Three Urban Myths
Merry Christmas....yes Santa isn't real (sorry kiddies) but...
...many in the urban planning profession in Australia must think that he is, given what other stuff they believe.
Many urban planners appear to be lost in a dense fog of presumption and theory.
Sadly myths perpetuate.
This post covers three such urban myths.
Myth 1 - Higher densities mean less traffic
The theory is that higher densities around existing public transport networks will see a lift in public transport use and fewer cars on the road.
Public transport accounts for about 10% of total trips in our major cities and most urban metropolitan strategies aim to increase this to 20%.
So, four-fifths of the trips will, at best, still be via private vehicle. Why? Because the car is much more convenient.
Without serious infrastructure commitments to repair and upgrade the public transport networks in our cities, cars will continue to dominate.
Under current conditions, and somewhat ironically, inner city and middle-ring residential development is resulting in more traffic congestion.
Myth 2 - Urban consolidation is better for the environment
This implicit assumption is now widespread. Yet, the available evidence suggests the opposite.
* Comparison between suburban houses and attached product often overlooks the number of persons per household, which is much higher in the traditional suburban detached house.
* In traditional suburban detached homes, larger household numbers share various facilities – the refrigerator; television; washing machine; dishwasher etc., and even the lighting needed to light a room. The per capita energy, and even water consumption, is more efficient in suburbia than in more central urban locations.
* The nature of high density apartments is, in itself, prejudicial to positive environmental outcomes, due to things like clothes driers (lack of outdoor drying areas), air conditioners, lifts and the need to service (lights and air-conditioning) common areas.
* Also, suburban development allows for wider footpaths and private yards, which in turn provide space for trees to grow. There is less opportunity for greenery – a key producer of carbon offsets – in higher density urban development.
* Moreover, the greatest correlation between energy and water use (and hence, environmental impact) is based on per capita income. Wealthy people consume more energy/water and thus have a bigger environmental impact. Only the top 10% can afford a downtown apartment.
* And research by the Australian Conservation Foundation found that in almost all Australian cities, inner city housing produced higher per capita greenhouse emissions and had larger eco footprints than outer suburbs, notwithstanding the greater access to public transport.
Myth 3 – Most jobs are downtown
There is a widespread presumption that central business districts and their immediate fringes contain the majority of jobs in a city’s economy.
Developing housing further from the downtown area, the argument goes, will only mean more congestion as commuters try to get in and out of the downtown area.
It is easy to understand how this myth developed – the CBD/fringe holds the tallest buildings; the seat of government is often located there; so, too, are many cultural facilities; they are the hub of train/tram networks and the focus of much of our angst about traffic congestion.
But the inner city suburbs are home to around 25% of all jobs in a city’s metropolitan area and just 10%, when looking at the CBD alone.
So, 75% of our jobs are actually outside of the downtown area.
The implications of this are profound. Our elite friends often propose policy based on this myth: that urban dispersal of housing will mean longer commutes to work.
The facts are that most commutes within a city are across suburbs and not downtown. Unfortunately, this type of travel (and the nature of the work involved) makes it impossible to service efficiently via public transport.
So in truth, more housing on the urban fringe will not, in itself, lead to more inner-city congestion, but will produce more suburb-to-suburb work trips.
End note Perhaps, as a priority we should:
- Add more vehicular river crossings in a city like Brisbane,
- Create a better ring-road system, and
- Decentralise more of the workforce to suburban and regional locations
...rather than advocating downtown infill redevelopment and heavy inner city-centric infrastructure spending as a cure all.
Want to read more stuff like this....bridging the gap between property spruik and reality....then go here. It's free and some say valuable.
PS I am a qualified urban planner with 1st class honours and a string of achievement awards. I have practiced town planning in the past but saw the light about 20 years ago and now give project advice and select support instead. It has been said that I do more real urban planning these days than when I was employed in the planning industry. So if you want to have a go at me, don't start by telling me I aren't a town planner...
PPS Importantly this post, like my regular Missives, aren't BS pictures of me doing what I get paid to do; regurgitating mindless quotes and sayings or promoting that we got another client or job. LinkedIn used to be a good tool. Now it has become, well, just like the rest of social media...largely a waste of time when it comes to actually doing business....what a pity. What do you think?
Project Manager
7 年That was an eye-opener. Good article. Thanks.
Chief Marketing Officer at JG King Homes
7 年Michael, some nice insights. The power of data can dispel many untruths;) My personal view is one of the greatest challenges for a country like Australia is the fact our population is so small and dispersed executing any real effective strategies are cost prohibitive. As an example, look at the best train systems in the world. They work off a spider web design letting you get to anywhere in the country. In Australia we have this bizarre system of 3 lines all going into a CBD;)
City Planning Advisor at the Department of Municipalities and Transport
7 年Michael, unfortunately you are wrong on two points and not totally correct on the third, possibly because you have been a bit out of the loop for a couple of decades. 1. Well planned higher densities DO mean less traffic. A successful Transit Oriented Development should have public transport use (all trips) higher than 50%. One in Sydney that I had a bit to do with has 65% of all trips by public transport. The reason that a metro-wide target might be only 20% is because it has to allow for continued periurban sprawl. 2. Well planned urban consolidation IS better for the environment. Your points appear to be very similar to those at page 10 of "Consuming Australia: Main Findings" (ACF, 2007) except that where the report talks about consumption you have changed it to environmental impact. Also, you assume that if people live in suburban sprawl they will be in bigger households, which is clearly not an automatic consequence. Other studies have categorically demonstrated that per capita environmental impacts are lower in cities than in suburbs (e.g. the Chicago CO2 study at fig 1-17 of "Sustainable Urbanism: Urban Design With Nature" by Douglas Farr). 3. Most jobs are NOT downtown. Agreed, but the 25% or so of jobs that are located in the central zone of a city are the most concentrated density of jobs, particularly the 10% or so that are in the CBD, and local jobs (say, within a 10 minute drive from home) usually account for around 40-50%, leaving only 25-35% of jobs that are dispersed around the city. A large proportion of these jobs are usually in the main industrial zones, leaving only a small percentage that are distributed around the city (principally in health and education). This small percentage is difficult to service by public transport, but equally its impact on traffic congestion is usually small. However, more suburban development clearly does produce more traffic congestion (observe any Australian freeway leading downtown on any work day during the am peak) and distributing central city type jobs around the metro area requires subsidy (because these businesses naturally want to locate in or near to the CBD).
Semi retired but tempt me
7 年Good article Michael. Re LinkedIn, I never looked at it as a place to do business, but a place to connect. Early embracers of LinkedIn were IT people and now it seems to be largely used by recruiters as they struggle to save their diminishing industry. I do tire of the endless self promotion of some but it's easy to finger swipe. Keep up the good work, striving for fresh and honest commentary.