Superconductivity or Superdissapointment
Rickard Damm
Vice President Consumer AI at Deutsche Telekom - Eisenhower Fellow - MBA
I had such high hopes.
2023 was really going to be the year of the Beast. Both AGI and room temperature superconductivity. It all made sense. The simulation had entered level 2.0 and we were here for the ride.
Unlimited free energy. Supercomputing without limits. Space. Mars. Alchemy. Infinity and beyond.
But, it turns out that LK99 was nothing close to a room temperature superconductor. It was, in fact, an isolator! Mind blown. The superconducting properties were caused by ferromagnetism in turn caused by material contamination. How disappointing is this?
Well. As I have learned, to most scholars of the subject (not me) this was by far the most likely outcome. But, at least we have AGI round the corner! The year of the Beast remember? Not so fast...
Coming back to LK99. I find this whole episode really intriguing. Somehow a few scientists managed to break the internet with the same kind of nothing-burger that plenty of superconductor scientists before them never achieved?
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Perhaps we, the hopeful few in dreadful times, simply wanted it all to be true much more than before? Or, perhaps these guys just gamed the algorithms better and their "discovery" ended up top of the page?
So what now? Well, we gained a new isolator. And, perhaps we also gained back some space-age science enthusiasm we can funnel towards AGI??Can we still make 2023 the year of the Beast?
I, for one, am a techno-enthusiast and believe that there for sure cannot be a better time to work in a fast paced tech industry. We are investing heavily in AI to create better user experiences and to make everybody more productive. We will soon be in a Gigabit society. 5G will be in nearly every pocket...
In a few months when we summarize 2023 I believe that we will look back at a huge year for technology. LK99 was just a small blip, the real revolution is powered by AI and digitization. Both of which are making massive leaps this year.
Senior Director | Board Advisor | Head of Network Slicing | Angel Investor | Ex Startup Owner | Telecom prodigy | Out-of-the-box & Big-picture thinker | 20+ years of relevant experience |
1 年Rickard Damm Why did you expect that 2023 is the year of AGI? We were never on this path. Generative AI and the underlying solution with LLM models reach their limits a long time ago. The extra computations cannot change this. Actually, we might never reach AGI.
I see myself as an optimist who repeatedly opens the champagne perhaps a little too early. As always, if something seems almost too good to be true, it often is not true. Still. The world is pushed forward by those who might be a little too optimistic. And they also drink more champagne!
Pioneering AI-driven digital products and ventures
1 年I'm optimistic too! I really can't wrap my head around the dystopian views of Max Tegmark regarding the three ways AGI could lead to the end of civilization. I understand some of the risks but think AGI can at least be net positive
Home & TV at EE and BT Consumer
1 年The old joke has always been that room temperature superconductivity (and nuclear fusion, and a few other things) is 50 years away. And always will be.