Stay on Top of the Curve
Photo by Aarni Heiskanen

Stay on Top of the Curve

What will happen to our jobs in the age of exponential technological development?

This question made me take another look at Marty Neumeier’s book Metaskills: Five Talents for the Robotic Age. It was published ten years ago but is timelier than ever. Even the dust cover of the book says: “Help! A robot ate my job!”

Neumeir writes that over time, there’s consistent downward pressure on the cost and value of work. He describes it as the Robot Curve. The value and cost of work decrease as its mechanization increases:

  1. At the top of the curve is creative work, with less routine and lots of experimentation. This work is original, maybe even unique. The cost and value are high as long as the work addresses a significant need.
  2. Next is professional, skilled, and talent-driven work. Once original, it has developed best practices. There’s still an element of creativity, but other professionals share much of the expertise.
  3. As skilled work becomes more standardized or technology transforms it, it becomes rote work and can be outsourced to lower-cost producers.
  4. When machines can do rote work more cheaply or consistently, it quickly becomes automated, robotic work.

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The Robot Curve, adapted from Metaskills


Tasks and even professions go down the curve as technology advances. The best jobs are at the top, and they determine all the other jobs down along the curve.

The lower you are on the curve, the less autonomy you have, the less money you make, and the less adaptable you are when the marketplace demands new skills.

But, while automation puts people out of work, it also opens up new opportunities for innovators at the top of the curve.

How to succeed?

Neumeier presents a strategy to stay relevant in this new world. He calls it Metaskills, five talents that serve us best in the age of nonstop innovation. They are: feeling, seeing, dreaming, making, and learning (read more about them on my blog).

Perhaps the most surprising metaskill is "feeling." After all, it is most often kicked to the curb in business and technology. We prefer computer-like rational thinking to “emotional intelligence” and intuition, even if it stems from deep experience.

However, Neumeier asks, if the ability to make fast, accurate calculations is so valuable, why hasn’t evolution equipped us to think like computers? After all, computer-like processing is not a biological impossibility, as mathematical savants have shown.

So, could becoming more human and defaulting to intuition and feelings be a crucial strategy for staying on top of the Robot Curve?


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Ralph Montague

BArch MRIAI, Director at ARCDOX

1 年

Thanks for all your great updates Aarni.

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