Tales from the Data Darkside
Pexels

Tales from the Data Darkside

Data science has many benefits for citizens. Sound data engineering has helped governments create and deliver better government services. Democracy thrives on good data.

Data can also be misused, often leading to horrifying results.

I recently read The Hank Show, which details how an entrepreneurial house painter turned drug runner turned DEA informant built a business empire based on buying states’ division of motor vehicles (DMV) data. Hank Asher, the “Father of Data Fusion,” pioneered many methods to combine databases to provide in-depth profiles of people. He started by buying Florida DMV records and cross-referencing people with buying records, legal records, and other government data sources to track peoples’ data trails.

Hank Asher would sell his data products by going to law enforcement trade shows and asking visitors for their names and addresses. He would plug the information into his data systems and display personal information about the person. The book recounts one story where a sheriff asked for a demonstration. Up popped the sheriff’s personal details, including the fact that he had been previously married – which surprised his current wife.

What’s the dark side of Asher’s inventions? As the author, McKenzie Funk, writes:

“A world in which computers accurately collect and remember and thereby make decisions based on every little thing you’ve ever done is a world in which your past is ever more determinant of your future. It’s a world tailored to who you’ve been and not who you plan to be, one that perpetuates the lopsided structures we have, not those we want. . .. See yourself through Asher’s inventions, and you see that what may be scariest is not when the machines are wrong about you—but when they’re right.” (p. 12)

And when the databases are wrong, they can have disastrous effects. There are many stories of people wrongly accused of crimes because of bad data. Other people have been denied the right to vote because of misleading data. Then, there are the recent stories of how COVID-19 contact tracing data was misused, causing privacy concerns.

Rob Copeland’s The Fund: Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates, and the Unraveling of a Wall Street Legend was the second book offering a cautionary data tale. I first heard about Bridgewater’s unique culture of radical transparency in An Everyone Culture: Becoming a Deliberately Development Organization. As I read about how every meeting at Bridgewater was recorded and available for review by any employee and how employees could rate each other on desirable characteristics such as critical thinking and emotional maturity, I didn’t believe such a culture could be good for people.

I was right.

Copeland describes how Ray Dalio’s theories of society and human development, captured in his “principles” list, governed who was favored at Bridgewater. Dalio’s ultimate vision was to use the data from the peer ratings (“dot voting”) to power an artificial intelligence application that would make human resources decisions on who to hire, promote, and fire. The Fund is a terrifying tale of badly misguided performance management that relied on the opinions of a megalomaniacal founder instead of objective data.

Much of the book describes the multimillion-dollar effort to convert 330+ principles into quantitative measures, which ultimately proved futile. Bridgewater’s efforts reminded me of some HR efforts where I worked with teams to measure abstract concepts like “servant leadership” or “empathy.” This is not to say that intangibles like servant leadership or empathy can’t be used in performance management. I successfully combined servant leadership and situational leadership for effective performance management. The key is to realize the differences between qualitative and quantitative measures.

As state and local governments rush to incorporate AI-powered data analytics into their process, these books provide essential insights into protecting people’s privacy, building safeguards in using data, and ensuring that data-driven decisions are based on good data. AI has much potential for good but beware the dark side.

?

Absolutely, the power of data and AI holds incredible promise but also cautionary tales, as you've rightly pointed out. As Albert Einstein once said, "The measure of intelligence is the ability to change." In embracing AI and data, let's strive for positive change. Also, speaking of positive changes, we're sponsoring an opportunity for the Guinness World Record of Tree Planting, which aligns with making impactful changes. Feel free to check it out here: https://bit.ly/TreeGuinnessWorldRecord ???

Very interesting Bill and the subject of so many science fiction films and stories. Concerning Brudgewater, opening yourself up to peer review (although I don’t have enough time to watch other people’s meetings) sounds very positive. The feedback scores could identify people who improve, or how well certain people do (or don’t) collaborate. I guess the problem is whether the data is a true proxy of the observed behaviors and if the data can provide a valid basis to answer the questions. The intent of those questions is another layer entirely. It also made me think about the qualitative and quantitative aspects. As someone who works in R&D it is very difficult to provide the metrics execs expected. “No” metrics can adequately convey the information! Time to move through stage gates? Adherence to a timeline? Financials? None of those are predictors of anything! It reminds me of my youth “If you can’t touch your toes you will need a walker by the time you’re 40…” and then Daley Thompson won a gold medal in the Decathlon…and he cannot touch his toes! Touching your toes proves you are flexible, and although you can make assumptions, it only shows you can touch your toes.

Woodley B. Preucil, CFA

Senior Managing Director

1 年

Dr. William Brantley Very insightful. Thank you for sharing

要查看或添加评论,请登录

Dr. William Brantley的更多文章

社区洞察

其他会员也浏览了