STICKS AND STONES-the war of words disrupting America's VP pollsters

Its less than seventy days until Americans choose between two tickets, with very different next in lines for the top job in a country of assassinations, rather than ballot boxes, producing transition presidents. This makes the choice of Veep of special interest to bookies and pollsters.

Republicans are suddenly on the defensive over their party's nominee for vice president. A handful have openly denounced those comments, while others have carefully put some distance between themselves and Donald Trump's new running mate.

JD Vance, running as Trump's inter-generational chosen successor, if history were to repeat itsel, of special interest to bookies and pollsters seeking to match him up with Kamala Harris's VP pick next week out of a raft of could-be VPs.

The bookies and the pollsters expect Donald will stick with Vance and present Buttigieg, (aged 42,). Beshear, (46), Shapiro (51),and Pritzker (59) as younger options and Kelly or Walz (both 60) as an older alternate.

This makes it interesting to note the challenge for punters and pollsters in an environment of uncertainty and turbulent war of words, stitch-ups and slogans disrupting expectations since Biden kept his transition commitment.

Bookmakers and pollsters face a myriad of challenges when placing odds on vice presidential candidates, particularly in the polarised political landscape of the United States. These challenges can be broadly categorised into methodological, sampling, and survey-related problems:.

Political rhetoric can influence how questions are perceived and how respondents answer. For example, terms like, "Brat", " Childless cat ladies", Crazy" or " Weird" evoke strong emotional responses disrupting public opinion surveys.

Different methods (e.g., online, phone, face-to-face) can yield different results. Each mode has its own set of biases and limitations. In this highly polarised environment, Some individuals are less likely to respond to surveys, which can lead to biased results if these individuals differ significantly from those who do respond and are locked into information that reinforces their views, leading to reinforcement of existing beliefs and potentially skewing survey results.

Ensuring the sample accurately represents the population is critical. Over- or under-representing certain groups can lead to inaccurate predictions.The spread of false information can affect public opinion and complicate the interpretation of survey results.

People tend to consume media that aligns with their views, leading to reinforcement of existing beliefs and potentially skewing survey results. A survey conducted immediately after a major political event like nominations of VPs or Presumptive presidents often do not reflect long-term trends.

Different next in lines for the top job in a country of assassinations, rather than ballot boxes producing transition presidents. This makes the choice of Veep of special interest to bookies and pollsters.

Political rhetoric can influence how questions are perceived and how respondents answer. For example, terms like, "Brat", " Childless cat ladies", Crazy" or " Weird" evoke strong emotional responses disrupting public opinion surveys. Republicans are suddenly on the defensive over their party's nominee for vice president. A handful have openly denounced those comments, while others have carefully put some distance between themselves and Donald Trump's new running mate.

JD Vance, running as Trump's inter-generational chosen successor if history were to repeat itself of special interest to bookies and pollsters seeking to match him up with Kamala Harris's pick next week out of a raft of could-be VPs.

The bookies and the pollsters expect Donald will stick with Vance and present Buttigieg, (aged 42,). Beshear, (46), Shapiro (51),and Pritzker (59) as younger options and Kelly or Walz ( both 60) as an older alternate. This makes it interesting to note the challenge for punters and pollsters in an environment of uncertainty and turbulent war of words, stitch-ups and slogans disrupting expectations since Biden kept his transition commitment.

Bookmakers and pollsters face a myriad of challenges when placing odds on vice presidential candidates, particularly in the polarized political landscape of the United States. These challenges can be broadly categorised into methodological, sampling, and survey-related problems:.

Different methods (e.g., online, phone, face-to-face) can yield different results. Each mode has its own set of biases and limitations. In this highly polarised environment, Some individuals are less likely to respond to surveys, which can lead to biased results if these individuals differ significantly from those who do respond and tare locked into information that reinforces their views, leading to reinforcement of existing beliefs and potentially skewing survey results.

Ensuring the sample accurately represents the population is critical. Over- or under-representing certain groups can lead to inaccurate predictions.The spread of false information can affect public opinion and complicate the interpretation of survey results.

In a polarised election environment, where media bias is inherent, the choice of vice presidential candidates requires significant attention from bookmakers and pollsters. As Democrats highlight past controversial comments by JD Vance, the upcoming match-up with Kamala Harris's selection—potentially among younger candidates like Shapiro or older figures like Kelly—presents a complex and unpredictable landscape for both punters and pollsters amidst ongoing political turbulence and media influence.

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