Top business risks for 2017 - a second look

2017 continues to surprise, so my team at Frontier Strategy Group is updating our "Events to Watch" scenarios, first released in December. We've updated four of seven global scenarios so far, with new revisions weekly on our blog.

The updates so far:

1. China Loses Control: our hard-landing scenario (maintained at 35% likelihood)
2. Oil Supply Shock: the path to >$70/bbl oil (upgraded to 20% likelihood)
3. Workforce Localization Crackdown: nationalism disrupts MNC talent strategies (maintained at 20% likelihood)
4. US Infrastructure Boom: upside scenario for US/global growth, near & long term (downgraded to 10% likelihood)

Stay tuned for more updates - Subscribe to our blog, or follow Frontier Strategy Group here on LinkedIn.