Tesla, We Robot, a quick summary and what it means for you and society
Maarten Ectors
Innovative Technologist, Business Strategist and Senior Executive | Bridging Technology & Business for Lasting Impact
The two seater Cybercab
The Cybercab is a fully autonomous two person taxi which has no steering wheel, pedals or mirrors. The Cybercab has a generous booth space. The predictions are that it will cost less than $30K and be available before the end of 2027. As always Musk’s time and money predictions can be off. People can buy a fleet of Cybercabs and start renting them to others. The Cybercab has inductive charging so no more need for plugging it in. Tesla also showed fully autonomous robot systems to clean the Cybercab from vacuuming to polishing the enormous display. The cost per mile is predicted to become $0.3 or less.
The Robovan
Want to travel in a group of people? Take the Robovan with up to 20 people inside. Alternatively goods can be transported inside it. Costs of Robovan transport can become as low as $0.1 to $0.05 per mile.
Everybody will need an Optimus
Optimus humanoids will be able to cook for you, clean, wash, iron, grocery shop, keep you company,… At scale they will cost $20K to even $10K.
Distributed driving data centres
AI needs a lot of compute power and managing AI data centres is expensive. So Tesla will overspec the computer in each Tesla going forward and be able to tap into a massive distributed data centre, with power and hardware costs all paid by its customers. Basically free AI computing.?
What this means for you and society
By moving away from owning cars that are only used ten hours a week to using cars as a service, we should see enormous cost savings, removal of traffic congestion, elimination of parking spaces which can be converted into green areas. No more looking for a parking spot. Not being able to drink because you have to drive. Not being able to fall asleep, work or engage with your family or friends.
Travelling will become exponentially cheaper. So if you would pay $0.1-$0.05/mile, use your car 10 hours a week, drive an average of 40 miles per hour, you would spend $160-$80 per month if you would use a Robovan and $480 per month for taking Cybercabs. No more washing cars, insurance payments, road taxes,… At these costs, traditional car manufacturers are too expensive to compete. But so is public transportation. A Robovan will pick you up during rush hour and drive you to the office. Because Robovans can bring your groceries and have them delivered to your door by a humanoid, who can then prepare your food, you will need to drive even less. Having an army of humanoids and robotic kitchens prepare food in close by containerised robofactories would mean that food gets delivered instead of you having to prepare it. So you do not need a kitchen any more in future houses. Again it would be cheaper to have a food-as-a-service subscription.
Humanoids can measure you and make your personalised clothing. Again clothing will become super cheap.?
Any factory created products will be produced in robofactories that can work 24x7 at a much cheaper price than what humans can offer.
The same price reductions for robot made housing in a modular way or 3D printed.
So Elon Musk is rightly predicting we will soon enter the age of abundance and cities will become green lungs.?
Tesla is going to be the biggest threat to Uber, Amazon, and Google. Why would you call an Uber if you can get a Tesla? All shopping and deliveries can be done better with Tesla bots, robofactories and autonomous delivery vans. Even AWS can have an ultra cheap competitor soon. Google Waymo will find Tesla a tough competitor but even Google Search is at risk because lots of products can be brought to you. Tesla can suggest where to take you.
So if Google, Amazon and Uber are at rrisk.What about your industry? What are other humans going to do if AI can be trained on free AI infrastructure and do most of the jobs humans normally do?
The future of work
I have been predicting many of these changes for years. Especially the future of work will look totally different. I have been preparing for this future for some time now and we working on launching solutions soon. If you are an investor, let’s talk. If you are not and are worried to be out of a job soon, why don’t you share this post?
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I help women find their inner strength, and get more love, pleasure and softness into their lives, so they can create the life of their dreams.
1 个月Interesting. What I wonder is what will the people do that can't afford these humanoids and cars? Those are the onces that has been cleaning offices. Now they aren't needed to even that? How will it affect the society structure, how will it evolve? Will the society be more black and white, more rich and pore? The second question is what will the people do with all their time? Will it go as with Greek in the history, they collapsed because they got too lazy? And the third question, where will all the money come to the people? If they aren't working that much? Will the whole money structure change? What will be then the new value? Interesting.
Talks about #AI #workplace #culture #technology #motivation #mentalhealth #palantir #Tesla #NVIDIA
1 个月Great article Marten, from workforce perspective and in particular a focus on Optimus bots, how will this affect the hospitality sector? Catering staff? Bar tenders? Will this potentially, lead to a replacement of human labour?
Project Manager | Focus on Business Growth, Marketing Strategies, and Data Analysis & Visualisation
1 个月While the CyberCab should still drive safely in low internet connectivity areas, the experience could be less efficient due to the lack of real-time data.
Mostly retired IT consultant. Primarily Azure, Windows Server, SQL, Entra ID. Mostly IOT now.
1 个月One slight technical quibble (but won't make any real difference to your projected future)-- Rather than 24x7 factories, many of them might be running only during daylight hours (due to free electricity from sun),
20 years ago who would have thought that a commercial organisation with no previous history/experience in producing spacecraft would deliver reusable rockets and transport astronauts at lower cost than NASA? Musk is demonstrating a future which may turn out later and be constrained as much by homo sapiens fixed habits as by technology. Gradually, gradually- suddenly and the future is here.