TRADING WEEK SEP11-15

TRADING WEEK SEP11-15

It was a four day week with a steady downward path but on Thursday the SPY traded above its low so the the downward slide was arrested. The intraday trading ranges for SPY were 1.89, 4.70, 2.80, 0.51 and 2.58. The hi-lo for the week was 8.31. Last week's SPY straddle was a wash. The SPY 15Sep23 446 straddle is priced almost a dollar lower at 5.70 with five trading days instead of four and CPI coming out on the 13th at 8:30am ET, followed twenty-four hours later by the PPI. ORCL reports earnings after the close on Monday.

Made this model to forecast vol one period ahead. The blue horizontal line is the average variance rate in the sample, the black line is the volatility, and the red line is the expected future volatility of the SPY ETF Index. I bought a $0-Delta ,$1000 vega notional option strategy on my paper trade account.

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