State Security in a Changing World: the Belgian Intelligence Report 2023

The world is changing rapidly and the State Security Service (VSSE) is constantly adapting to guarantee the security of Belgium. In the Intelligence Report 2023, the VSSE outlines the threats and challenges that Belgium faces, and how the service is preparing to counter them.

The threats

Jihadism and terrorism:

The jihadist threat is increasing and diversifying. There are more loose online networks and individuals active, and Central Asia is a new source of threat. ISKP (the Islamic State – Khorasan Province) is a new source of inspiration for terrorists. The number of threat files has increased, and online radicalization via chat channels is a major concern. International networks and minors are focal points, while former terrorist detainees are closely monitored and supervised.

Espionage, interference and disinformation:

Espionage and interference by Russia and China are a growing threat. Interference in elections and policy influence, cyber espionage and proliferation of technologies are key concerns. Disinformation is increasingly being used to sow division, and the 2024 elections are a specific target.

Right-wing and left-wing extremism:

Right-wing extremism is spreading through online communities, with accelerationism as a new threat. Left-wing extremism poses a more limited threat, but increasing radicalization is worrying.

Organized crime:

Organized crime is becoming increasingly complex and more interwoven with other threats. Narcoterrorism is a new challenge.

The activities of the VSSE

The VSSE is expanding its international network and investing in cooperation with partners. The service acts as the host country intelligence service for the EU and NATO. Cooperation with ADIV is being strengthened through joint shadow teams and better information sharing.

The VSSE uses special intelligence methods to combat complex threats, with oversight by Committee I. Security checks are increasing and are an important tool for protecting national security. The investigation of foreign investments has been strengthened to identify risks, in cooperation with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

The VSSE is evolving

The VSSE is implementing a new research model for better prioritization of files, more efficient information processing and to combat "infobesity". The service is growing to 1,000 employees to manage the increasing workload, with a focus on diversity and inclusion.

A single professional statute for intelligence and security services (VSSE, OCAD & ADIV) should strengthen cooperation and clarify the legal framework. Declassification of historical archives aims for transparency about the past of the VSSE and insight into the functioning of the intelligence service. Protection of classified information is a new competence to combat leaks, which is crucial for national security.

Conclusion

The VSSE is constantly adapting to guarantee the security of Belgium in a complex and changing world. The focus is on combating jihadist terrorism, espionage and interference, disinformation, extremism and organized crime. The service invests in international cooperation, new technologies and its employees to be able to carry out its tasks efficiently and effectively.

Important: This is a summary of the Intelligence Report 2023. The full report is available on the VSSE website. The information in this report is based on the knowledge and expertise of the VSSE at the time of publication. This summary has been compiled with the utmost care but may be incomplete or inaccurate. Please consult the original report for the most reliable information.

(c) Yannick De Smet. This newsletter was drafted using AI.