Too much water for a decent flush?
For a few days, grey skies gave way to blue, drops of rain were exchanged for rays of sun, and a wave of optimism swept the country in the hope that the rain had finally abated.
No such luck! It seems we're not quite 'out of the floods' just yet, with some pretty heavy downpours exprienced across the country during the week.
Milk flows have been dampened in their enthusiasm, with the seven day rolling average sitting 2.2% down on this time last year.
Some of this drop has been precipitated by a jump in cull numbers, with nearly 2,000 head culled more than this time last year.
A great many herds had been carrying extra cows, and it's likely that the stale cows that were being milked-on, have been moved-on, as the back wall of the silage clamp started to appear.
My guess is that there are still more culls to come in the next couple of weeks.
Whilst grass covers are pretty good on most farms, grazing is challenging and we desperately need the dry, the warm, and the sun.
The AHDB grass growth figures report that whilst some farms are achieving seasonal norms for growth rate, the average is lagging.
With only three weeks left until possible peak milk production, it is looking like the peak will be weak, compared to last year.
We might end up with two smaller flushes, weather dependent.
Sources:
AHDB Forage for Knowledge: https://ahdb.org.uk/knowledge-library/forage-for-knowledge
AHDB Cull data - 'All Cows': https://ahdb.org.uk/beef/gb-deadweight-cattle-prices-by-region
AHDB Milk production Data: https://ahdb.org.uk/dairy/uk-daily-milk-deliveries
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