The Sinking Ships of Real Estate Investment
Adrian C. Spitters FCSI?, CFP?, CEA? President, Author, Private Wealth Advisor
I Execute Tax-Efficient Investment Portfolio Solutions So That Your Business, Family, And Estate Assets Are De-Risked And Protected Against Financial Risk, Economic Threats, Inflation And Higher Taxes.
To ensure you continue to receive ALL my posts, Click on the NOTIFICATION BELL below my profile picture.
Why Real Estate Investments Are Drowning Homeowners and Investors Alike
The Canadian housing market, long believed to be a safe bet, is now unravelling, as highlighted by recent trends in major cities like Vancouver, Toronto, and Calgary. The Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts were expected to breathe new life into the market, but instead, they have revealed deeper systemic issues. The anticipated boom from lower rates never materialized, and the market is experiencing a broad-based decline that is affecting homeowners and investors alike.
Bank of Canada Rate Cuts: A Failed Rescue Mission
Despite the Bank of Canada’s efforts to stimulate the housing market with interest rate cuts, the results have been anything but encouraging. In Vancouver, home sales plummeted by 17.1% in August compared to the previous year, reaching a level more than a quarter below the 10-year seasonal average. The Greater Vancouver Real Estate Board reported a slight decrease in the composite benchmark price for all residential properties, underscoring that the rate cuts have failed to halt the market's slide.
***IMPORTANT NOTICE TO READER: If you enjoyed this article, please share, write something in the comment section, press like on LinkedIn and sign up for my Newsletter, Lasting Financial Security?.***
Toronto's market mirrored these struggles, with home sales down 5.3% year-over-year in August and average home prices declining by 8%. While there was a slight month-over-month increase in seasonally adjusted sales, it was insufficient to counteract the overall downward trend. New listings rose by 1.5%, exacerbating the oversupply problem and further pressuring prices downward. The narrative that rate cuts would fuel a resurgence in home buying has proven overly optimistic as broader economic challenges and market saturation take hold.
Calgary: Speculation-Driven Growth Stalls
Calgary, previously seen as a beacon of growth within Canada’s housing market, is also showing signs of fatigue. Home sales in August dropped 19.5% from the previous year, as the market continued to cool from the extreme sellers' market conditions seen in the spring. While the benchmark price in Calgary has shown some resilience, increasing by 6.3% from the previous year, much of this can be attributed to inflation rather than genuine market strength.
The flood of new listings, which jumped by 133% compared to the previous year, signals that investor-driven speculation is beginning to backfire. With a stagnant local economy and sluggish wage growth, the market’s apparent buoyancy is largely illusory, propped up by out-of-province investors who have been drawn in by past performance rather than current fundamentals. Rental listings have doubled over the past 18 months, a clear indication that the market is struggling to absorb the supply, and nominal rent prices have started to decline year-over-year.
The Broader Impact: A Market on the Brink
The Bank of Canada’s rate cuts were meant to provide relief, but they have instead exposed the market’s vulnerabilities. The expectation that lower rates would stimulate a buying frenzy was misplaced, as the underlying issues of oversupply, speculative investment, and economic stagnation have outweighed the potential benefits of cheaper borrowing costs. The so-called 'Super Bubble' in Canadian housing is bursting, and the consequences are being felt across the board.
In Vancouver, the gap between new listings and actual sales is widening, highlighting a market that is increasingly out of balance. This mismatch is further depressing prices, and as inflation outstrips nominal price gains, real estate values are effectively declining. Similarly, in Toronto, the rising inventory and tepid sales activity point to a market that is far from recovery, with prices likely to continue their downward trajectory.
Calgary's market, once buoyed by investor optimism, is now being weighed down by the realities of oversupply and falling demand. As more units come onto the market, prices are expected to face further pressure, and the speculative bubble that has driven recent gains is showing signs of deflation. The influx of rental properties is putting additional strain on the market, as landlords compete in an environment of falling rents and rising costs, including taxes, insurance, and maintenance.
Watch The Following Video For Full Details
A Strategic Shift: Selling, Renting, and Investing in Multifamily REITs
Given the current market landscape, a strategic shift in investment strategy can provide a more stable and profitable path forward. One such approach is to consider selling owner-occupied homes, opting to rent instead, and investing in purpose-built multifamily rental apartments through private real estate investment trusts (REITs). This strategy addresses the impending financial strain that many homeowners will face as mortgage rates reset from historically low levels of around 1.95% to over 6% in the next two years. The rising cost of ownership and potential for negative equity make renting a more viable option for preserving capital and reducing financial risk.
Investing in multifamily rental apartments through private REITs offers significant benefits in the current market environment. These investments stand to gain from a massive influx of immigrants and a severe shortage of rental units, driving demand for rental properties. Unlike the volatility seen in owner-occupied housing, purpose-built rental properties are positioned to deliver steady income streams and potential for capital appreciation, providing a more predictable and resilient investment avenue.
