Subs and Shots Fired
Oluwatosin Olaseinde
Founder, MoneyAfrica & Ladda | Fintech | Edtech | World Economic Forum Young Global Leader | Linked In Top Voices Finance & Economy 2020 | Mandela Washington Fellowship | Financial literacy expert
Good morning and welcome to this week’s edition of 4 Customs Street, our weekly newsletter on the stock market.
The newsletter is divided into two:
Green White Green—focused on the Nigerian stock market.
Star-Spangled Banner—focused on the US stock market
Green White Green Last Week?
Last week, GTCO and Access Holdings briefed the investing community at the stock exchange on their public offer and rights issue respectively.
Key points from GTCO’s facts behind the offer.
GTCO will be the first Nigerian firm to make a billion dollars in profit.
The money to be raised is going to go for an aggressive roll out in the next 12 to 24 months within and outside Nigeria. This will enable them to play the retail and SME segment better.
Agbaje made a dig at fintechs and an unnamed bank when he said:
I'm not going to name any bank. We are not in 40 countries. It is a waste of time. We go to countries where there is GDP growth, youthful population and the loan to deposit ratio is low—Senegal, Tanzania, Uganda, C?te d'Ivoire, Kenya. We are going to countries where there is scale and we can make a decent amount of money.
I challenge other fintechs to publish their results. We publish every quarter. Habari will double profit this year. Made ?2 billion last year. Next time you have a fintech company here, please invite me. I want to see their financials.
In addition, he gave an update on the non banking businesses and the target for them.
Wealth management biz is on fire?
According to him, the aim under management is under ?600 billion and we bought this thing at ?27 billion. Growing about 635% a year.
PFA?
In PFA, he said, “It was recapitalised to ?10 billion, even though ?5 billion was needed. This was necessary because?we need to do an acquisition. You need to have some dry gunpowder to do an acquisition.”
He also mentioned some of the capital raised would go towards this purpose. Following this, the PFA will be growing like the other two businesses
Goals for the non-bank businesses?
For non-bank businesses, he said, “In three years, these businesses must give 5% of group profit and they must be in the top three in their industries.”
Balance sheets?
He continued, “All our loans are variable. So we can reprice as loans go up. We are not a bank that bought 5 or 6 year bonds where you are carrying negative interest rates. Our investment portfolio is under one year, so as they are maturing, we can replace them with higher yielding bills.”
Why public offer?
According to him, “We'd rather give everyone a chance. We will make sure the retail people are well catered for.”
Forecast?
His forecast for the future was that return on equity will not drop below 25%.
Last year's low dividend?
“Low dividend last year was due to forbearance loans (so 25% of dividends were withheld and revaluation gain (no dividends paid from here). The desire is to have a 50% to 55% payout ratio,” he said.
The shots
Access Bank CEO, Roosevelt Ogbonna, in their session, fired a few shots. According to him:
We are very selective about the markets we go to. We are chasing the money. It is not a Return On Ego (ROE). We are focused on where the money is.
If you look at the African continent where the real banking profit is. It is in Southern Africa. Followed by Eastern Africa. Then North Africa and West Africa and Central Africa. We are following the money.
We are not here for the short-term. In our view a quarter is 25 years. It is not about making money in the short-term. It is not about showing fantastic results from foreign exchange gains. We ensure we build real value.
In Access Bank, we don't manage fear. We manage risk. We have shown that we are very good at managing risk. Risk from our core operations. Risk from integration and acquisition in the mergers and acquisitions strategy that we pursue.
I know that there are many banks that will be like us even if they don't admit it publicly. We know what it takes to grow scale and do it efficiently. We do it in a manner that shareholder value is retained and ultimately, it is accretive.
We are near finishing with the phase of investment. From Q1 and Q2 2025, we are entering consolidation. For shareholders, it means that since we don't have too many npv projects left, there will be more dividend payouts to our shareholders. We have taken the time to bake the pie. Where we are now, it's time to eat the pie.
领英推荐
Green White Green This Week?
GTCO seems to be warming up for its public offer. We saw the second set of a slice of orange banners yesterday evening in Lekki.
Star-Spangled Banner Last Week?
Last week, JP Morgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo dropped their second quarter results.
JP Morgan and Citigroup results came in line with expectations.
For JP Morgan, revenue and earnings per share came in slightly better than expected.
Revenue came in a bit over $50 billion while analysts were expecting $49.9 billion. There was a bit of one off income as the bank made a net gain of $7.9 billion from the sale of its shares in Visa.
Adjusted earnings per share came in at $4.40 vs $4.19 that analysts were expecting. Adjusted earnings strips away all the one-time gains and expenses.
In the next quarter, the dividend will go up by 10 cents to $1.25.
CEO Jamie Dimon wasn't on the call, so there were no sound bites from him.
Wells Fargo’s share price dropped a bit even though revenue and earnings per share came in better than expected. Net interest income came in at $11.9 billion down 9% year-on-year.
Star-Spangled Banner This Week?
Report by the Wall Street Journal on Sunday emerged that Google is in talks to buy cyber security firm Wiz for $24 billion. If the deal pulls through, it will be the largest acquisition in Google's history. If it doesn't pull through, at the very least there would be an inkling during its next earnings call scheduled for next week.
It is an extremely busy one in terms of earnings, with 40% of the S&P 500 releasing earnings. These are the biggest 500 companies in the US stock market by market capitalisation.
Later today, Goldman Sachs and BlackRock will drop their second quarter results.
On Tuesday, we will get numbers from United Health, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley.
On Wednesday, Johnson and Johnson and United Airlines will drop theirs.
On Thursday, Netflix, Blackstone and Taiwan Semiconductor will release their most recent earnings.
We will be paying close attention to Netflix because their analyst calls tend to take a slightly different approach—one analyst and two executives. No, you won't get spoilers from your favourite series.
The numbers to watch out for are the number of subscribers they would add and their content budget for the rest of the year.
Financial and Digital Services Manager @Redcloud; the Intelligent open commerce platform | Member @ForbesBLK | Africa Payment expert | Business Growth | Ex- Sterling | Ex-Budpay | Next level Chief Commercial Officer
8 个月In my opinion each to his own; whether you use technology 100% to scale or you enter new markets by virtue of mergers and acquisition, just provide solve problems and provide value to shareholders