Type 1 diabetes could double worldwide by 2040
Using a new model for projecting the number of people with type 1 diabetes (T1DM) worldwide, members of an international team of researchers estimate up to 17.4 million cases by 2040 — more than double the number of people known to have the disease today.
The Lancet study says 8.4 million people worldwide now live with T1DM. Although we used to call type 1 diabetes "juvenile diabetes," the majority of persons with T1DM are between the ages of 20 and 59, and there are as many people more than 60 years old with T1DM as there are people with T1DM less than 20 years old. The median age of onset is 29. Sadly, children diagnosed with T1DM remain the group with the highest risk of death.?
In low- and lower-income countries, diabetes takes an even higher toll. According to The Lancet, "Remaining life expectancy of a 10-year-old diagnosed with type 1 diabetes in 2021 ranged from a mean of 13 years in low-income countries to 65 years in high-income countries."
The burden of T1DM is significant and is expected to increase rapidly, especially in resource-limited countries. In the United States, insulin remains overpriced, adding to the growing crisis. Type 1 Diabetes Index model will be made publicly available, and we expect it will be an important tool to support health delivery, advocacy, and funding decisions for T1DM.?
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