Stock crash imminent?
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1. Have you heard of the Magnificent Seven??No, not the 1960 Western film (or its 2016 remake) — but the most dominant stocks on the market that analysts can't stop fawning over.?
I don't fault them. The list of top market performers is a?veritable who's who?of household names: Nvidia, Tesla, Alphabet, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon.
This handful of Big Tech stocks have accounted for?nearly all the market's gains in 2023.?
Nvidia, for its part, reached a trillion-dollar valuation for the first time ever last month, and Tesla has seen a meteoric 137% climb this year.
Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon have all climbed between 35% and 55%, with Apple on the brink of becoming the first-ever company to hit a?$3 trillion valuation.?
The names that make up the so-called?Magnificent Seven?are now the seven biggest US-listed stocks.
But some strategists?think this isn't necessarily good news.?
"When there's a narrow group of leaders,?there's a big risk?if something bad happens to tech," Minerva Analysis founder Kathleen Brooks told Insider recently.
If interest rates climb even higher, she warned, then growth stocks like these could start to tumble.?
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John Hussman, the president of Hussman Investment Trust?who called the market crash in 2008, wrote in a recent note that the narrow, tech-heavy bias for the recent rally means?big losses are coming.
"If you want my opinion on the bull/bear debate," Hussman said, "which will change as market conditions change, my impression is that the current market advance is a narrow and selective speculative blowoff – a bear market rally driven by?fear of missing out?on the resumption of a bubble that is actually in the early stage of collapse – and that the equity market is likely to suffer profound losses over the completion of the full market cycle."
Are you buying or selling the Magnificent Seven? Let us know in the comments.
In other news:
2. Goldman Sachs expects small-cap stocks to outperform the S&P 500 over the next year.?Over that stretch, the Russell 2000 could deliver roughly 14% returns —?here's how investors can capture that upside.
3. Stocks are about to suffer serious losses,?according to a notorious bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes. He expects a brutal sell-off as valuations hover near historic extremes.?To him, the current rally is far too niche and speculative.
4. This batch of low-risk stocks are expected to nearly triple the S&P 500's gains over the next year.?Strategists from Goldman Sachs made the case for names they think will be low in volatility and high in returns.?Here's the full list of 39.
5. Sure, Apple is a great company — but there's actually not much that is driving it toward a $3 trillion valuation.?At least that's what Cleo Capital's Sarah Kunst said. In her view,?fundamentals aren't what's fueling its latest rally.
This newsletter was curated by Phil Rosen.
Internal Auditor at FSYH Group
1 年Thanks for sharing
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Managing Partner at Oparah Realty
1 年Looks like the Magnificent Seven are riding high on the market, but remember, even superheroes have their ups and downs! Stay vigilant and keep an eye on the broader picture.
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1 年Buy Apple Stock!!! ??