Simplicity vs over-optimization in the pursuit of robustness
My most effective equity system is also my simplest. It fits onto just two sides of an A4 sheet. This system avoids curve fitting and over-optimization, focusing instead on exploiting straightforward market principles.
For those interested, here is an outline of these two pages:
Below, I illustrate the above system's technical layout.
Whenever I see a system with an ultra-smooth equity curve, I immediately suspect curve fitting. Such systems are fragile and prone to failure. Below is the equity curve of a curve-fitted system which clearly fails when it goes live i.e. over-optimization is to be avoided at all costs.