Two inflection points. Ukraine war fatigue and smoking gun evidence of Trump incitement in Jan 6 2021: weird dynamic for fall 2021 ahead
In the next three months, i.e. about 100 days from now there will be two co existent trends battling over continuation of support for Ukraine against Russia
A. Trump WILL be charged for greenlighting the attack on Congress, January 6, 2021, whereas M. Greene and L. Boebert will be tasked by Putin in providing maximum distraction from Trump's legal issues, even if he declares himself running for POTUS 2024
B. War induced inflation will be still extreme in 100 days, leading to M. Greene and L. Boebert to echo without end the canard that " Real Americans do not care about Ukraine"
C. Putin's fantasy is that Boebert and Greene will write impeachment articles against Biden for 2023, based upon the support of Ukraine, in 2022. Wait for it.
D. Regardless of what comes up with Trump, Trump will insist that any evidence against him is "deep state" and his supporters likely will incite riots to influence November 2022 elections in the House and Senate
E. Putin fantasizes that Trump will be made speaker of the house to , if Biden and Harris were BOTH removed from office, 2023, that Trump will be made active POTUS, 2023 and that Trump will IMMEDIATELY withdraw from NATO and pay reparations to Russia due to NATO fighting Russia in Ukraine
Sound horrific ? It is, but even worse, and although E is unlikely, that it will fail as it will will be the signal for more MAGA riots all over the country end of 2022 and 2023.
F. Upon ruination of the war against Ukraine, Putin will probably want Alaska as part of reparations
G. Unfortunately there is a small probability of a Texas exit from the USA, which would lead to a US invasion of Texas. I.e. the state would be re occupied in about 2 months of fighting and this would lead to more weirdness on the part of the GOP which will then be trying to appease an electorate in a nonstop level of upset
I do not like any of it. The future will not be boring. and here is a prediction from one of my contacts which I unfortunately think is spot on
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The greatest prognosticator of our age was Philip K. Dick. His dystopian views of the future involved a growing confusion between what is reality and what is imagery generated by the media. In this current age with computers the ability to simulate anything, or that a psyops simulation game called CIDADA gave rise to QAnon illustrates how as a society we have multiply bifurcated into subsets of ideation cultures based on alt-reality programming. In "Blade Runner," adapted from Dick's "Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep," Rick Deckard is a police officer who must find replicants, who are bio-androids like humans, and eventually finds that he is not certain whether he is a replicant or not. He learns of memory implants?and begins to question the whole basis of his world. At the time in the movie there is a push to get people to move "off world," and in the novel it is to Mars, where it is not clear whether this is at all happening in reality. We are in our way heading further into this sort of world, and now virtual reality or the "metaverse" is coming upon us.?
What is reality and what is imagery, whether for propaganda or just for vicarious life experiences, is going to become increasingly difficult for people to ascertain. In a video of a primary debate with Liz Cheney the other candidates largely were into the whole idea of Fauci as the great evil, compare with the bogeyman Goldstein in Orwell's "1984," and that there really were Nazis running Ukraine. Cheney pretty clearly showed she was a cut above the others, but that may not translate into votes. As the ability to simulate reality improves it will become more difficult for even relatively intelligent people to discern what is going on.
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We are in for some very weird times ahead. Unfortunately.
https://www.rawstory.com/trump-j6-evidence/
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July 02, 2022
?????
Gage Skidmore.
The select committee investigating Donald Trump's coup attempt has two new critical categories of evidence against the former president, a legal expert argued on MSNBC on Saturday.
"As we learn more about potential witness tampering during the Jan. 6 committee's investigation, this week's testimony of former White House staffer Cassidy Hutchinson could explain why those in Trumpworld were so worried about what she might have to say," MSNBC's Cori Coffin reported.
For analysis, Coffin interviewed former federal prosecutor Glenn Kirschner.
"According to Hutchison, Trump knew that some of his supporters would be armed that day, sent them to the Capitol anyway, even hoping to join them," she noted. "So, does this open up the former president to be criminally liable?"
"Yeah, this is what I would call smoking gun evidence," Kirschner replied.
"And interestingly, at the last J6 public hearing, we got both smoking gun evidence, and we got loaded gun evidence," he continued. "And what I mean by that is, as you just played in your lead-in, Cori, the president knew. He was briefed that his crowd was armed with assault rifles and pistols and knives and brass knuckles and bear spray, etc."
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"And you would think a reasonable response from a president would be, oh my goodness, let's make sure the metal detectors are operating properly," he explained. "He said just the opposite, take them down, let the armed members of the group in, and they can march to the Capitol from there. To do what? To stop the certification of his political opponent's election win. So in a very real sense, that smoking gun evidence that Donald Trump wanted to lead what we now know is an armed attack on the Capitol. The loaded gun evidence is, the witness tampering information, and you know, witness tampering just strikes at the very heart of the integrity of investigations, whether congressional or criminal."
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Next for Ukraine war fatigue
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2022/07/01/war-fatigue-is-coming-everywhere-0004379
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NATO is unified now. Will 'war fatigue' set in later?
