To be or not to be, Skeptical?
By: Dr Maryam Maqsood

To be or not to be, Skeptical?

Skepticism plays a key role in scientific inquiry, which requires a #systematicmethodology for gathering and analyzing #evidence. This aspect is crucial for supporting well-founded and meticulously examined conclusions. The need to minimize bias, errors, and incorrect inferences drives skepticism in scientific endeavors. Scientists can find potential sources of fallibility and strengthen the robustness of their data by critically examining their own assumptions as well as those of others. #Skepticism plays a crucial role in fostering intellectual openness and making it easier to investigate competing hypotheses for #observedphenomena. Maintaining skepticism allows scientists to remain objective and carefully consider all of the available evidence before reaching a conclusion. Despite the connectivity and accessibility of information available today, it can be difficult to navigate a world filled with #fakenews, #websites and #inaccurateinformation. It can be challenging to distinguish between fact and fiction. Science and skepticism are essential in our daily lives, especially in light of online #misinformation. It's crucial to have a workable plan for combining skepticism and science to successfully #navigate this #informationrich environment.


I. The Historical Perspective: Superstition versus Science

Throughout #history, there has been a notable contrast between #superstition and science when it comes to explaining various phenomena. Superstition, rooted in supernatural beliefs and folklore, has often served as a substitute for scientific inquiry. This historical #viewpoint illuminates the propensity of people to turn to mystical or divine explanations as opposed to accepting scientific investigation and critical analysis. In reference to the fate of a ship, #USPresident Woodrow Wilson famously said: "Only #God and the sea know what happened to the great ship." This statement serves as a notable illustration of this preference for supernatural explanations (Kelly & Coddington, 2017). This sentiment reflects a tendency to attribute unexplained events to forces beyond human comprehension rather than seeking rational explanations based on empirical evidence and scientific principles. Superstition, characterized by beliefs in ghosts, spirits, and mysterious forces, has long been deeply ingrained in various cultures around the world. Such beliefs often respond to unusual events or phenomena that challenge people's understanding of the world. In the absence of scientific knowledge or rational explanations, individuals may turn to supernatural explanations to make sense of these events. This reliance on superstition can be seen as a product of cultural conditioning and a lack of exposure to scientific or #criticalthinking.


II. The Bermuda Triangle Phenomenon: Skepticism in the Face of Anecdotal Evidence

The #BermudaTriangle, a region in the western North Atlantic Ocean connected to #enigmatic ship and #aircraftdisappearances, has captured the public's attention (Richard, 2019). However, the popular method of understanding this phenomenon has frequently neglected scientific investigation and rigorous analysis in favor of anecdotal evidence and #sensationalizedstories. Over time, hearsay and embellishments have crept into accounts of the Bermuda Triangle, taking attention away from the importance of factual evidence. Nevertheless, by adopting a more skeptical and critical perspective, many of the purported disappearances can be attributed to more mundane causes. Human error, equipment malfunctions, and unpredictable #weatherpatterns, such as sudden storms and powerful ocean currents, emerge as plausible explanations when scrutinizing the Bermuda Triangle phenomenon. While some incidents remain unexplained, this does not necessarily indicate supernatural or inexplicable occurrences. The #NationalOceanicandAtmosphericAssociation (#NOAA) has stated that there is no evidence suggesting a higher frequency of #mysterious disappearances in the Bermuda Triangle compared to other well-traveled areas of the ocean (Fleiss & Kuan, 2022). Their #experience underscores how the combined forces of nature and human fallibility outweigh even the most incredulous #sciencefiction #narratives.


