TRX: From Black & Yellow to Black & Bruised
Drake Global Strategy
We help companies in the health and wellness category develop their brand, operations and product development globally.
As early employees of TRX who had the opportunity to be part of a rapidly growing brand that was truly innovating the fitness industry, we felt a combination of sadness and disappointment in its Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing.?
TRX went from a novelty to a must-have fitness tool and transformed the fitness industry. Nothing we say here attempts in any way to take away from that and is as much a personal reflection as it is a recognition that building a company is hard and most companies, no matter how good they look on the outside, are dealing with difficult challenges of their own.?
We deeply believe in TRX Suspension Training as one of the most innovative training companies in all of fitness, and its following are true brand aficionados. It is a great brand that has had a lot of smart and hard working people behind a founder with a strong vision and personality.?
We begin by looking at the basics of the filing, then a historical review that includes some of the internal challenges, details of the filing and finally what is possibly next for the brand.
TRX Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
This may seem like a bit of a Gordian knot, but bear with us for a moment. The Chapter 11 filing is for two of the five entities that hold assets related to the TRX brand.
The five different entities are:
Only TRX Holdco and Fitness Anywhere are part of the bankruptcy filing.
TRX Holdco holds a preferential and controlling interest in Fitness Anywhere, a subsidiary of TRX Holdco. It is these two entities that are part of the bankruptcy filing.
Fitness Anywhere International is wholly owned by Fitness Anywhere. Fitness Anywhere Europe is 99% owned by Fitness Anywhere and 1% owned by Fitness Anywhere International. TRXperience is wholly owned by TRX Holdco. These entities are not part of the bankruptcy filing.
What is a successful outcome of bankruptcy?
Per the filing, a successful outcome is to find a buyer for at least $25M.
Keep that $25M in mind as you read through the historical forecasted and actual revenues.
Some History
2010 - TRX was generating over $30M in revenue and internal projections were forecasting sales to reach $200M per year by 2013 based on market size and the historical trend of doubling revenue every year.
2011 - ~$50M revenue on a forecasted revenue of $65M
TRX was stuck hovering in the $50M annual revenue stream and the cash from Castanea was intended to support a number of key growth initiatives. The new office and hiring plan were based on where the company was going rather than what it could currently support on a long-term basis. What had been accomplished to this point was truly revolutionary for the fitness industry. TRX completely changed the landscape of continuing education while creating the Suspension Training category.?
Up to this point in the company there was not a big emphasis on targeting the consumer market. The focus had been primarily on the fitness professionals and it worked great to get them to attend a course, purchase and then use the gear with their clients who would then purchase their own gear.
To break through the $50M revenue mark a number of opportunities were pursued, including a product designed specifically for the home consumer and a digital toolbox for trainers to help them succeed in their business, TRX Core. TRX wanted to develop a recurring revenue stream with TRX Core
2012 - forecasted revenue $125M
Launch of TRX Home, a lower cost version of the Suspension Trainer that included a digital download of workouts and training programs.
Around the same, upgrades were made to the original Suspension Trainer and it was re-packaged as the TRX Pro.
2013 - forecasted revenue $250M
There had been a number of digital initiatives leading up to the launch of TRX Core that were ahead of the adoption curve. TRX had already launched a mobile app, digital downloads and was hiring internal software developers to complement external agencies. While these don’t seem like challenges today with no-code software for website and app development, at the time these were still mostly bespoke builds that required more time and money than expected.
The year leading up to this was challenging as everyone knew TRX was not meeting expectations. This tends to lead to greater siloing as people try to protect their domains, which leads to more inefficiencies, which leads to greater siloing…..no easy answer and rather than be critical of anyone in particular we can certainly reflect and see things that we could have done differently.?
2017 - $51.5M revenue and $4.5 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization
2018
2018
?2018
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2019 - $51M Revenue
?2020 - $85M Revenue (47% YOY Growth)
2021 - $62M revenue
?2022
Bankruptcy filing?
The top list of people owed money by TRX includes:
Of the $17M in unsecured debt the top 10 list is for a total of around $14M. The remaining $3M could be a lot of small accounts and / or some rollover debt they acquired from Castanea.
Current Assets
Since the company's debt ($36M) is greater than its tangible assets ($23M) it is very difficult to raise any additional debt to fund its operations and the bankruptcy filing is really the only way out.
The bank has secured debt so they will get their money back first and the courts will work out a deal with the creditors who will get a certain percentage of what they are owed.?
The bankruptcy filing will also allow the company to obtain debtor-in-process financing from the bank. DIP financing is senior to all other debt, so it’s secured, and is used to keep the business operating until it can be sold.?
?So Why did this happen?