Join Us For A Complimentary Webinar
Enhance your understanding further by joining me, Adrian C. Spitters, Klint Rodgers, Lankin Investments, and Axcess Capital Advisors for a complimentary online webinar. Mark your calendar for Thursday, October 10, 2024.
Register & Secure Your Spot: HERE
?? Date: Thursday, October 10, 2024
?? Time: 3:00 PM – 4:00 PM PST
?? Online Webinar
Don't miss this opportunity to stay ahead of the curve and make informed decisions for your real estate investments. We look forward to your participation!
Conclusion: A Positive Path Forward
The Canadian housing market may be facing significant challenges, but by adopting a strategic and diversified approach to investing, opportunities for stability and growth remain. Selling owner-occupied homes, renting, and investing in multifamily rental apartments through private REITs, combined with the inclusion of gold and other alternative assets in your portfolio, provides a comprehensive strategy for preserving and growing wealth. This holistic approach not only protects against current market risks but also positions investors to benefit from long-term demographic trends and economic shifts.
领英推荐
Why Gold Should Be the Foundation of Your Portfolio
Gold's stability and reliability make it an essential cornerstone for a well-diversified portfolio. Its value remains consistent even during economic turbulence, offering protection against inflation and financial uncertainty. Unlike paper assets, Gold is a tangible asset that maintains its worth over time, making it a safe haven during financial crises. In light of the potential vulnerabilities in the financial system, particularly those related to securities entitlements, owning a secure and tangible asset like Gold is crucial.
Portfolio Insurance
Gold is an effective form of portfolio insurance, providing a buffer against the volatility of traditional investments like stocks and bonds. Gold often retains or increases in value during market downturns, offsetting losses elsewhere in a portfolio. This characteristic makes Gold an invaluable tool for investors seeking to protect their wealth from the unpredictability of financial markets. Contact New World Precious Metals to discuss purchasing options for physical precious metals.
A Partnership for Holistic Wealth Management
For investors looking to de-risk their wealth, partnering with a dedicated wealth management team provides access to sophisticated strategies traditionally reserved for the ultra-affluent. As a dedicated advocate for de-risking business, family and multi-generational wealth, I am partnered with one of Canada's leading independent private wealth management firms. My team serves high-net-worth clients nationwide. We provide professional investment management and comprehensive wealth planning solutions from a fiducially focused, client-first perspective. We provide access to sophisticated tax-advantaged strategies and solutions.
Capital Preservation First
We are driven by a "capital preservation first" philosophy. Our team generates consistent, tax-efficient returns uncorrelated to public markets. By leveraging our expertise, you are granted access to key industry professionals, gaining exclusive entrance into alternative investments such as private equity, private real estate, precious metals, commodities, government-sanctioned flow-through tax-efficient structures, and tax-minimizing corporate insurance solutions offered through mutual life companies. All are designed to fortify, secure and de-risk your family, business and estate assets against financial risk, economic threats, inflation and higher taxes.
To receive a complimentary digital copy of "Who's Investing Your Money?," email me at [email protected] or book a complementary portfolio evaluation with me through my Calendly Link.
Complimentary Portfolio Evaluation
As a valued reader, I am offering a complimentary portfolio evaluation to discuss how investing in alternative assets such as private equity, private real estate, precious metals, commodities, government-sanctioned flow-through tax-efficient structures, and tax-minimizing corporate insurance solutions can help to fortify and de-risk your portfolio against financial institution risk, economic threats, inflation, and higher taxes. To book your consultation, email me at [email protected] or use my Calendly Link.
The Custodial Model: An Additional Layer of Protection
In light of the revelations in David Rogers Webb's book The Great Taking, to further safeguard wealth, the firms I work with employ a custodial model, where client assets are held securely by an independent third-party custodian rather than commingled with the firm's assets. This crucial segregation of assets provides an additional layer of protection, reducing the risk of seizure or misappropriation in a financial crisis or institutional insolvency. The custodial model offers investors a safeguarded solution to help secure their wealth separately from the investment management firm.
Watch The Great Taking Documentary
Additional Resources:
To continue receiving my posts, please follow Adrian C. Spitters FCSI?, CFP?, CEA?, then click on the NOTIFICATION BELL below my profile picture to ensure you do not miss any of my posts, and finally sign up for my LinkedIn Newsletter, Lasting Financial Security?.
Please also check out and join my new group, The Counter Narrative?.
Do you find value in the articles I write? Please subscribe to my weekly newsletter, which summarises my best stories of the week: SUBSCRIBE.
Adrian C. Spitters FCSI?, CFP?, CEA? President, Author, Private Wealth Advisor
I Execute Tax-Efficient Investment Portfolio Solutions So That Your Business, Family, And Estate Assets Are De-Risked And Protected Against Financial Risk, Economic Threats, Inflation And Higher Taxes.
4,937 followers
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a professional advisor before making investment decisions.
References
#ItStartsWithGold #CanadianHousingMarket #CondoCrash #InvestmentStrategies #RealEstateBubble #VancouverRealEstate #TorontoRealEstate #NegativeCashFlow #InvestorRegret #GoldInvestment #PrivateREITs