III. Misinformation in a World of Websites: Consequences and Anthropological Perspectives

Misinformation is pervasive not just in politics but also in many other facets of society, such as matters of #health. False claims about the efficacy of treatments that are disseminated through misinformation can influence people to make bad choices (Pennycook et al., 2021). A prime example of how false information about supposed treatments or preventative measures led to negative health effects is the COVID-19 pandemic (#Covid, C. D. C., Team, 2021). The creation, interpretation, and use of information by individuals is a topic of study for anthropologists, who also provide insight into the spread and acceptance of false information (Pennycook et al., 2021). #Culturalbeliefs may harbor long-standing notions of #supernaturalpowers and #mysteriousforces. These deeply ingrained worldviews are often a reaction to peculiar occurrences or phenomena. Cognitive biases like the availability heuristic bias can cause people to overestimate the probability of rare events (Wardle, 2020). Depending on how easily they can recall comparable instances or examples, people tend to overestimate the likelihood or frequency of an event. For instance, someone who frequently hears news reports about shark attacks may overestimate their actual risk of being attacked by a shark while swimming in the ocean. Such accounts are more salient and memorable due to their vividness and emotional resonance, which inflate the perceived frequency or likelihood of shark attacks. This bias can influence various aspects of decision-making, including #riskassessment, #probabilityjudgments, and perceptions of cause and effect (Lewandowsky et al., 2020).


IV. The Problems Caused by Misinformation

Significant challenges come from navigating a world filled with websites and false information. The term "fake news" gained prominence during the lead-up to the 2016 US presidential election, referring to false news stories disguised as genuine reporting (Chirwa & Manyana, 2021). A #PewResearchCenter study conducted after the election revealed that 23% of adults admitted to sharing fabricated political stories, whether intentionally or by mistake. This deliberate dissemination of false information, driven by political and financial gain, exacerbates an already extreme polarization and undermines the credibility of trustworthy information sources. Misinformation goes beyond politics and has serious ramifications, especially in the area of health. A #KFF survey found that over 78% of U.S. adults mistrusted at least one of eight facts concerning the COVID-19 #pandemic or #vaccines, highlighting the extent of misinformation's impact (Poghosyan, 2021). Misinformation can cause a variety of issues for both individuals and society. It can influence people to take actions that are detrimental to their health, safety, or finances by making them believe false claims. To navigate a world full of misinformation, it is crucial to employ scientific thinking, skepticism, and critical evaluation of information while being aware of cultural beliefs and cognitive biases. Any information we consider should be based on principles and reasoning that are consistent with science, and evaluating the evidence presented is essential in determining its scientific validity (Desai et al., 2022). It is crucial to evaluate whether #research has been conducted using appropriate methods, whether the results are statistically significant, and whether it has been replicated by other scientists.? Individuals can distinguish between #trustworthy information and misinformation by relying on scientific evidence and logical reasoning.


A healthy dose of skepticism is crucial to navigating the vast landscape of information. Sensational headlines and clickbait articles often aim to grab attention rather than present accurate and reliable information. By maintaining a skeptical attitude, individuals can question the validity of claims and seek evidence-based support. #Factchecking #reputablesources, consulting #experts, and considering multiple viewpoints are essential practices in #combatingmisinformation (Pennycook & Rand, 2019).


V. Too much Skepticism?

While skepticism plays a crucial role in critical thinking and evaluating information, it is important to recognize that excessive skepticism can also have its drawbacks and potential dangers. Here are a few reasons why too much skepticism can be problematic:

  1. #Paralysis of #DecisionMaking: Excessive skepticism can lead to a state of indecision and inaction. When individuals become overly skeptical, they may doubt everything presented to them and find it challenging to make informed decisions. This can hinder progress, prevent exploration, and impede personal growth.
  2. #Erosion of #Trust: Constant skepticism can erode trust in reliable sources of information, including scientific research, reputable media outlets, and expert opinions. While healthy skepticism encourages critical evaluation, excessive skepticism can lead to a general distrust of all information, making it difficult to distinguish between credible sources and misinformation.
  3. #ConspiracyThinking: An extreme form of skepticism can lead individuals to engage in conspiracy thinking, where they reject mainstream narratives and instead subscribe to unfounded and often elaborate conspiracy theories. This can fuel distrust, paranoia, and a sense of alienation from society, hindering social cohesion and rational discourse.
  4. #Missed #Opportunities: Excessive skepticism can result in missed opportunities for personal and societal advancement. By constantly questioning the validity of new ideas, technologies, or scientific discoveries, individuals may dismiss potential breakthroughs without giving them a fair evaluation. This skepticism can stifle innovation and progress.
  5. #Perpetuation of #Ignorance: When skepticism becomes excessive, it can contribute to the perpetuation of ignorance. By consistently doubting established knowledge and scientific consensus, individuals may reject well-founded facts and cling to their preconceived notions. This hinders personal growth, intellectual curiosity, and the pursuit of truth.

