Subsidence Weather Update

What type of year is 2022 going to be for subsidence? It may not be a surge but an event will feel intense for those who are not prepared. Are the subsidence suppliers ready and armed? Do the surge plans feel real?

Lots of comparisons with 2018 are being made but this might be ambitious given that 2018 was unique with a wet spring, who can forget the "Beast from the East" during an exceptional February. Who would have thought that after Storm Darcy wreaking havoc, June would be an exceptional month in terms of low net rainfall and high temperatures UK wide. July continued the momentum and led to the 2018 subsidence surge. So that was 2018.

This year as of 3rd July, we have not seen the spring rainfall and for this reason, the soil is already comparably dry when looking at 2018 data. The Jetstream over the UK is predicted to be stable and sitting at higher latitude. This will encourage a dry and warm July. At the moment there is no sign of a persistent wet spell.

Bearing in mind the concentration of favourable conditions in the South East, a busy spell looks on the cards unless we encounter some prolonged wet weather soon.

Remember that a busy subsidence year does not mean crashing out video based reports asap and battering site investigations. Both of which experienced huge challenges previously. It is about being smart, measured and transparent.