Stock Market Signal: Only Four Times in Last 90 Years

Stock Market Signal: Only Four Times in Last 90 Years

This week's stock market video covers nine new stock market signals, including a rare event that has only occurred three previous times. How did stocks perform in the historical cases looking out months and years?

The Evidence Has Been Improving

In a criminal case, jurors want to see the weight of the evidence evolve over the course of the trial. A weight-of-the-evidence approach works in a similar manner when assessing the evolving risk-reward profile of the S&P 500. As shown below via the topics covered between May 18 and July 11, the weight of the evidence has clearly evolved along a bullish path:

Debt Ceiling?- Market Does Not Look That Bad.

S&P Profile?- Looks More Like Bullish Periods vs. Bearish Periods.

Sector Strength?- Better Than Most Believe.

Stocks vs. Bonds?- Bullish Look.

Multiple Timeframes?- Converging In Bullish Manner.

Volume?- Institutions Are In No Rush To Sell.

Recession?- Charts Not Screaming Economic Contraction.

Long-Term Odds?- Secular Trend Look.

Rally Broadening - It Is Not Just A Few Tech Stocks



Frank Schmidt

Moving on to the next stage of life!

1 年

Excellent analysis this week and every week!

Thank you Chris and Kathy for your tireless work !

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