Thursday Picks NFL Week 7
Tim Tully V
Director of Sales/Biz Dev @ RoadMap Technologies | DAS, Forecasting, Business Consulting
Back for another week and we are starting to gain some steam in the NFL.
Last week overall Geneva Predictions on labofdata.com were
12-2 on Moneyline’s
6-8 Spread
8-4-2 on Totals
We have been pretty successful with both Totals and Moneyline’s so far this season.
For the Season, starting in Week 5 once we announced the Data was on like Donkey Kong
17-9 on ML
11-15 on Spreads
17-8-2 on Totals
We would expect our winning to continue but are cautious because of the public dominance over the books the last two weeks.
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For our best bets
This week we went 3-1, bringing our total to 5-4 through 2 weeks.
Baltimore Washington over 51.5
Win.
Washington +6.5
Got hooked. Wish we got the line @ 7 for the push.
Under 42.5 Cleveland vs Philly
I think the Eagles win this game, the spread is large and that usually leads to an under. 42.5 is one of those lines that they are begging you to bet the over and just under 60% of the public money lives there. I don’t think Cleveland will be able to put up enough points to hold their end, and I like the 22-19 projected total the system has.
20-16 final… GENEVA pretty solid.
Houston-Green Bay ML Parlay -109.
Winner.
3-1 on the week with GENEVA.
Here is a look at the Week 7 GENEVA Prediction Panel for the NFL
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Build you own models and projection tables @ labofdata.com
We have more projected plays this week than last week, which are picks in which we disagree with the public money. They are listed in the top corner of the page.
Here are my personal best bets of the week for the official record
Houston Green Bay Under 47.5
98% of the Public Money on Wednesday was on the Over in this game, the line could move north so check the CLV before placing your bet. We have a projection of 46.5 so this should be a sweat, but the public money makes this a confident pick from our engine.
Green Bay Moneyline over Houston
Geneva is predicting a victory for Green Bay and a lot of the public money is on Houston to cover the 2.5 vs Green Bay. I like Green Bay at home and their defense is starting to figure things out. Going to ride with them until they fail me.
Giants +3 vs Philadelphia
This is yucky but the Eagles are wobbly and don’t have the pass rush yet to attack the Giants in the absence of Andrew Thomas. Division games are traditionally close and all the money is on the Eagles to win and cover with the over as the cherry on top. A Same game Tease opportunity here if you want to push the Giants to 9 and the total to 49 if you’re into that sort of thing.
Atlanta -3 vs Seattle
The Public is very fond of Seattle in this spot, 87% of the money takes the Seahawks with the points. Atlanta tends to play close games and that may explain the publics favor here with the Falcons getting most of the ML action. We project a 9 point win for Atlanta.
Thursday Night Parlay by Geneva
领英推荐
I placed this on Underdog, sign up with code TTDC11 for a 50% deposit match
Bo Nix over 221.5 Passing+Rushing Yards
Alvin Kamara Over 99.5 Rush + Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson o 19.5 Receiving Yards
Courtland Sutton o39.5 Receiving Yards
+408
Geneva likes the Broncos by 12 if that does anything for you as well, and a 52 point total which is well above the line of 37 if you want some action for tonight.
College Picks Vibes Only
We got crushed last week with a 1-3 performance headlined by weak finishes from the Buckeyes and Ole Miss.
The Dog of the Week lost a nail biter but those are the breaks.
On the season we are now 14-11 and 3-3 on the Dogs.
Boston College +7.5 vs Virginia Tech TONIGHT
Tech struggled against Vanderbilt and their mobile QB, I like BC getting the hook here. Blacksburg hasn’t been kind to the Eagles in recent years, but BC coming off the bye should be refreshed and focused coming into this game.
Clemson -20.5 vs Virginia
Clemson has been smashing teams. Virginia is simply in the way and they are not very good.
Michigan Illinois under 44.5
Ugly game to watch, 85% of the bets and 88% of the money are on the over here, I like this spot for a public fade.
Texas A&M -15.5 over Mississippi St
I just like A&M and think they are going to smash Mississippi State. Thats it.
Dog of the week
Old Dominion over Texas State
This is a jersey pick and a jersey pick alone.
Just perfect. No notes.
Thanks for reading, see you on Tuesday!
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Director of Sales/Biz Dev @ RoadMap Technologies | DAS, Forecasting, Business Consulting
4 个月Broncos, Spread, ML, and the over from GENEVA for a 3-0 start...Not to mention 32 projected points for Denver, who scored...33