Is taking a Home Loan a Financially Prudent Decision?

Is taking a Home Loan a Financially Prudent Decision?

Buying a house is?an emotional decision for most of the Indians.A person who owns a house is considered financially secure and is a Hot favourite of any future mother-in -law. In China,this is also known as the Mother In law economy.We know what is happening in China today but more on that later.

An average ticket size for a 3BHK apartment in a metropolitan city in India can cost anywhere from Rs 1 crore to 1.2 crores?(excludes Mumbai). Lets for calculation sake, take that you will get the entire cost ?of the house as a loan from the bank at 8% fixed rate of interest.The bank has pardoned your processing fee.

You will save on the rent which you would have otherwise paid for this 3BHK.I have taken the rental yield of such a flat at 2.4% though the median rental yields in India are only about 2%.Technically the house belongs to the bank till the time you pay off the loan so now you are paying the rent to the bank instead of the landlord. There are many subjective points like shifting for purpose of job not only from a city to another city but also within the city.For egs In Pune-I may like to shift from VimanNagar to Hinjewadi if my place of work shifts from Kharadi to Hinjewadi.This is because of the major traffic issues in our cities.The properties are not appreciating because of oversupply in most of the geographies.What is happening is the per square feet rates aren’t increasing but the FSI is increasing in all cities.This is leading to major oversupply issues.There are many other points but we will try and restrict ourselves to only the Financial part-Is taking a Home loan to buy a house a prudent decision or should one invest the EMI outgos in equity?

So Lets say I buy an apartment costing 1 crore and take a home loan on the same.Its definitely a warm and fuzzy feeling and now on I am not at the?perceived mercy of the landlord who may tell me to vacate the house.

My EMI comes to Rs 83644/- per month.I would need to pay a maintenance to the society for Rs 3000 and would get an income tax benefit of Rs 60000 for the year. I would save the rent which I would have otherwise paid ie Rs 20,000 per month which is escalating by 5% every year so that I can finish off my loan early.

Now after doing all these actions-I end up finishing my loan in totality by the 168th month.This comes to 14 years.By this time I would have paid a total of 1 crore and 40 lakhs to the Bank.

Now that I am paying Rs 83644/- would mean that my cash flow can take care of this EMI.Now lets invest Rs 83644 every month in a well selected Mutual Fund/Equity ,which can generate 15% CAGR.Mutual funds with a decent performance have given this return.This percentage is only a median and there are a number of MFs which have given return from 17% to 20% CAGR.

We reach the lumpsum figure of 1 crore in 6 years and 2 months.Lets say that the property is in a decent location and is bucking the trend by having appreciated by 25%,we reach 1.25 crores in 7 years.This is exactly half of the time needed to repay the loan.

I fully realise that Indians are very emotional about real estate and would have a host of questions.It would be great to discuss them in the Comments section.

I can fwd the excel sheet in case you provide me your email.

#home #homeloan #Cities #India #Financialprudence #Financialadvice #Mutualfunds #Reporate #interestrate #equity #motherinlaweconomy

gautam pant

Government Employee at MOD

2 年

Sir, completely agree with your analysis. Investing in real estate have a boost in which prices have become 10 times in space of 10-12 years during 2000-2012... However, the boom of that time led to too many builders costing too many buildings, resulting in problem of plenty. This generation is not sticking to a single place of living and are more keen to travel and work..... I also feel that presently, the commercial properties are something which are attracting lot of interest but it will also suffer the real estate fate in coming years with cloud offices coming in..... Request if you could enlighten regarding REITs in this context and also investment in partial ownership concepts like Brikitt for holiday destinations... Thanks

Sunil Kumar Sharma

COO IIPL, Pune, Ex QP, n Veteran

2 年

Nice analysis Rochak??

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Colonel Raja Maji

Director-Growth@ Lera Technologies Pvt. Ltd. An Alumnus of Indian Institute of Management (IIM Indore)

2 年

There are two views on this.. as u mentioned one is purely an emotional need for us Indians and another is a more practical approach.. Your calculations do merit attention but in the end I will still like to own my property. But for the next generation the world has shrunk, and they would be globe trotting due to work or pleasure and for them home is where the heart is at that moment and will make more sense to rent out than be tied down by owning a property and the hassles which come with it.. An interesting study??????

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Ashish Pathak

Wing Commander (Retd) | Strategic Planning, Leadership, Operations, PMP,Lean Six Sigma Black belt

2 年

From a purely financial perspective living in a rental accommodation makes sense , however many of us are still take emotional decisions when it comes to buying a house. Thought provoking share Rochak Bakshi

CDR. Suman Kumar Chakraborty (Veteran) - Centre for Advanced AI_Practitioner

|ex-NDA|ISB Flag Bearer??|MTech-Gold??| |???Top 25 Exceptional Leader ?? in IT-2023| |Strategy|Innovation|Digital Transformation| |LinkedIn Top Voice ??|????Views personal??

2 年

Commenting for better reach... Makes absolute sense to have a more balanced approach

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