It is essential to strike a balance between healthy skepticism and openness to new ideas and evidence. By maintaining a critical yet receptive mindset, individuals can navigate the complex landscape of information and misinformation, allowing for informed decision-making, intellectual growth, and a more nuanced understanding of the world.


Conclusion

In a world full of websites and misinformation, employing science and skepticism in our daily lives is vital. Understanding the influence of cultural beliefs and cognitive biases helps individuals recognize the origins of misinformation and make more informed decisions. To navigate through this sea of information, it is essential to approach it with an open mind and critically evaluate the evidence. Relying on scientific reasoning and principles, questioning the sources of information, and fact-checking are crucial in distinguishing between reliable information and misinformation. By embracing science and skepticism, individuals can foster a society grounded in evidence-based reasoning, mitigating the harmful effects of misinformation and promoting informed decision-making.


References


  1. Covid, C. D. C., Team, V. B. C. I., Birhane, M., Bressler, S., Chang, G., Clark, T., ... & Trujillo, A. (2021). COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough infections reported to CDC—United States, January 1–April 30, 2021. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 70(21), 792.
  2. Chirwa, C., & Manyana, Z. (2021). The Rise of Fake News: Surveying the Effects of Social Media on Informed Democracy. The Thinker, 88(3), 59-66.
  3. Desai, A. N., Ruidera, D., Steinbrink, J. M., Granwehr, B., & Lee, D. H. (2022). Misinformation and disinformation: the potential disadvantages of social media in infectious disease and how to combat them. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 74 (Supplement_3), e34-e39
  4. Fleiss, A., & Kuan, J. (2022). The Bermuda Triangle: Data Science Approach: Anomaly or Sensationalism?. Available at SSRN 4020456.
  5. Kelly, D., & Coddington, A. (2017). The Bermuda Triangle, Stonehenge, and Unexplained Places. Cavendish Square Publishing, LLC.
  6. Lewandowsky, S., Ecker, U. K. H., & Cook, J. (2020). Beyond Misinformation: Understanding and Coping with the “Post-Truth” Era. Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition, 9(4), 373-381. doi: 10.1016/j.jarmac.2020.05.008
  7. Pennycook, G., Epstein, Z., Mosleh, M., Arechar, A. A., Eckles, D., & Rand, D. G. (2021). Shifting attention to accuracy can reduce misinformation online. Nature, 592(7855), 590-595
  8. Pennycook, G., & Rand, D. G. (2019). The Implied Truth Effect: Attaching Warnings to a Subset of Fake News Stories Increases Perceived Accuracy of Stories Without Warnings. Management Science, 66(11), 4944-4957. doi: 10.1287/mnsc.2019.3523
  9. Poghosyan, H., Ni, Z., Vlahov, D., Nelson, L., & Nam, S. (2022). COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy Among Medicare Beneficiaries with and Without Cancer History: A US Population-based Study. Journal of Community Health, 1-10.
  10. Richard, O. (2019). Investigating the Bermuda Triangle. Weigl Publishers.
  11. Wardle, C. (2020). Fake News. In Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Communication. Oxford University Press. doi: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228613.013.1079

Zakharin, M., & Bates, T. C. (2021). Remapping the foundations of morality: Well-fitting structural model of the Moral Foundations Questionnaire. PloS one, 16(10), e0258910.

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