Trying Times for Tech: Re-Factoring the Financial Plan
Every CEO and CFO will face the moment where re-factoring the Company’s financial plan is necessary. Complexity and risk are added when some sweeping external force creates urgency to substantially change this Plan. During the summer and fall of 2022, many CEOs have faced this re-factoring need amidst the complexity of a worsening macro-economic environment. Staying ahead of a shifting economic backdrop is tricky at best for business leaders at all levels and measurably more challenging for the corner office.
With few clear indicators for guidance, Boards have demanded that CEOs “cut spending!” or “preserve cash!”. Ideally, the CEO is proactively taking steps to determine the best new plan that does both of these and more. Sometimes, the CEO is unprepared for these Board conversations, which creates its own set of anxieties. In any case, recognizing this re-factoring exercise for what it is, a conundrum, is necessary for both the Board and CEO.?
While a Board’s demand, phrased curtly as offered above, can be well-intentioned, it is not particularly helpful because it ignores the interconnectedness of total spending with top-line growth and the production of net operating cash. The conundrum can only be solved by considering these three major financial elements simultaneously. Such simultaneous equations underly every CFO’s financial budget worksheet, the nuances of which are many. Demanding that any one of these elements be managed individually is a fool’s errand. ?
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Therefore, the re-factoring conundrum must be solved by answering the question: “How much less should we spend that will still allow sufficient top-line growth (ARR) and generate needed net operating cash?” These equations are recursive, interconnected, pinned on underlying assumptions and impossible to satisfy individually. The better the CEO, CFO and Board understand these complexities, the better the chance at creating a satisfactory new plan that reinforces the business strengths and preserves the trust in these relationships. A CEO creates clarity by openly acknowledging the circular relationship among these three principal financial elements and working with the Board (& management team) to arrive at a re-factored plan that satisfies them in total. Minimally, this concept helps CEOs broaden their thinking and approach to this necessary exercise (strengthening their trust with the Board in so doing).
Lastly, with the urgency created by a shifting economy, a CEO and CFO are sometimes better served by creating more than one re-factored financial plan scenario for discussion and conclusion. A 3-Scenario Plan approach likely includes: 1) a new Baseline Plan (the one believed to be best overall given current expectations), 2) an even more conservative plan (which preserves more cash than the Baseline) and, 3) a more aggressive plan (which yields more growth than the Baseline). This 3-Plan scenario creates agility for the CEO and management team while creating clarity for and respect from the Board.
CEO Coach at Categorynauts, Founding CEO of Influitive and Eloqua. Author of WSJ and Amazon best-seller The Messenger is the Message, and Co-Host of The Best Half Show
2 年Great post. A general “cut expenses plan” generally doesn’t work. Without a focusing of the business plan in some way - narrowing on customer segment, focusing on the best use cases, change in productization or pricing - it is unclear how the business is going to come out ahead. Also I agree with having 3 plans to present to the board with a baseline plan. The two other plans represent different business plans with different risk and reward parameters. They shouldn’t just use different assumptions from the model assumption table but represent different ways to think about the business.
General Partner @ BGV, Arka | Products, Startups, Strategy
2 年Good framework Brian. Thanks for sharing. A few observations: 1. In some cases, you can optimize for Net Operating Cash, without impacting the other levers. 2. This is a good framework for forward planning. The cash crunch typically happens because sales and marketing investments are ahead of the revenue realization. It is important, especially in a soft market like we are experiencing today, to simulate multiple topline scenarios with same cash burn. It provides a framework to act in case those sales and marketing investments do not pan out. In the absence of those scenarios, CEOs and Boards are just reacting to the gap caused by the topline miss and making suboptimal decisions. 3. As you mention, ideally, the CEO is proactively taking steps to determine the best new plan and doesn't need the board to to intervene. It requires the CEO to keep their ears to the market and listen and adapt quickly.
On a mission to reshape B2B Buyer Experience!
2 年Right on! Balancing spend and growth is the right formula vs. budget cut. Assuming a healthy burn multiple, and continued market demand, over-cutting increases burn. Establishing a financially driven operations allows a company to optimize on an going basis.
Entrepreneur, advisor and education enthusiast
2 年Thank you Brian! Good and useful reflection path