The company states that revenue and cash flow cannot support ongoing operations due to a combination of the following:
Macroeconomics is definitely an issue. Nobody could have predicted Covid-19 and its economic impact on the past few years. Two of the largest debt holders, FlexPort and UPS, most likely helped TRX get product from the factory to the market via airfreight which is incredibly expensive when compared to slower ocean freight, both of which increased by more than 5x during COVID . In 2022, with rising interest rates/inflation the cost to service the debt will increase much more and this will also make it more difficult to find a buyer, at least one who will pay what they want.
Competition has been there for years. The company has spent a lot of time and money defending patents and there are plenty of lower cost or comparable products for people to buy. In the past, we would argue the strength of the brand and community created a great halo effect. This is tough to maintain and as the company correctly scaled growth into the fit consumer market it was harder to keep the community of trainers as engaged.? As the world grapples with inflation and a possible recession, lower priced alternatives to the premium Suspension Trainer will likely erode TRX’s market share. The entire product line risks becoming more commoditized as consumers become more price sensitive. The brand is still aspirational, but how much will that continue to matter?
Inventory:? The excess inventory purchase means they miscalculated the longevity of the home fitness rush and / or purchased a lot based on concerns over future supply chain issues. Amazon, who attempted to meet demand during COVID is struggling to figure out how to monetize the no longer needed 800,000+ workers they hired and millions of warehouse space they built during COVID.? No one got this right.
Digital:? It’s difficult and expensive to build your own ecosystem and many are seeing an unwillingness in consumers to pay for content. Digital platforms are like building a house, it always costs more and takes longer. TRX should have learned this lesson with previous projects. There was also an explosion in fitness brands with deep pockets and thousands of trainers who started marketing their programs, going after the same consumer, which would increase customer acquisition costs across all channels.?
Equity38 knew it was buying a company that was already broken and thought they could fix it. Like many over the past few years they made a big swing for the fences with their digital investments and were probably hoping for a windfall in subscriptions to drive recurring revenue. We estimate they spend $6-7M on the digital asset strategy. Equally, they over-purchased inventory probably through a combination of thinking the rush to home workouts would continue to drive sales and would build up stock due to the uncertainty around supply chain challenges.
Equity38 likely had very little room for error in their strategy and unfortunately it didn’t work.? The bank will get most of their money back and as is typical, the employees, suppliers and distributors will lose.
What happens next?
TRX as a brand will stick around as someone will buy it in what we believe as two most likely options:
We learned a lot at TRX and it served as a great career launching pad for many of its employees and cadre of Suspension Training Instructors. To this day, there is still the TRX halo effect of the brand when we speak with potential clients. One of the benefits working at a rapidly growing company is the broad experiences you receive that are unmatched in stable, larger companies. Start-ups are messy, change course quickly and it’s easy to be critical of decisions that have been made without the foresight or insight into their rationale.??
Like Icarus, TRX has flown too close to the sun, or as one of our prior colleagues stated, “TRX is a category-creating brand that endeavored into a blue ocean and created a wake so big that it capsized the ship”.
What began as a curiosity about the filing led to this broader reflection on the history of TRX, what got them to this point and where they may go next. One of the struggles in writing this has been to balance the information with the context at the time and not just “hang out the dirty laundry”. We are grateful for the opportunity to have been a part of TRX and will wait to see what’s next.
Professional Education Coach & Mentor. IDEA Fitness Instructor of the Year. Publiushed Author. Adjunct Faculty. I empower women to break down barriers, create connections, and just learn to elevate.
2 年Amazing history here Brian. Being one of the first Master Trainers for the TRXEducation, I can say it was great while it lasted. Unfortunately my experience with TRX has demonstrated leadership in ego, selfishness, and greed. Right from the top. The upper level execs will ALWAYS be okay. It’s the company and teams that suffer. #randyhetrick
Product designer, sourcing & supply chain wizard
2 年Around 2010 a team of 3 professionals from Mountain Hardwear reformed their supply chain. It is sad to see friends not get paid. The first president of Mountain Hardwear, Jack Gilbert, had HR policy, hire the right people and get out of the way. They apparently did not do that.
Inventor, content creator, speaker, physical therapist, virtual fitness trainer, strength and conditioning specialist, advanced vestibular rehab professional
2 年Like Pharma, the innovation, R&D, IP protection, and education distribution all come at a cost that the consumer is not willing to pay when the generics are available. TRX created a category and that is a legacy that can’t be replaced.
Sport Scientist | NHL, Olympics, USA Fitness Hall of Fame | Stage 4 Cancer Thriver.
2 年TRX forever leaves it's mark on the fitness industry. A giant whose influence exceeds the balance sheet.
Marketing pro for rapidly growing businesses | Private capital and IPO experience
2 年They owe a design firm nearly $7 million dollars? Was their fee a revenue share because it takes a lot of billable hours to rack up $7 million in fees.