By?ALEXANDER WARD ?and?QUINT FORGEY ??07/01/2022 03:40 PM EDT
President Joe Biden holds his press conference at the NATO Summit on June 30, 2022 in Madrid, Spain. | Denis Doyle/Getty Images
Programming Note: We’ll be off on Monday for the Fourth of July but will be back in your inboxes on Tuesday.
With help from Nahal Toosi and Daniel Lippman
Send tips ?|?Subscribe here ?|?Email Alex ?|?Email Quint
NATO just showed unprecedented unity in the face of one of the alliance’s greatest-ever challenges. The question now is how long that unity will last.
President?JOE BIDEN?has an answer : Indefinitely. “We are going to stick with Ukraine and all of the alliance is going to stick with Ukraine as long as it takes to, in fact, make sure that they are not defeated…by Russia,” he told reporters in Madrid during a Thursday news conference.
That’s surely the broad sentiment after?NATO agreed to boost its defenses ?significantly while paving the way for?Sweden and Finland to join the club . But cracks are already showing in the wall the West built.
For starters, world leaders fear their publics soon won’t be up for the fight. “War fatigue is coming everywhere,” Estonian Prime Minister?KAJA KALLAS?told?our own?ANDREW DESIDERIO?and?PAUL McLEARY ?during this week’s summit. “This has been going on for four months now. And there is high inflation, there is an energy crisis. Covid is not going anywhere. So this is becoming more problematic,” though she added, “we can’t be tired, because we have to help Ukraine defend their country.”
Fatigue is precisely what Russian President?VLADIMIR PUTIN?is counting on , as he hopes voters will punish their leaders for worrying about events in Ukraine instead of problems that are already creeping up at home.
There’s already bad news for Biden in the form of a?poll commissioned by the pro-restraint and right-leaning Concerned Veterans of America ?(CVA). When YouGov asked “Of the following issues, which should be President Biden’s top priority?” a mere 8 percent out of 1,000 respondents answered, “Ensure a defeat of Russia in Ukraine.” “Lower or eliminate inflation” was the most popular answer at 38 percent. In fact, “solve the energy crisis,” “lower cost and improve access to healthcare” and “something else” all received higher response totals than defeating Russia in Ukraine. (Crosstabs .)
“With historic economic challenges at home, it’s not surprising the American people are wary of taking on new security commitments abroad and starting a war with a nuclear-armed Russia,” said?DAN CALDWELL, a senior adviser to CVA. Biden “should note that the American people would rather he focus his attention on issues here at home that are directly connected to the well-being of the American people.”
It doesn’t help matters that the midterm elections are fast approaching. Domestic issues will take center stage, and Republicans will be pressured to bash Biden over the economy and shy from fervently supporting the Ukrainian-resistance cause, we’re told, namely because of pressure from conservative media figures like?TUCKER CARLSON.
Meanwhile, in the United Kingdom, the other country leading the pushback on Russia, politics continue to roil following a?challenge to Prime Minister?BORIS JOHNSON’s leadership ?last month. He survived it, but?rebels within his own conservative party haven’t given up trying to dislodge him from power ?this year.
Four months into the war, Western resolve remains strong. But how strong — and long — will depend on if those pushing for continued Ukraine support can convince their people that more is required.
THE INBOX
$820M IN WEAPONS FOR UKRAINE:?As Biden previewed at the NATO summit, Pentagon press secretary?TODD BREASSEALE?just announced an additional $820 million in security assistance to Ukraine. The package includes:
While the HIMARS come from presidential drawdown, the NASAMS, ammunition and counter-artillery radars come from Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative funds which, per Breasseale, "is an authority under which the United States procures capabilities from industry rather than delivering equipment that is drawn down from DoD stocks."
"The United States has now committed approximately $7.6 billion in security assistance to Ukraine since the beginning of the Biden Administration, including approximately $6.9 billion since the beginning of Russia’s unprovoked invasion on February 24. Since 2014, the United States has committed more than $8.8 billion in security assistance to Ukraine," Breasseale said in a statement.
RUSSIAN MISSILE KILLS 21 NEAR ODESA:?Ukrainian officials said 21 people were killed and dozens more injured today after Russian missiles hit a town near the strategic port city of Odesa,?The New York Times’?EDUARDO MEDINA?and?VICTORIA KIM ?reported.
“One of the missiles hit a nine-story residential tower in Serhiivka, about 50 miles southwest of Odesa, killing 16 and injuring at least 38, according to Ukraine’s state emergency service. Another hit a recreational center, where five died and one was injured, emergency officials said?on Telegram ,” they wrote. “Rescuers completed the search for bodies at the tower, which was home to more than 100 people and which was destroyed on one side, according to the regional military administration. They were still going through the rubble of the recreational center, officials said. The missiles struck around 1 a.m.”
The Kremlin continues to deny that it purposefully targets civilians. But the strike comes just one day after Ukrainian artillery and missiles forced Russian troops to leave Snake Island, which is near Odesa.
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