. Prioritize Bold, Strategic Moves

The companies reshaping the mining industry aren’t perfecting the past—they’re betting on the future.

Examples:

  • Rio Tinto: Investing billions in renewable energy hubs to cut carbon emissions by 50% by 2030.
  • Anglo American: Pioneering hydrogen-powered haul trucks, setting a new standard for decarbonization.
  • Barrick Gold: Leveraging blockchain for transparent mineral sourcing, redefining accountability in global supply chains.

These aren’t tweaks—they’re paradigm shifts.

3. Measure What Truly Matters

Stop tracking inputs like man-hours or line items closed. Instead, focus on outcomes like:

  • Project ROI
  • Time-to-value
  • Carbon footprint reductions

The question isn’t, “How much have we improved?” It’s, “Are we delivering meaningful results?”


A Maverick Call to Arms

The Doctrine of Deceleration demands that leaders rise above the noise. Every second spent optimizing non-essentials is time stolen from the future.

This is more than an operational strategy. It’s a revolution in how we lead, decide, and execute. Winning means bold decisions, big bets, and relentless progress.

  • Be Audacious: Take risks that redefine your operations.
  • Be Visionary: Focus on transformations that deliver exponential value.
  • Be Decisive: Know when to stop polishing the past and start building the future.

Let others polish their rocks. You build the mountain.


Closing the Gap: The Doctrine of Deceleration

To escape the optimization trap, organizations need a new approach. Enter The Doctrine of Deceleration:

  1. Strategic Deceleration: Identify when to pause and shift resources toward higher-impact goals. Ask: What’s the opportunity cost of one more iteration?
  2. Outcome-Oriented Execution: Replace activity-based metrics with results-driven KPIs that matter. Every metric should answer: Are we moving forward?
  3. Courageous Leadership: Empower leaders to act decisively, even under uncertainty. Authentic leadership is not avoiding risk but navigating it boldly.

The mining industry stands at a crossroads. The choice is clear: continue polishing yesterday’s processes or step boldly into the future. The opportunity to lead this transformation has never been more incredible.

The future doesn’t belong to those who tweak—it belongs to those who build.


Gabriel Urra Castillo

Director de Operaciones en Kinross La Coipa

1 个月

Gracias por compartir estimado Bira, el futuro pertenece a los que construimos cumpliendo lo comprometido.

Mercy Mwinzi

mercy the geologist

1 个月

I agree mining needs wisdom , skills and patience to progress

Gary Williams

President & CEO @ IEDG | Project Management, Advisory Board Member

1 个月

Fantastic article Previn! Thanks for sharing it! It's a call to action! Time for all of us to "...stop polishing rocks and start building the mountain". Part of the problem though is that building mountains takes courage and some might consider it risky.

Allan Polk

Semi Retired

1 个月

I think the process of optimization needs to be able to take into the level of uncertainty in the variety of parameters involved. At feasibility level and specifically in the case of a green-fields project, a pit optimization ultimately has quite a bit of uncertainty in a variety of subjects like geology, rock mass conditions, operating costs, operating productivities, mining throughput, process response, process throughput, manpower, power, etc. There is lots of uncertainty in multiple 'levels' of hierarchy within the over-all system. Feasibility studies are not typically within +/- 10% for many of the variables (as should be possible) and it is very common that once a mine is built and put into production that the ultimate throughput is lower, the recovery lower, the head grade lower, gross costs higher and the costs / tonne much, much higher. There are a lot of projects in Canada at least, that have been worked on for years and years and over time these projects are often less realistic than the original concept in the PEA. I like to call it polishing a turd.

Cheryl Hart, CPA, CMA ????

CEO - Growth Catalyst | Guiding Mining & Energy Transition Leaders to Unlock Business Growth & Innovation |Ask About Executing AI-Driven Solutions, Board Member | ??Advisory, Workshops, Speaker Series |

1 个月

Perfection is the biggest buzz kill atm. Dual paradox.... AI concern - with too much optimization, eventually we will be in a box.

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