Too long for a tweet posting here

In one of the conversations about how AI will make a lot of peeps obsolete, so what is the point to be unlocked for launching a website or writing a course if there is no need for the course since the job that course suppose to help doing is or will be gone?

On the other hand if we will watch closely companies optimizing headcount per results for long period of time, getting more revenue with less people onboard.

Why? Because it’s difficult to manage people effectively and give a predictable outcomes.

It also a reason why genius consultants stop running big companies and start selling courses, the course would not fail the results for a Client while a services bought by a Client from that Genius are expected to be delivered on a high level of professionalism by hired employees and here comes a lot of risks and problems and drama.

That's why brilliant people opting into building communities around their expertise (monetize those communities) productize the expertize and build courses.

AI now can help more of the no-budget Geniuses unstick from the services model that was feeding them and start selling knowledge easier HOWEVER their knowledge is not needed anymore because people who would pay to consume it will want to unstick from their jobs too to sell their knowledge or start a side hustle while people they were managing will be replaced by AI because their area of responsibility was highly repeatable and mechanical.

Throughout drama threads sparked around FB groups of wannabe Devs there are calm people who are posting comments like: Coding is easy to be AI-ed but building hardware is not so easy to be replaced (meaning designing/inventing) I will argue on it separately (both will be easily replaced by AI) but one thing is valid: Manufacturing is the thing where AI will be used not TO DO WORK but to MANAGE PEOPLE AND MACHINES AT WORK THEY DO

BTW anyone conducted the research, what happened to all of those unused people who were not been required during the steep drop(chart above)?

Now AutoGPT it does not need a human at all it's not boosting other peeps reducing required amount of people overall it's replacing entirely.

In this thread on Twitter Greg Isenberg sharing that 2.8M jobs in the US are in Customer Service

Well I'm being exposed to the Customer service of Google AdWords just recently, it's a mix of IVR and outsourced offshore call center, I was "impressed" by Chatbots automations based on pure text communication and see 2 options:

• We are going to suffer miserably even more
• We actually will see improvement in our lives because no one knows were those 2.8M enough, are we going to be able to handle customer support without offshore call centers? OR we going to use offshore call centers but they would understand my russian accent better and I would understand their english because AI in the middle will be able to improve our voices on the fly and fix english for both of us and remove the noises etc

In the Tweet above Greg is afraid what would happen to the people who would be replaced by automations, but in the next post of the same thread after being excited that with AutoGPT businesses who could not afford social media managers to do marketing can put AutoGPT into set and forget mode and

... it will auto generate content and animate customers communities, but what for? Small businesses customers were people who were fired from the customer support ultra repetitive jobs in the previous tweet, and they were marketers who were fired by small businesses themselves and replaced by AutoGPT so now AI will populate content that will drive sales from people that has no income anymore it seems?

While we will all make ourselves 10x more productive through automations and ALL literally ALL industries are going to be disrupted and optimized we WILL NEED to actually focus on spending on AI itself because the total addressable possible to spend amount of money will be shrinked dramatically.

AI impact on optimizations is a cascading effect

Marketing ninja who is doing memes will not buy a coffee in a Starbucks drive-through on the way to Wework anymore it's Automated by GPT

^ it means no need for Starbucks, no need for babysitter or a daycare no need for driving as much no need for fuel, no need for doordash as much, no need for coworking spaces and that will in waves hit other corresponding related verticals: cleaning services/janitorial etc.

BUT the good news we did already a general drill of how things would look like when suddenly a lot of people stop doing they used to do before - Lockdowns

The results are unwrapping right now so I can't say what are those end results actually are.

One of the things that I picked up recently of one possible outcome, since we would not need as much people to do the job anymore then instead of layoffs it will generate shorter work week freeing up the additional day for consumption (shopping, experiences) and this additional day will be sort of sponsored by simultaneously giving the $ to reduce work week without paycut while pulling all the money that normally would be reduced through paycut by selling non-tangible purely AI experiences.

The next problem that is on the horizon is cost of Ads because when everyone was forced doing shopping online only, business was shifted to eCommerce, it created a bubble of online stores that bumped ad costs, more players more ads for bigger audience (back then) when the AI will remove barrier of entrance to eCommerce for example it will skyrocket amount of "concept stores" because everyone who was planning to have one but was not capable to pay to freelancer or agency would have one. So it will end up in multiple stores, selling either tangible goods or video streaming.